PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews MANCHESTER UNITED v CRYSTAL PALACE and ARSENAL v CHELSEA both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MANCHESTER UNITED V CRYSTAL PALACE
2pm It’s a blockbuster Super Sunday from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! No doubt all the headlines will come from Arsenal v Chelsea in the prime Sunday TV slot later, but we kick off the day with three very interesting fixtures at 2pm – the clear pick is Manchester United hosting Crystal Palace at Old Trafford in my opinion! United have been the feel good story of the second half of the season under Michael Carrick, and they will be looking to continue that momentum in front of their own fans here. Palace have been decent this season without ever threatening to break into the top half consistently, and it feels like a game United should be winning given their current run. Of course, we’ve already seen this movie from United – sack a manager, go on a decent run, everything goes wrong, sack the manager, start again! United’s numbers this season have been genuinely impressive though. Their average xG created of 1.76 is the best attacking figure in the Premier League – they had the best attacking figure under Ruben Amorim for ages, but obviously that was lost in all the drama. They have been decent at the back too, still a little sloppy, but an average xG conceded of 1.30 is the fifth best defensive figure in the Premier League. Progress!
It’s no surprise that United come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.65 with Crystal Palace 6.4 and the draw is 4.6 at the time of writing. It’s feels like Palace are going through their own drama now – they have an average xG created of 1.35 which is a solid enough mid-table figure, Glasner seems to be in the process of falling out with the club though. He’s clearly unhappy at the transfer business, he’s also been linked with the United job for next season! Wins have been hard to come by for Palace; they’ve only had two wins from their last twelve Premier League games, but those two wins have come within the last three games. I feel like Palace are there for the taking though looking at them at the moment. The only thing to consider here is that a mistake at the back is never far away with this United side, and Palace games have generally had goals this season. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.68 and that has to be an option. However, United are only three ticks shorter at 1.65 and that feels the better value bet with home advantage. They look full of confidence at the moment and they are worth a confident bet in my opinion.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Manchester United to beat Crystal Palace at 1.65 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLMuCr
ARSENAL V CHELSEA
4.30pm We finish Super Sunday with undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend in the Premier League! Arsenal host Chelsea in a huge London Derby with all the pressure on Arsenal in the title race. Obviously Arsenal fans will be glued to the Leeds v Manchester City game on Saturday, but if City win there the gap will only be two points heading into this game. The pressure on Mikel Arteta’s side to keep winning now feels immense – and everyone has the question of can they handle the heat? They won a massive North London Derby last weekend away to Spurs, but we all know how poor Spurs have been this season. Given with home advantage now, Chelsea are a much bigger test for Arsenal. The good news for Arsenal is that the underlying numbers are still outstanding. Their average xG created of 1.72 is the third best attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of just 0.89 is the best defensive figure anywhere in Europe. That 0.89 figure is remarkable really. It tells you everything about how solid Arteta has made this side at the back – to have the best defensive figure from all of Europe’s elite leagues in a league as competitive as the Premier League is exceptional.
Chelsea have been impressive too. Their average xG created of 1.59 is the fifth best attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.28 is also solid – the fourth best defensive figure. Obviously Arsenal have been under a lot of pressure since the draw against Wolves, but the level Chelsea have been playing at is much better than Spurs. This is not a Chelsea side that will roll over like Spurs. Still, it’s no surprise that Arsenal come into the game as the odds on favourites. Arsenal are trading 1.64 with Chelsea 6.0 and the draw is 4.3 at the time of writing. It will be interesting to see how cagey Arteta is here; generally Arsenal have been called “boring” at times in big games. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.77, and that wouldn’t make much appeal to be honest. Chelsea will create chances – their attacking numbers demand respect – but Arsenal’s defensive record suggests they have the tools to keep them quiet. The real question is whether the title race pressure gets to Arsenal – sloppy errors have been creeping in at the back. I feel this is a game for small stakes, and I do feel the value is with Under 2.5 goals at 2.26. I’d have the goals market more even.
The Striker Says:
One point win Under 2.5 goals at 2.26 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLArCh
