PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews a blockbuster Super Sunday in the Premier League and previews the games between Tottenham v Aston Villa and Liverpool v Manchester United, both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
TOTTENHAM V ASTON VILLA
2pm It’s a blockbuster Super Sunday from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! There’s no doubt that Liverpool v Manchester United will take all the headlines today, but we actually have a cracking fixture to start the day too as Spurs host Aston Villa. As we all know, drama is never far away from Spurs but they come into this weekend just two points off top spot with Liverpool losing back-to-back fixtures prior to the International Break. Spurs have actually done exceptionally well to get the points they have, because there are some red flags in their performance figures. Their attacking figure is a mid-table standard at the moment, and they are marginally conceding more than they are creating. Similar thoughts can apply to Aston Villa, except they haven’t been able to get results either. They had much needed back-to-back wins before the International Break – the International Break probably came at a bad time for Unai Emery! They suffered the first four games of the season without scoring, then get a few wins and the International Break stops any momentum. Villa have struggled to create good quality chances this season though; their average xG created is just 1.28 and they are within 0.03 of that on the conceded figure too – basically mid-table standard.
Both sides actually have very similar profiles on paper. It’ll be interesting to see how the game plays out! Spurs are trading 2.22 with Aston Villa 3.45 and the draw is 3.75 at the time of writing. I find it hard to have a lot of confidence in either side here to be honest, and I do feel it’s wise to limit stakes on this game. The 2.22 feels far too short on Spurs, but obviously Villa have had a lot of issues going forward this season so it’s hard to rely on them. From a value point of view however, it’s hard to get away from the Spurs lay at the odds – I just feel this one is going to be closer than the odds suggest. There’s only 0.03 between the sides on xG attacking figures this season and 0.07 on defensive figures. Obviously home advantage will play it’s hard here and you also have to factor in that Spurs have been much better than Villa at getting results, but at the same time there’s very little between the sides and I’d have the market more open. I’m happy with a one point lay on Spurs.
The Striker Says:
One point lay (liability) Tottenham to beat Aston Villa at 2.22 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLToAs
LIVERPOOL V MANCHESTER UNITED
4.30pm There was only one fixture that was only to be in the prime time Super Sunday TV slot this week, and that’s Liverpool hosting Manchester United. As always, a fascinating game awaits – obviously we have the on-going situation with Ruben Amorim at Manchester United but Liverpool are under a little pressure now in the title race after back-to-back losses. Arsenal have now become the clear favourites for the title, and Arne Slot’s men have work to do! There’s a huge amount of history with this fixture – however, in recent times Liverpool have really hammered United. We’ve had score lines of 3-0, 7-0, 4-0 and 5-0 all since 2021. To be honest, we actually have had some fantastic entertainment with this fixture – Over 2.5 goals had collected in eleven of the last twelve meetings in all competitions. Some of the Liverpool hammerings have led to Manchester United managers getting the sack too; given Ruben Amorim is seemingly on thin ice, he really doesn’t need a 4-0 or 5-0 loss here. It’s no surprise to see Liverpool come into the game as the odds on favourites – Liverpool are 1.65 with Manchester United 5.5 and the draw is 4.6 at the time of writing.
Liverpool clearly haven’t been at their best this season; they were winning games while playing badly by scoring late goals in injury time – but you cannot go on for long doing that. Eventually you’ll find yourself in a situation you can’t get out of, as we saw prior to the International Break. That being said – how much faith can we place in Manchester United here? They have the best attacking figure in the Premier League coming into this weekend, and they are also in the top three on defensive figures too – a better defensive figure than Liverpool. But they always just seem all over the place; they aren’t converting their chances and they concede more than their xG figure too. All that being said, they always tend to turn up for the big games like this – the squad tend to throw in the poor performances against the weaker sides that they should dominate. I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here, and back Over 2.5 goals at 1.52. Both sides are making mistakes at the back and they’ve both been excellent in attack too even if United always fluff their lines!
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLLiMu
