PREMIER LEAGUE SUPER SUNDAY: The Striker previews LEEDS v ASTON VILLA and ARSENAL v TOTTENHAM both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
LEEDS V ASTON VILLA
2pm We have a massive Super Sunday from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! There’s no doubt that all eyes will be on the North London Derby in the prime time TV slot later – all the talking points of the weekend will come from that game – but we kick the day off with a very interesting fixture as Leeds host Aston Villa. After a lacklustre start to the season and really struggling to find the net, Villa have put a nice run together recently – they went into the International Break sitting in sixth which is a cracking result considering that they are in the bottom five on attacking figures in the Premier League! Leeds have actually created more than Villa this season – but they have struggled for results and come into this weekend sitting just one point outside the relegation zone. At the moment, it looks like Wolves are nailed on to go down – Burnley are playing the worst football by a distance so they will likely go back down. The final spot is wide open in my opinion, and you’d have to say that Leeds will be heavily involved in that battle to stay up between West Ham, themselves and possibly Nottingham Forest – although obviously morale is high in that camp with Sean Dyche coming in and they have been playing much better football compared to West Ham and Leeds.
It’s no surprise that we have an open betting heat. It’s quite easy to pick holes in both sides here to be honest. Aston Villa are the favourites at 2.54 with Leeds 3.15 and the draw is 3.35 at the time of writing. I know there is plenty of points between the sides when you look at the table, but there really isn’t much between them looking at the under-lining numbers. Leeds have an average xG created of 1.31 while for Villa is 1.26 – at the back Leeds have an average xG conceded of 1.30 and Villa are again marginally worse with a figure of 1.35. You have to give Villa credit for the amount of results they have managed this season thus far, but I do feel that the 2.54 is a little short here. Leeds have obviously been a little sloppy at the back and that has cost them, but with home advantage here and how limited Villa have been going forward, I feel Leeds can get a result. The 2.54 is wroth laying from a value point of view in my opinion – I expect a closer game than those odds suggest.
The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Aston Villa to beat Leeds at 2.54 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLLeAs
ARSENAL V TOTTENHAM
4.30pm We finish Sunday with undoubtedly the highlight fixture of the weekend! Arsenal host Spurs in the latest North London Derby, and while it’s quite clear these days who the better side is, there’s always plenty of drama between these two! Both sides went into the International Break off the back of a very entertaining draws with Arsenal getting held 2-2 against Sunderland and Spurs having a very dramatic 2-2 with Manchester United. They were both very dramatic in fairness! With Manchester City winning against Liverpool, that put the gap to four points coming into this weekend and put City as the main challenger to Arsenal this season in the title race. Although this is a massive rivalry and a big Derby, it’s fair to say that these days Arsenal will be fully expected to win – especially with home advantage. That’s reflected in the market, with Arsenal coming in as the heavy odds on favourites at 1.45 with Tottenham 8.8 and the draw is 4.9 at the time of writing. It’s hard to fault Arsenal this season; they come into this weekend with the second highest attacking figure in the Premier League, and the best defensive figure by a distance.
Obviously Arsenal have built their success on being rock solid at the back. They were called boring last season, but with everyone dropping points this season they have been the most consistent. When you look at Spurs under-lining numbers, there are some major red flags. Their average xG created is only 1.21, which is the fourth worst attacking figure in the Premier League this season. So far, they have massively over-performed to get the points they have. It feels like they could easily get hammered here, and maybe that’s something not many football fans will be expecting – but Arsenal have been playing on a completely different level this season. You have to respect that fact that Spurs have been able to grind out so many results, but they are there for the taking in my opinion. Arsenal can cover the handicap on the way to winning here, and I’m happy to take the 2.25 on Arsenal -1.5 goals. It’s a confident bet to finish the weekend!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Arsenal -1.5 goals to beat Tottenham at 2.25 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLArTo
