PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews BRIGHTON v WEST HAM and FULHAM v CRYSTAL PALACE both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BRIGHTON V WEST HAM
2pm Another Super Sunday rolls around on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We have two interesting markets to enjoy, and we kick off the day with Brighton hosting West Ham. Brighton have been on a good run lately, and their four game unbeaten run came to a dramatic end midweek when they lost 4-3 here against Aston Villa. Still, after a slow start to the season they have only lost twice in their last ten Premier League games. This is a game that they will be expected to win on paper given all the problems West Ham have had this season. It’s no surprise that Brighton come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.59 with West Ham 6.0 and the draw is 4.7 at the time of writing. West Ham had a dramatic draw midweek against Manchester United – a late goal for a result at Old Trafford will always boost spirits! Morale and effort have been questioned multiple times with West Ham this season, so the fact that they battled for that draw was a positive. It might also be a case of United just failing to win games they should be winning again though – we’ve seen that time and time again recently.
With Leeds winning against Chelsea, that draw kept West Ham in the relegation zone, but let’s face it – a bonus point given United were the red-hot favourites. After a terrible start, West Ham have been putting a few result together – they’ve only lost once in their last five Premier League games and that was against Liverpool – a rare win for Liverpool these days! Obviously their stats have been quite poor, but it seems like the new manager is finally having a positive impact. I wouldn’t be rushing to take the 1.59 on Brighton here, but the reality is it’s hard to have a lot of faith in West Ham these days so I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market. Brighton games have been very open this season, and obviously West Ham have been conceding so many chances. Their average xG conceded of 1.77 this season is the second worst defensive figure in the Premier League. I feel we’ll get an end-to-end game here with plenty of chances, and Over 2.5 goals jumps off the page at 1.66. I feel we’re getting so much value it’s worth a Five Star NAP to start the day!
The Striker Says:
Five points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLBrWe
FULHAM V CRYSTAL PALACE
4.30pm We finish Super Sunday with Fulham hosting Crystal Palace. On paper, this looks like an exceptionally competitive game and it’s no surprise that it’s also the most open betting heat of the weekend in the Premier League! Fulham are the favourites at 2.7 with Crystal Palace 2.94 and the draw is 3.4 at the time of writing. Crystal Palace are having an excellent season, and another win midweek left them sitting in fifth spot coming into this weekend. So many of the “Big Six” have been dropping points this season, they can have realistic hopes of getting into the Europa League – I think it’s only what they deserve after not getting it after their FA Cup win too! Fulham are tough to beat at home though, and there’s very little between the sides on paper. There’s only 0.02 between the sides on xG created this season, and there’s only 0.05 between them on defensive figures! Why there’s such a big gap between them in the table is Palace have been getting away with things at the back this season – their average xG conceded is 1.29, which isn’t bad at all, but their actual goals conceded average is only 0.79.
That difference equals a lot of points, and perhaps if sides start taking their chances then Palace will start to slip down the table. Their average figure is mid-table level. We have two very similar sides here, and it’s quite easy to pick holes in both of them to be honest. I would actually have the draw shorter and an even more open betting heat. We tend to get a reasonably cagey affair when these sides meet – Palace won 3-0 on their last visit here back in March, but that’s the only time Over 2.5 goals backers would have collected in the last five meetings between the sides. Under 2.5 goals is trading 1.82 and Both Teams Not To Score is 2.08. I actually couldn’t put anyone off either bet to be honest, but I do feel we’ll get a reasonably cagey game here and Under 2.5 goals looks the value. Both sides have been solid at the back, and they aren’t exactly creating a huge amount either – I’m happy with the Unders bet.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.82 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLFuCr
