THURSDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews CRYSTAL PALACE v BRIGHTON with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
CRYSTAL PALACE V BRIGHTON
8pm We’re ticking the days off until Christmas on BETDAQ Betting Exchange, and we have Premier League action on Thursday night right through until Christmas Eve! We kick the action off with Crystal Palace hosting Brighton, and this should be an interesting game with Brighton struggling for results recently. Crystal Palace also shocked everyone last weekend when they came from 2-0 down away to Manchester City to claim a draw. How often do you see sides doing that!?
Brighton come into this game as the favourites, but they aren’t trading odds on. The away win is 2.24 with Crystal Palace 3.5 and the draw is 3.7 at the time of writing. After losing to Arsenal last weekend, Brighton sit down in ninth. They have been in freefall for a few weeks now after a very impressive start to the season. They’ve only managed two wins in their last 11 Premier League games. It’s almost like that 6-1 thrashing they got against Aston Villa completely knocked their confidence. They have had difficult fixtures in that run, but they’ve also failed to beat the likes of Fulham, Everton, Sheffield United and Burnley. Their xG figures are still good, but there are red flags.
The biggest red flag in the Brighton stats is their away form. They are conceding more chances than they are creating away from home, and the average conceded figure is getting a little too high at 1.59. They clearly have issues away from home, but they also have massive issues at the back too. They haven’t managed to keep a clean sheet all season in the Premier League. They’ve managed it in the Europa League against weaker opposition, but domestically they are just making too many mistakes at the back.
Brighton aren’t really a side that you’d want to support in the markets at the moment. Two wins in eleven games is hardly an inviting stat when backing a 2.24 shot; however it’s also hard to have confidence in this Crystal Palace side. They have been playing average football this season – they have an average xG created is 1.11 which is the joint-fifth worst figure in the Premier League. They are obviously conceding more chances than that, and they aren’t creating a huge amount at home either. Their average xG created at home is only 1.16 which is exceptionally low; usually the away stat brings down the average.
Despite getting a draw away to Manchester City last weekend, I really don’t fancy supporting Palace here. That rules out the Brighton lay at 2.24, but I can’t make the case that Brighton should be shorter. I’m going to stay out of the match odds market here. Both sides have been conceding too many goals – Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.96 but I marginally prefer Both Teams To Score at 1.8. As I said above, Brighton haven’t managed to keep a clean sheet this season and they will give Palace chances here. I feel we’ll see plenty of mistakes at the back from both sides.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.8 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CryBha
