THE STRIKER: previews Thursday’s Premier League games between FULHAM v TOTTENHAM, WEST BROM v EVERTON and LIVERPOOL v CHELSEA all with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
FULHAM V TOTTENHAM
6pm The Premier League fixtures keep coming and we have some excellent fixtures this evening. All eyes will be on Liverpool v Chelsea later, but we have two nice games at 6pm and we start with Fulham hosting Spurs. Fulham would have been bitterly disappointed to only draw 0-0 with Crystal Palace at the weekend. xG says they were very unlucky too as the game finished 1.37 to 0.17 to Fulham. It’s fair to say they are playing their best football of the season at the moment and they have good momentum in their battle to stay up. I still feel that they have left themselves too much to do, and results like that against Crystal Palace won’t help. They also meet a Spurs side who have scored eight goals in two games.
We all know how poor Spurs have been this season, but they should come here full of confidence after their two recent wins. Although they quality of the opposition was low, Fulham are in the bottom three after all! This game is all about the odds for me and I feel Spurs are too big at 2.04. I fully take on board Fulham are on a good run at the moment – they are unbeaten in five games – and that Spurs have been very flaky this season, however they have more than enough talent in their squad to outclass this Fulham side and they should create more going forward. I would have Jose Mourinho’s men odds on and I’m happy to take the 2.04 although I fully understand backing Spurs at the moment isn’t for everyone!
The Striker Says:
Two points win Tottenham to beat Fulham at 2.04 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQfultot
MATCH STATS
- Fulham have won just one of their last 14 Premier League matches against Tottenham Hotspur (D3 L10), winning 1-0 at White Hart Lane in March 2013 under former Spurs manager Martin Jol.
- Tottenham have picked up 10 wins from their last 12 Premier League games against Fulham (D1 L1), conceding just eight goals in the process and never more than once in a match.
- Tottenham have only won more Premier League London derbies against West Ham (24) than they have versus Fulham (15).
- Fulham have won only one of their previous 14 Premier League games played in midweek (Tues, Weds, Thurs), winning 4-2 versus Brighton in January 2019 (D6 L7) – four of their six such games this season have ended in draws (L2).
- Tottenham have failed to win any of their four Premier League games in midweek this season (Tues, Weds, Thurs), losing three times (D1) – their last such victory came back in July against Newcastle (3-1).
- No side has netted fewer home goals than Fulham in the Premier League this season, with the Cottagers netting just eight in their 13 games at Craven Cottage.
- Tottenham have lost their last three Premier League away games, as many as they had in their previous 17 on the road (W7 D7). Spurs boss José Mourinho has never lost four consecutive away league games in his managerial career.
- Fulham have only conceded one goal in their last five Premier League matches, keeping clean sheets in their two home games in this run. They last keep three in a row in the top-flight at Craven Cottage back in February 2011, a run of four.
- Gareth Bale has been directly involved in seven goals in his last four matches in all competitions (4 goals, 3 assists), scoring in each of his last two appearances. Bale hasn’t scored in three consecutive club appearances since September 2018 for Real Madrid.
- Harry Kane has scored in each of his four appearances against Fulham in all competitions for Tottenham, netting six goals in the process, including an FA Cup hat-trick at Craven Cottage in February 2017.
WEST BROM V EVERTON
6pm This is a remarkably similar fixture to the other 6pm game! Everton are right beside Spurs in the table – although four points ahead – and West Brom and next to Fulham in the table, although six points behind them. Everton have been a lot more reliable this season however, and perhaps that is reflected in the odds are Everton are slightly shorter as they are trading 1.95 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange . West Brom may come into this fixture unbeaten in three games, but looking at the xG figures they don’t deserve to be. It’s becoming a very “Brighton” thing, but Brighton created an xG of 3.28 against them when losing 1-0 in one of the most unfair results of the season. They were very lucky to get a 0-0 draw against Burnley the week before that too.
Everton have been playing some great football this season, and while they have thrown in a few shocking performances, they have improved a lot this season. I think with a side like Everton you’re going to get a few poor performances throughout the season – they just aren’t at a consistent level yet. I really like them to beat this West Brom side looking at the underlining numbers – West Brom might be getting results but their performances have been very poor. Everton usually create an xG of over 1 and they have been putting in decent figures recently apart from the Fulham game. For me the 1.95 is too big to turn down on Everton and it’s a reasonably confident bet at those prices.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Everton to beat West Brom at 1.95 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwbaeve
MATCH STATS
- West Brom have only picked up one victory in their last 12 Premier League meetings with Everton (D5 L6) – winning 1-0 at Goodison Park back in February 2016 under Tony Pulis. The Baggies are winless in their last five such games (D2 L3).
- Everton are looking to complete their fifth Premier League double against West Brom (2002-03, 2008-09, 2011-12 and 2016-17), after winning 5-2 in the reverse fixture. Currently, only versus Blackburn (5), Man City (5) and West Ham (5) have the Toffees secured more Premier League doubles.
- Everton are unbeaten in each of their last five away Premier League games against West Brom (W3 D2), since a 0-2 loss in September 2012 under David Moyes.
- Everton have won each of their last four away Premier League matches against newly promoted teams, their longest such run in the competition’s history. Their last away top-flight defeat to newly promoted opposition came at Aston Villa in August 2019 (0-2).
- West Brom have gone 13 Premier League games without a win in midweek (Tues, Weds, Thurs), since winning 3-1 against Swansea in December 2016 (D5 L8).
- Following their 1-0 victory against Brighton last time out, West Brom are looking to pick up back-to-back Premier League wins for the first time since May 2018, while they’re also looking to keep three consecutive clean sheets in the competition for the first time since September 2015.
- Everton are unbeaten in their last eight away league games, winning six and drawing two. Indeed, the Toffees have already won eight Premier League games on the road this season, only winning more in the competition in the 2008-09 campaign (9).
- Everton have only failed to score in one of their 12 Premier League away games this season, fewer than any other side. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored eight of their 20 away league goals so far this term, with only Romelu Lukaku netting more on the road for the Toffees in a single Premier League campaign (9 in both 2015-16 and 2016-17).
- 25% of West Brom’s Premier League goals this season have been scored by defenders (5/20), the highest ratio in the competition. Centre-back Kyle Bartley netted the Baggies’ winner in their last game against Brighton.
- West Brom manager Sam Allardyce has lost four of his last seven Premier League games against sides he’s formerly managed in the competition (W3), as many as he had in his first 16 such games (W8 D4 L4). This is his first league meeting with Everton since leaving the club in 2018.
LIVERPOOL V CHELSEA
8.15pm We end the evening with the highlight of the midweek fixtures. I’m sure both sets of fans would have thought this game could have been a title decider, at least be in the mix, but here we are with Chelsea one point ahead of Liverpool as both sides sit outside the Top Four. They will fancy their chances of getting into the Top Four but West Ham have played some great football this season and both these sides have had their issues. Liverpool have had a remarkable drop off in form since the end of 2020 – at the start of the season it looked like they would run away with the title and now they face a battle to get into the Top Four! Incredible. This game is absolutely huge of both clubs as the loser is really on the backfoot – given the riches that the Champions League brings the pressure is on.
Liverpool finally got back to winning ways with a smooth 2-0 win over Sheffield United at the weekend – a game they fully controlled and the result was never in doubt. The problem is that was “just” Sheffield United who sit bottom, and Liverpool have been poor in general for a while. Chelsea are much more solid coming into this fixture and I have to say the odds look all wrong here. Liverpool look exceptionally short at 2.3 – home advantage means little with the Covid19 situation and Chelsea are unbeaten since sacking Frank Lampard. If they can win away to Atletico, they can get a result against Liverpool and I fully expect Chelsea to make this game closer than odds of 2.3 suggest on Liverpool. It looks a great value lay.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 2.3 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlivchl
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool have won each of their last four Premier League meetings with Chelsea, netting 11 goals and conceding four. The only team to win five in a row against the Blues in the competition is Blackburn (7 between February 1993 and May 1996).
- Chelsea have lost their last two away league games against Liverpool, last losing more consecutively at Anfield between September 1992 and October 1997 (6).
- Of all the 15 fixtures between the six ever-present Premier League sides, only Everton vs Manchester United (1) has seen fewer goalless draws than matches between Chelsea and Liverpool (3).
- Chelsea have won just 10% of their 10 Premier League games against Liverpool taking place between Monday-Friday (W1 D4 L5), compared to a 40% Premier League win rate against the Reds at the weekend (W19 D10 L18).
- Liverpool have lost each of their last four Premier League home games, as many as they had in their first 100 at Anfield under manager Jürgen Klopp. The Reds have never lost five consecutive home games in their history, either in the league or all competitions.
- No team has benefitted from more own goals in the Premier League this season than Liverpool (3). The last campaign to see the Reds benefit from more own goals was in 2014-15 (4).
- Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel is unbeaten in his first nine matches as Blues boss in all competitions (W6 D3), with only José Mourinho (10 games) and Luiz Felipe Scolari (12 games) having longer unbeaten starts as Chelsea managers.
- This will be the 15th meeting in all competitions between Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel and Liverpool’s Jürgen Klopp. Tuchel has won just two of their previous 14 meetings (Mainz 1-0 Dortmund April 2010 and PSG 2-1 Liverpool November 2018), losing more against Klopp than any other manager in his career with top-flight clubs (9).
- Liverpool’s Sadio Mané has scored seven goals in 16 appearances against Chelsea in all competitions, only netting more against Crystal Palace (10) and Aston Villa (8) since moving to England.
- Chelsea’s Olivier Giroud has netted seven Premier League goals against Liverpool, with the Frenchman only scoring more against Aston Villa and Newcastle (9 each) in the competition. Four of his seven goals against the Reds have come at Anfield.
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