THE STRIKER: previews Tuesday’s Premier League game between CHELSEA v BRIGHTON with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
CHELSEA V BRIGHTON
8pm We have a busy week of Premier League action with games every day this week, and the action continues with Chelsea hosting Brighton on Tuesday night. It’s been an excellent week or so for Chelsea and they now have the FA Cup Final to look forward to as well as a Champions League Semi-Final. It’s been quite the turnaround since sacking Frank Lampard. As well as their position in the FA Cup and Champions League, they had a good weekend in the Premier League without even playing with West Ham losing to Newcastle.
That loss for West Ham leaves Chelsea only one point behind The Hammers with tonight’s game in hand. With Leicester also playing in the FA Cup at the weekend, a win for Chelsea here would see them go into third, albeit only until Leicester play later in the week. This won’t be a walk in the park for Chelsea, as Brighton have been one of the better sides in the Premier League lately. Their xG figures have been excellent, and their position in the table doesn’t reflect how good they are.
It’s been a dramatic week for the Premier League, and Chelsea are one of the clubs who have signed up to the European Super League. That’s bound to have a lot of attention on each of the six Premier League clubs towards the end of the season, and Chelsea are one of the clubs who can’t afford to be distracted given their position in the race for the Top Four. Although Chelsea have been impressive lately, I feel the 1.62 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange is a little short.
Brighton were a little unlucky not to beat Everton last time out, and while clearly Chelsea are playing at a different level, Brighton have been creating some excellent chances lately and Chelsea have also been leaking a few goals. Even though they were impressive against Palace, they still conceded and then they conceded five goals against West Brom too! I wouldn’t put anyone off the Chelsea lay at 1.62 but Both Teams To Score looks great value at 2.2. With the volume of chances Brighton are creating, they can score tonight and we should see an open game.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 2.2 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchebha
MATCH STATS
- Since losing their first ever meeting with Brighton in January 1933 (1-2 in the FA Cup), Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 14 against the Seagulls, winning 12 and drawing two.
- Brighton have lost all six of their away games against Chelsea in all competitions, with the Seagulls failing to score in all six of their visits to Stamford Bridge against the Blues (14 conceded).
- Chelsea have never been behind in seven Premier League meetings with Brighton – only three teams have ever played more against an opponent in the competition without going behind; Newcastle against Nottingham Forest (8), Man City against Sheffield United (10) and the Blues themselves against Portsmouth (14).
- Chelsea’s last home league game ended in a shock 2-5 defeat to West Bromwich Albion. In the Roman Abramovich era (since 2003-04), the Blues have only lost consecutive home league games twice – in November 2011 under André Villas-Boas and December 2019 under Frank Lampard.
- Brighton have kept 10 clean sheets in the Premier League this season, with seven of those coming since the turn of the year – they last registered more shutouts in a top-flight campaign in 1981-82 (14).
- Since winning promotion in 2017, Brighton have drawn more Premier League games 0-0 than any other side (16), including last time out against Everton. Indeed, the Seagulls have registered five goalless draws this season, their joint-most in a Premier League campaign alongside 2017-18.
- Thomas Tuchel’s first 10 Premier League games in charge of Chelsea produced just 13 goals (F11 A2), at an average of 1.3 per game. The Blues’ last two league games have seen 12 goals scored (F6 A6), an average of six per game.
- Kai Havertz both scored (1) and assisted (1) a goal in Chelsea’s 4-1 win against Crystal Palace last time out. The German had been involved in just three goals in his first 22 league appearances for the Blues (1 goal, 2 assists).
- Christian Pulisic has scored three goals in his last two Premier League games for Chelsea, as many as in his previous 26 in the competition. He’s looking to score in three consecutive Premier League games for just the second time (also in November 2019).
- Robert Sánchez has kept a clean sheet in 40% of his 20 Premier League appearances (8 of 20), the best such ratio of any Brighton goalkeeper in the competition (Mat Ryan 22% and David Button 25%).
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