TUESDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews WOLVES v BURNLEY and LUTON TOWN v ARSENAL both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
WOLVES V BURNLEY
7.30pm The Premier League fixtures come thick and fast on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week! After a full weekend fixture list, we’re straight into a full midweek fixture list starting on Tuesday night. We have some very important games this week, and while the main fixtures will come on Wednesday night we kick off the week with Wolves hosting Burnley. After getting a confidence boosting 5-0 win at the weekend over Sheffield United, this fixture is another decent chance of getting a win for Burnley. They still sit in the relegation zone, but they are only two points off Luton Town in 17th now, and they have to play Arsenal later. The issue for Burnley is that Everton have been playing excellent football this season – obviously the ten point deduction is a massive blow, but given their performance level this season it would still be a surprise to see them going down. Burnley fans will be keeping a keen eye on Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth results but the reality is Burnley are still in a tough position in the relegation battle. A win here would be most welcome, and at this stage badly needed – they are still odds on to go down!
Although it was nice to net five goals at the weekend for Burnley, it did come at home to Sheffield United who are the worst side in the Premier League by quite a distance. Their stats are actually the worst of any club in the major leagues in Europe. Burnley would have improved their average with that performance, and they are finally averaging an xG of over 1.0 now. It’s actually the same as Wolves – both 1.12. The market has Wolves odds on here at 1.91 with Burnley 4.5 and the draw is 3.85. I’m not sure I would have Wolves that short to be honest; they have been playing very average football this season. At home they have really struggled to create chances; their average xG created at home is only 1.06 – they’ve actually got more points than they should at home. Obviously it’s tough to support Burnley, especially away from home because their performances have been lacking – it’s easy to see why they are odds on to go back down despite being very impressive Championship winners. I just expect a closer game than the odds suggest here, and I’m going to have a small Wolves lay at 1.91.
The Striker Says:
One point lay (liability) Wolves to beat Burnley at 1.91 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WolBrn
LUTON TOWN V ARSENAL
8.15pm We finish Tuesday evening with Luton Town hosting Arsenal, and the Gunners will be fully expected to win here to extend their lead at the top of the table. It was another excellent weekend for Arsenal as they extended their lead at the top of the table. They are now two points ahead of Liverpool and more importantly three ahead of Manchester City after City could only draw with Spurs on Sunday evening. City are still odds on for the title again, but Arsenal definitely have a decent chance again – it will be interesting to see how they react to being in the title race again on the run-in. Last season they completely fluffed their lines with a big lead too. It’s hard to fault Arsenal; their overall performance figure is +0.84 and they are clearly the second best team in the Premier League looking at the stats. They have been rock solid at the back this season, their average xG conceded is only 0.90 which is the best figure in the Premier League this season. I feel this is a case of how many goals can Arsenal score rather than will they win, and the market has them trading red-hot favourites at 1.23. If you fancy a massive shock, Luton Town are 15.5 and the draw is trading 7.6 at the time of writing.
Obviously Sheffield United have been way below Premier League standard – the next side in the relegation betting however is Luton Town! Their stats haven’t been good either, and you’d have to say they are playing to a level that just isn’t good enough in the Premier League. They will start this game outside the bottom three, but it won’t be long until they are in it. They have only managed an average xG created of 0.89 and they are conceding an average of 1.80. That gives them an overall performance figure of -0.91 – the next worst after that is -0.56 which is quite a bit away really. With Luton struggling to create many chances and Arsenal being so solid at the back, I really like Both Teams Not To Score here at 1.8. I think this offers some cracking value, and Arsenal have been exceptionally strong away from home lately too. They can keep a clean sheet on the way to winning, and it’s worth a confident bet at the odds.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.8 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LutArs
