PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews ARSENAL v FULHAM and NOTTINGHAM FOREST v MANCHESTER UNITED both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
ARSENAL V FULHAM
7.45pm We have an action packed full midweek Premier League fixture list on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! We returned from the International Break at the weekend with the FA Cup Quarter-Finals, and we kick off the action on Tuesday with Arsenal hosting Fulham. Unfortunately for Fulham, they were bumped out of the FA Cup on Saturday with a 3-0 loss at home to Crystal Palace; if you were being harsh you could say that was their season over. However, they do have an outside chance at a European spot. I know they have a lot of work to do and it’s highly unlikely, but they do return only three points behind Manchester City who sit in fifth – they’re also only four points off the Top Four! They are having an excellent season, and their away form has really improved which has been a major positive. Obviously they have a very difficult task on their hands here though, and Arsenal come into the game as the odds on favourites. Arsenal are 1.46 with Fulham 9.6 and the draw is 4.6 at the time of writing. Arsenal went into the International Break off the back of a nice 1-0 win here over Chelsea, but they were under a cloud before that game with no win from three Premier League games; effectively ending any hope they had of catching Liverpool.
The chance of actually catching Liverpool win exceptionally low, but once again the criticism of this Arsenal squad was that they fluffed their lines under pressure. Especially that West Ham loss when it looked like the door was just left ajar from Liverpool; the day after they went to Manchester City and won to slam it shut. I wouldn’t be rushing to take the 1.46 on Arsenal here; granted that they should get the job done. It’s hard to make a solid argument that they should be sub 1.4 for example, given the good season Fulham have been having. Arsenal have actually struggled to create as much this season – they have the fifth best attacking figure with Fulham in seventh. Arsenal have focused on being solid at the back for most of the season after a sloppy start, and I feel this has had a negative impact on them going forward. I can see this being quite a cagey game; a draw isn’t a bad result for Fulham looking at their situation and I expect them to play with that mindset too. Under 2.5 goals is trading 1.85 and that looks a nice position to return to Premier League action!
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ArlFul
NOTTINGHAM FOREST V MANCHESTER UNITED
8pm All eyes turn to Nottingham Forest hosting Manchester United as the standalone 8pm kick off, and this should be a fascinating game. Nottingham Forest are having a wonderful season, and they made it to Wembley at the weekend by beating Brighton on penalties – they now meet Manchester City in the Semi-Finals. They recently beat Manchester City here, so that might give them a bit of confidence heading into a very difficult tie on paper. It feels like everyone is just sitting back expecting Forest to slip up and fall out of the Top Four, but they just keep grinding out results and now they are adding a superb FA Cup run to their season too. Their fans must be in dreamland; they probably won’t see another season like this. The reality is Forest are massively over-performing this season, so they need to strike while they have all the confidence and momentum. Their average xG created of 1.41 is mid-table level – it’s actually 0.05 behind Manchester United who have been one of the laughing stocks of the Premier League this season. Not only that, but Forest have been getting away with a lot at the back too. Their average xG conceded is 1.62 which is in the bottom six defensive figures this season.
So far, sides just haven’t been taking their chances against Forest and they’ve been fully riding their luck. There’s quite a big gap between their xG figures and their actual goals scored/conceded. They are one of the biggest over-performing sides this season; it’ll be very interesting to see how they get on here, because United have actually been better away from home under Ruben Amorim. We have a reasonably open betting heat; Nottingham Forest come into the game as favourites at 2.4 with Manchester United 3.2 and the draw is 3.6 at the time of writing. I’m going to keep stakes low here because obviously supporting United in the markets this season has come with a major wealth warning, but the 3.2 is worth a small investment in my opinion. Forest are clearly on an excellent run with all their momentum, but there’s nothing scary in their performance levels, and as I said I do feel United are much better away from home. I feel they can surprise everyone here and claim three points.
The Striker Says:
One point win Manchester United to beat Nottingham Forest at 3.2 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/NfoMun
