PREMIER LEAGUE TUESDAY: The Striker previews TOTTENHAM v NEWCASTLE and WEST HAM v MANCHESTER UNITED both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
TOTTENHAM V NEWCASTLE
7.30pm The Premier League fixtures keep coming thick and fast on Betdaq Betting Exchange, and after a drama filled weekend we’re straight into a full midweek fixture list! We kick off Tuesday night action with a fascinating clash as Tottenham host Newcastle. This is a huge game for both sides who seem in desperate need of something good to happen – Newcastle have been playing some decent football but they haven’t been getting results. Thomas Frank at Spurs should be under absolutely enormous pressure – they are down towards the bottom of the Premier League and they’ve been woeful all season. The Spurs fans have been booing him off and chanting ‘sacked in the morning’ at him, but he seems to be getting an easy ride from the media though – a vast change from what they were like when Ange Postecoglou was there. Spurs have won just two of their last 16 Premier League games – they’ve only won two home games all season! Their under-lining numbers have been just as bad as their results too – they have the seventh worst attacking figure. Their average xG created is only 1.30 – they’ve also been conceding more than they’re creating with an average xG conceded of 1.40. Basically, the performance levels reflect their position down towards 14th. Frank keeps insisting he’s ‘feeling the trust’ from the board, but surely that can’t last much longer? They drew 2-2 with Manchester City which bought him some time, but they went down quite easily 2-0 to Manchester United at the weekend.
Newcastle have been playing much better football than Spurs this season. Their average xG created is 1.55 which is the seventh best attacking figure in the Premier League, compared to Spurs being in the bottom seven. They’ve also been marginally better at the back too with an average xG conceded of 1.34. It’s not a surprise then that Newcastle come into the game as the favourites at 2.48 with Spurs 3.05 and the draw is 3.6 at the time of writing. Newcastle have been playing better football, and while they haven’t been getting over the line in enough games, to be honest I wouldn’t be rushing to get involved in the match odds market here. You can easily avoid both sides – the market is right to have Newcastle as the favourites but as I said, they aren’t getting the results. Looking at the goals market, both sides have been creating and conceding a decent amount of chances. Spurs have been sloppy at the back all season, and Newcastle do create chances even if they haven’t been taking them. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.82 and that looks nice value in what should be an end-to-end game. Not a game for big stakes though, two points feels the right stake and I’m happy with the Overs option here.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.82 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLToNe
WEST HAM V MANCHESTER UNITED
8.15pm We finish Tuesday night with another intriguing clash as West Ham host Manchester United. What a turnaround we’ve seen at Manchester United since they sacked Ruben Amorim – four Premier League wins in a row and a win here would mean that bloke with the massive hair has to get a haircut. He’s a United fan, but surely he’s hoping they fail to win here to make his fame last a bit longer! Michael Carrick has been absolutely brilliant – could you have imagined a better start? We’ve seen United have massive bounces after a change in management before though – we need to see how they perform when times are tough. He’s completely transformed the mood at Old Trafford though. The most remarkable thing under Ruben Amorim is that Manchester United have the best attacking figure in the entire Premier League this season with an average xG created of 1.80! Obviously something wasn’t right behind the scenes because this squad does have bags of talent – perhaps you could say that they still lack confidence – throwing away the two goal lead against Fulham a prime example. They’ve been sloppy at the back – an average xG conceded of 1.31 and they’ve been conceding more than that too. A mistake is never far away with this United side, but for the time being anyway, players are clearly responding to Carrick.
This is that classic United fixture where they will be expected to win on paper; usually the games they throw in a woeful performance where they look like a League Two side. West Ham are in a desperate situation at the bottom of the table; look nailed on to go down. It’s no surprise to see United come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.75 with West Ham 4.6 and the draw is 4.5 at the time of writing. The Hammer have been woeful at the back all season with an average xG conceded of 1.78 which is the second worst defensive figure in the league. They are conceding close to two goals a game on average, and as the saying goes you don’t win many games conceding two goals! They face the “best” attacking side in the Premier League on xG here too, and it’s actually hard to not feel that the 1.75 on United is a little big. The only negative is “classic United not winning games they should” angle, but United have been on fire in attack under Carrick and seem to have found some confidence. I’m not going to go mad with the stakes – once again two points feels right – but the 1.75 is too big to ignore in my opinion.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Manchester United to beat West Ham at 1.75 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLWhMu
