🆕 THE STRIKER: previews Wednesday’s Premier League games between ARSENAL v NORWICH, BOURNEMOUTH v NEWCASTLE, EVERTON v LEICESTER and WEST HAM v CHELSEA – all with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.

The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!

Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.

ARSENAL V NORWICH

6pm Another excellent midweek fixture list in the Premier League. We start with Arsenal hosting Norwich after two solid away wins. Arsenal fans won’t know what hit them! They have an FA Cup semi-final to look forward to too; although unfortunately for them that’s against Manchester City! There’s no getting away from the fact that Arsenal have been poor this season, but they shouldn’t be so big to beat this Norwich side here. The 1.47 is an excellent price.

Norwich have played 15 away games in the Premier League this season and only scored 6 goals. That’s remarkably poor. Of course, xG puts them way above that at around 16, as actually only scoring 6 goals is barely believable. Norwich would have targeted the FA Cup Quarter Final against Manchester United at the weekend and forced it to extra-time, although they’ve had a little longer recovery time than United last night I feel they will be more physically and emotionally tired because of the importance to them. United rotated the squad, and that has effectively ended Norwich’s season. Arsenal win here and are a confident bet at 1.47.

The Striker Says:
Four points win Arsenal to beat Norwich at 1.47 with BETDAQ Exchange.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQarsnor

MATCH STATS

  • Arsenal have only lost one of their eight Premier League home games against Norwich (W5 D2) – the defeat came on the first ever day of Premier League action on 15th August 1992, with the Canaries coming from behind to win 4-2 at Highbury.
  • Norwich have kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 Premier League meetings with Arsenal (31 goals conceded), with that coming in their only win against them in that time (1-0 in October 2012).
  • This will be both Arsenal and Norwich’s first ever competitive game played in the month of July.
  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 26 home Premier League games against promoted sides (W22 D4), since losing consecutive such matches against West Brom and Newcastle in 2010-11.
  • Since a 2-1 win at Spurs in April 2012, Norwich are winless in 21 Premier League games in London (D6 L15), losing each of the last seven in a row.
  • Arsenal have won as many Premier League games in 13 matches under Mikel Arteta (W5 D5 L3) as they did in 18 games under Unai Emery and Freddie Ljungberg this season (W5 D8 L5).
  • Arsenal registered their 10th Premier League win of the season in their 2-0 win away at Southampton – it was the longest they’d had to wait for their 10th league win a season since 1975/76, when they also won their 10th game in their 31st match on their way to finishing 17th that season.
  • Norwich are the only Premier League side yet to recover a single point from a losing position this season – no team in Premier League history has ever failed to gain a point from a losing position across a full campaign.
  • Norwich have scored just one goal across their last seven Premier League matches (W1 D1 L5) despite attempting 71 shots with an expected goal ratio of 6.2. 14 of those shots have been from top scorer Teemu Pukki, who has failed to score with any.
  • Against Southampton, Arsenal had two English scorers (Eddie Nketiah and Joe Willock) in a Premier League game for the first time since August 2016 against Liverpool. It was the first time the Gunners had two English scorers aged 21 or younger in a league game since May 1989, when Michael Thomas and David Rocastle scored in a 5-0 win over Norwich.

BOURNEMOUTH V NEWCASTLE

6pm Newcastle are far enough away from the danger zone to play out the rest of the season without worrying; however their process hasn’t been good this season and you’d have to worry about them next season if they don’t change things in the summer. xG puts them in 20th spot. Newcastle might be carefree here, but this is a massive game for Bournemouth. They are all massive games at this stage of the season when you’re in the bottom three.

Bournemouth are very lucky that the teams around them have gone nowhere, as they have returned from lockdown with two losses. They had to play mid to higher placed sides in Crystal Palace and Wolves, but they created xG’s of 0.55 and 0.13. Worrying times when trying to stay up. They have to win this game, they really have to. Newcastle have been dreadful this season but have been lucky enough to pick up points and this is a fixture Bournemouth have to target. Personally, I think these are two very poor sides and I can easily see a 0-0 or 1-1 here. The draw makes appeal to me at 3.25 as a small investment between two bad sides.

The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 3.25.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQbounew

MATCH STATS

  • Bournemouth are winless in their last four Premier League meetings with Newcastle (D2 L2), losing the reverse fixture 1-2 earlier this season.
  • Both of Newcastle’s Premier League defeats against Bournemouth have come at home, with the Magpies unbeaten in their three previous visits to the Vitality Stadium (W1 D2).
  • This will be Bournemouth’s first ever competitive match played in the month of July, while it’s Newcastle’s first in the month since 2006, and a 3-0 win against Lillestrom in the Intertoto Cup.
  • Bournemouth have lost 15 of their last 20 Premier League matches (W3 D2), a run beginning with a 2-1 defeat at Newcastle on November 9th. From that date, the Cherries’ tally of 11 points is the fewest of any Premier League side.
  • Newcastle are looking to win consecutive away Premier League games for the first time since January 2018, having won 1-0 at Southampton back in March.
  • Bournemouth have kept fewer clean sheets than any other Premier League side this season (4). Of the previous 38 teams to keep the fewest number of clean sheets in a Premier League season (including joint-fewest), only 10 have avoided relegation (26%), most recently Bournemouth themselves in 2017-18.
  • Only Liverpool (16) have had more different goalscorers in the Premier League this season than Newcastle (15, excl. own goals). Only in 2004-05 and 2014-15 (both 16) have the Magpies had more different players find the net in a single campaign.
  • Excluding penalties, Bournemouth have scored a league-high 48% of their Premier League goals this season from set-piece situations (14/29). Since we have full data for this available (2006-07), only two teams have recorded a higher such share in a full Premier League campaign – Blackburn in 2009-10 (51%) and West Brom in 2014-15 (50%).
  • Newcastle striker Dwight Gayle hasn’t scored in consecutive Premier League appearances since December 2017 – he scored a brace in his last Premier League game at the Vitality Stadium in the Magpies’ 2-2 draw in February 2018.
  • Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson picked up his 10th yellow card in 30 Premier League games this season last time out against Wolves. In 91 top-flight appearances before this season, he had been booked just three times.

EVERTON V LEICESTER

6pm Whisper it, but if Leicester aren’t careful they could fall out of the top four. What a remarkable turnaround that would be from Christmas. Wolves have played a game more than Leicester, but are only three points behind them now. Chelsea will certainly catch them and go past them the way they are finishing the season and who knows, maybe United could catch them if Leicester don’t start playing well. They lost against Chelsea in the FA Cup at the weekend, but the worrying thing is they haven’t created much against Watford and Brighton – two pretty poor sides.

I think Everton win here and the 2.68 is worth backing. They returned with a 0-0 against Liverpool and xG put them on top, and although there wasn’t many chances between them and Norwich they grinded out a 1-0 win. Leicester just haven’t impressed me since returning from lockdown. They look out of form and there for the taking. Everton’s xG numbers don’t make them a big bet here however they offer reasonable value at the odds and are worth backing.

The Striker Says:
Two points win Everton to beat Leicester at 2.68 with BETDAQ Exchange.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQevelei

MATCH STATS

  • Everton have lost two of their last four home league games against Leicester (W2), as many as they had in their previous 19 against them at Goodison Park (W7 D10).
  • Leicester are looking to win three consecutive top-flight league games against Everton for the first time since May 1966.
  • Between 1994-95 and 2014-15, 13 of the 18 Premier League meetings between Everton and Leicester ended as draws (4 Everton wins, 1 Leicester). Since then, none of the last nine meetings between the sides has finished level (4 Everton wins, 5 Leicester).
  • Everton’s only previous competitive match in July was in Europa League qualifying in 2017, beating MFK Ruzomberok 1-0 at Goodison Park. Meanwhile, this is Leicester’s first ever competitive July game.
  • Everton are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League home games (W4 D4) – only Liverpool (56) are on a longer current run without a home defeat in the competition.
  • Leicester have failed to score in four of their last six Premier League matches – they’d only failed to score in three of their first 25 this season.
  • Everton are the only team yet to win a penalty in the Premier League this season. They’ve gone 38 games since they last won one (vs Chelsea in March 2019), their joint-longest such run in the competition (also 38 in 2008).
  • Everton have scored a league-high 61% of their Premier League goals this season in the opening 45 minutes of games (23/38). However, only Liverpool (8) and Sheffield United (13) have conceded fewer in the first half than Leicester (14).
  • Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has been involved in eight goals in his nine Premier League games against Everton, scoring six and assisting a further two. His next goal in the competition will be his 100th Premier League goal.
  • Excluding penalties, Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin has the highest expected goals figure in the Premier League this season (14.1). Since the season restarted, Calvert-Lewin has had 45% of Everton’s shots in the Premier League (9/20), including seven of their 12 in their last match against Norwich.

WEST HAM V CHELSEA

8.15pm Chelsea are a massive price at 1.65 here. By the time we kick off, West Ham could have dropped into the bottom three depending on the Bournemouth result and they have yet to score since returning from lockdown. They’ve had two 2-0 defeats and Chelsea have been impressive since returning. They grinded out a 2-1 win over Villa on their return, beat Manchester City and beat Leicester at the weekend in the FA Cup. They actually played City off the park with an xG of over 4 and they continue to push for a certain top four finish.

Chelsea are a class apart from West Ham here and I’m very surprise to see them as big as 1.65. I have yet to have a max bet on the Premier League since it returned but at these odds, Chelsea have to be a max bet. West Ham have been one of the worst teams in the Premier League this season and Moyes hasn’t improved their numbers either. They are conceding close to 2 goals per home game and with Chelsea in flying form, you won’t find many better value bets than this 1.65!

The Striker Says:
Five points win Chelsea to beat West Ham at 1.65 with BETDAQ Exchange.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQwesche

MATCH STATS

  • Following their 1-0 win at Stamford Bridge in November, West Ham are looking to complete their first league double over Chelsea since 2002-03 – a campaign in which the Hammers were relegated from the Premier League.
  • Having scored in 11 consecutive away league games against West Ham between 2006-2017, Chelsea have failed to find the net in their last two visits to face the Hammers (D1 L1).
  • West Ham have lost all three of their home London derbies in the Premier League this season; they’ve never lost four consecutively in the competition, last doing so in the top-flight in January 1989.
  • West Ham have lost their last three Premier League games, by an aggregate score of 0-5. They last lost four in a row in September 2018, while they last lost four in a row without scoring back in October 2006 (5 games).
  • Chelsea have won their last three Premier League London derbies on the road, last having a longer such run between April-November 2009 (4).
  • Chelsea have scored twice or more in each of their last five Premier League games – they last scored two or more goals in six consecutive league games in the same season in November/December 2013, with current manager Frank Lampard scoring in two of those games.
  • When not winning at half-time, West Ham have gone on to lose 16 of their last 18 Premier League games, with the exceptions being a 1-1 draw with Everton in January, and a 1-0 win at Chelsea in November.
  • West Ham have dropped a league-high 22 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, while only gaining one point from losing positions themselves.
  • Christian Pulisic has scored seven Premier League goals this season for Chelsea – the most of any player in the division aged 21 or younger.
  • Of all Premier League players to have scored at least 20 Premier League goals, West Ham’s Manuel Lanzini has scored the highest proportion of them in London derbies (45% – 9/20).

Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.

Bet via BETDAQ mobile below