WEDNESDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Wednesday’s games including LIVERPOOL v CHELSEA all including a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MANCHESTER CITY V BURNLEY
7.30pm We have a massive night of Premier League action on BETDAQ Betting Exchange on Wednesday! All eyes with undoubtedly be on Liverpool v Chelsea to end the evening, but we kick things off with two games at 7.30pm involving Manchester City and Spurs. We start with Manchester City hosting Burnley, and City will be fully expected to win here. Indeed, they are trading as short as 1.11 at the time of writing! That’s the shortest price from the Premier League midweek fixtures. Anything bar a comfortable City win would be a massive shock here. Burnley just haven’t been good enough this season, and they are long odds on to get relegated now. Burnley will set up for a draw here, that seems to be their best chance of a result away to City – however they are at a stage now where draws won’t be good enough to keep them up. Obviously it’s a different mentality when you face City however! With City trading so short in the match odds market, we’re going to have to look around the side markets for some value. This game is all about how many goals can City score in my opinion.
Burnley have been poor all over the pitch. After the Winter Break ended, they were scoring exactly one goal per game on average and conceding exactly two! You don’t win many games with stats like that. Their average xG conceded is 1.62, so they are conceding more goals than they should but that’s still a very high figure – it’s the fourth worst defensive figure in the Premier League this season. City have been exceptional but they have dropped points at times and given away sloppy goals. Kevin de Bruyne back is a huge boost, and I don’t see them dropping many points when he is at full fitness. The market is expecting goals here with Over 2.5 goals trading as short as 1.37. The market is also expecting City to do most of the work as Both Teams Not To Score is odds on at 1.62. Given how limited Burnley have been going forward this season, the 1.62 looks a nice position here. City will dominate the ball here so Burnley won’t be able to create much. Only Sheffield United have scored less than Burnley this season and City can keep a clean sheet here on the way to winning.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.62 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ManBur
TOTTENHAM V BRENTFORD
7.30pm Next we have Spurs hosting Brentford, and after crashing out of the FA Cup at the weekend the focus for Spurs will solely be on getting a Top Four spot this season. Brentford went out in the Third Round replays. Both sides have been playing an open game this season, and we could get a very entertaining game here. Spurs come into the game as the odds on favourites – they are trading 1.68 with Brentford 5.3 and the draw is 4.5 at the time of writing. Brentford have been really struggling to win games this season, and they’ll be hoping their recent win against Nottingham Forest will stop the rot. They had gone five games in a row losing prior to that, and they didn’t even have a difficult fixture list – losses to Crystal Palace, Wolves, Aston Villa, Sheffield United and Brighton had some people thinking they could get dragged into a relegation battle. They are far too good for that, but they do need to start getting over the line. A major issue this season is that they have been too open at the back – their xG figures are basically the same going forward and at the back. They are creating what they are conceding which usually puts you in mid-table but Brentford have been conceding more goals than they should.
Spurs have been superb going forward under Ange Postecoglou, but as I said above they have been playing a very open game too. Their average xG created is a very impressive 1.80 which is the fourth best attacking figure in the Premier League, but the massive difference between them and the top three is they concede much more. Their average xG conceded is 1.44 – for example Manchester City and Arsenal are both under 1.0. There’s no getting away from the fact that Spurs games have been very entertaining however, and I feel this game screams goals. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.53 and I feel that looks exceptional value compared to everything else here. We have two sides who love to go forward and very rarely set up to stop sides from playing. It’s very unlikely we get a cagey affair here given the way the sides play and I feel at 1.53 Overs is worth a Max Bet.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/TotBnt
LIVERPOOL V CHELSEA
8.15pm The Premier League have saved the best until last on Wednesday night as Liverpool host Chelsea! This is the first Premier League fixture for Liverpool since Jurgen Klopp announced he was stepping down as manager at the end of the season. Liverpool played here at the weekend in the FA Cup, and Klopp was in tears as the Liverpool fans sang You’ll Never Walk Alone. Klopp had a huge connection with the city, and you’d imagine it’s going to be a very emotional rollercoaster for the side for the rest of the season. Imagine the scenes if they actually won the title? They come into this matchday with a five point lead over Manchester City and although Manchester City have a game in hand, that’s a very nice place to be for Liverpool. This is the start of a massive week for them as they have to play Arsenal away from home at the weekend too. They will fancy their chances against this average Chelsea side who have dropped a lot of points already this season – Chelsea sit below Manchester United in the table, but Mauricio Pochettino isn’t getting half the media pressure compared to Erik ten Hag!
Liverpool come into this game as the odds on favourites which isn’t a surprise given how Chelsea have played at times this season. The home win is trading 1.63 with Chelsea 5.6 and the draw is 4.7 at the time of writing. Liverpool currently have the best attacking figure in the Premier League, but only by 0.01 over Manchester City! Liverpool’s average xG created is a very impressive 2.09 and with Virgil van Dijk best to his brilliant best their average xG conceded is only 1.22 which is low for Liverpool. Chelsea are creating less and conceding more – their stats are basically mid-table level pretty much where they are sitting. The only positive for Chelsea is their home and away performances are effectively the same level so being away isn’t a negative for them. Still, there is a massive performance level between the sides here and it’s hard to see past the home win. The 1.63 on Liverpool is ten ticks too big in my opinion and it’s worth a confident bet to end the evening.
The Striker Says:
Four points win Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 1.63 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LivCls
