PREMIER LEAGUE WEDNESDAY: The Striker previews the games between BRIGHTON v CHELSEA and MANCHESTER UNITED v NEWCASTLE both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BRIGHTON V CHELSEA
7.45pm The clock is ticking on the final matchday of the Premier League season, and we have our final fixtures to catch up on with two games on BETDAQ Betting Exchange on Wednesday night. We have two fascinating markets, and while Manchester United will probably be the focus point for a lot of football fans, we start the evening with Brighton hosting Chelsea. Both sides will be disappointed with their seasons, but Chelsea have been finishing the season strongly and you can see that they might improve the situation next season. They have only lost once in their last 13 Premier League games, although that was an embarrassing 5-0 loss, it was away to Arsenal who have been superb this season. Chelsea have finally started to score goals, mostly led by Cole Palmer. The London club come into this game as the favourites at 2.08 with Brighton 3.5 and the draw is 4.2 at the time of writing. Brighton have a marginally higher average xG created than Chelsea this season but there’s only 0.01 between the sides! For a side that has an average xG created of 1.66 – the fifth highest in the Premier League – Brighton really haven’t won enough games this season.
Brighton have had problems at both ends of the pitch. They aren’t converting the chances they are creating, and they are conceding sloppy goals. Their average xG conceded of 1.34 isn’t too bad but their actual figure is 1.64 which is quite a big difference. That has meant that they’ve only managed four wins from their last 21 games which is a shocking run really. They got a taste of European football this season in the Europa League, but that won’t be happening next season. Chelsea clearly have the momentum here, and I would definitely lean towards them at 2.08 if I had to have a bet in the match odds market. However, this game absolutely screams goals – both sides like to play an open and attacking brand of football, and they have both been conceding plenty of chances and goals this season too. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.44 so the market is expecting goals, but the bet I like is Over 3.5 goals 2.05! I was really surprised to see this trading odds against, I would have it odds on and it’s worth a confident bet in my opinion.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 3.5 goals at 2.05 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BriChl
MANCHESTER UNITED V NEWCASTLE
8pm Next we have Manchester United hosting Newcastle, and this is another fascinating market. Manchester United were the topic of conversation on Super Sunday as they lost again here against Arsenal – their second half performance was very poor considering they were chasing the game. The rain coming through the broken roof again an embarrassment to the club. The stadium is literally falling to pieces, and you could probably say the same thing about the team too! It was interesting to see all the ex-Manchester United players on Sky Sports saying they wanted to see Erik ten Hag stay on and that they were disappointed with the players. One wonders if they got told anything behind the scenes. The reality is these same players have already thrown plenty of managers under the bus over the last few seasons, and it looks like they have downed tools again as the season closes out. Wayne Rooney said on Sky Sports that a lot of players are just going through the motions until the end of the season; it’s hard to disagree with him to be honest. I feel if United do end up sacking the manager they will just end up back here in the next two-to-three seasons – haven’t we all been here before anyway?
We have an interesting market here with Newcastle coming into the game as the favourites at 2.44 with Manchester United 2.84 and the draw is 4.2 at the time of writing. Newcastle’s issues have been well documented away from home this season, they are conceding an average xG of 1.75 away from home which is an exceptionally high figure. Manchester United’s overall average xG conceded this season is 1.73, which is the fifth worst defensive figure in the Premier League this season – only Sheffield United, West Ham, Luton and Burnley are conceding more this season! We have two sides here who have been conceding goals and chances for fun, and this game absolutely screams goals. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.37 so the market is obviously expecting goals, but I feel we’ll see more than that. Over 3.5 goals is 1.9 and that looks cracking value in what should be a very open game with plenty of mistakes at both ends of the pitch.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 3.5 goals at 1.9 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MunNwc
