EURO 2024: The Ultra previews Saturday’s knockout games between SWITZERLAND v ITALY and GERMANY v DENMARK both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
SWITZERLAND V ITALY
5pm The Knockout Stages of Euro 2024 arrive on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE as we kick off the Last 16 on Saturday! We start right at the bottom of the draw as Switzerland meet Italy. England fans will have a big interest in this game as the winner of this will face Gareth Southgate’s men if they win their Last 16 game; England have been pretty poor so far but they did get a relatively easy draw against Slovakia! Switzerland finished second behind Germany in Group A; they came very close to beating Germany in the final Group game bar an injury time equaliser from the Germans. Italy finished behind Spain in Group B where they got comfortably outplayed by the Spanish. This should be a fascinating game; neither side has been overly impressive to date and it’s no surprise that we have a very open betting heat. Italy come into the game as the favourites at 2.54 with Switzerland 3.55 and the draw is 3.0 at the time of writing. Both sides will be absolutely delighted with the draw – the way things have turned out we have an exceptionally tough side of the draw and a pretty easy one on paper. You can understand why England are still tournament favourites, even if they have been so poor on the pitch.
Italy were exceptionally lucky to be here; they were outplayed by Croatia in their final Group game and got out of jail big time with a 98th minute equaliser. That must have been an incredible feeling for Italian fans, but when you look at the under-lining numbers they have been pretty average. My view is that they are there for the taking against the bigger sides, and the big question coming into this game is are Switzerland good enough to take advantage? Italy conceded more chances than they created in the Group stage, while for Switzerland they marginally created more. Switzerland would have been disappointed with the draw against Scotland, but they have done very little wrong to date. I can understand why so many punters fancy the draw here at 3.0, but in my opinion Italy are too short at 2.54. I would have the market even more open with the sides closer together in price. From a value point of view I’m very happy with an Italy lay here at the odds. I wouldn’t put anyone off the Switzerland bet at 3.55 but I’m happy to have the draw on our side here too; it’s hard to see anything bar a very close game.
The Ultra Says:
Three points lay (liability) Italy to beat Switzerland at 2.54 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/SwiIta
GERMANY V DENMARK
8pm We go to the top of the draw next as the hosts Germany clash with Denmark. I know they wouldn’t have been thinking this as they were the first to play their final Group games, but Germany would have been better off losing against Switzerland in their final game and not scoring in injury time! That would have put them into the easy half of the draw with pretty much only England and Netherlands in the way of a place in the Final. Now their path should they win this game is most likely Spain and then France – it’s no wonder they have been drifting in the Outright market. That’s an incredibly tough draw; I wrote in my preview that the Group stage wasn’t the time to take on Germany that they would come up short at a later stage of the tournament. I still have the same view after seeing them play in the Group stage to be honest; I still have major question marks about them at the back. Scotland offered nothing going forward, Hungary were a lot poorer than expected and then obviously Switzerland came close to beating them. The big question here for me is are Denmark good enough to trouble Germany because they have been pretty average. They were definitely in the most boring Group finishing second behind England and it was pretty disappointing that they could only draw with Slovenia and Serbia.
Germany come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.66 with Denmark 6.6 and the draw is 4.0 at the time of writing. While I do feel that the 1.66 is too short on Germany – in my opinion it’s very hard to make the case that they should be a lot shorter and thus offer value – Denmark haven’t exactly inspired confidence at Euro 2024 thus far. They have created more chances than they have conceded but like I said their failure to beat Slovenia or Serbia is disappointing. You could even say that they have conceded a little bit more chances than you would like. Germany should have scored sooner against Switzerland; they finished the game with a very good xG figure. They have definitely created more than Denmark at this tournament and it will be interesting to see do they continue to play an open game. Under 2.5 goals is the favourite at 1.85 and I agree with the market on that one – I expect this game to be pretty cagey. I know Germany have had their issues at the back, but Denmark have lacked a spark going forward. I like the Unders bet at 1.85.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/GerDen
