FRIDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews STUTTGART v BAYERN MUNICH and REAL VALLADOLID v LAS PALMAS both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
STUTTGART V BAYERN MUNICH
7.30pm The busy week around Europe continues on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! We kick off the weekend with our usual Friday night football slot of one game from the Bundesliga and one from La Liga. We have a big relegation battle in La Liga later, but we start the evening in the Bundesliga as Stuttgart host Bayern Munich. We had some very entertaining clashes between these two recently – Over 2.5 goals has landed in the last twelve meetings! Stuttgart have got a few results too; they managed a 3-1 win in 2024! Bayern hammered them 4-0 earlier in the season when they had home advantage though, and Bayern have been sailing along strongly in the Bundesliga this season. A recent draw at Bayer Leverkusen kept the gap to eight points, and given the gulf in class between the top two and the rest it’s hard to see that gap being closed to be honest. As you would expect, Bayern come into the game as the odds on favourites. Bayern are trading 1.7 with Stuttgart 5.1 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. After finishing second behind Bayer Leverkusen last season – one point ahead of Bayern too – Stuttgart have been struggling this season.
They come into this matchday sitting down in seventh place. Only one win from their last five Bundesliga games has left them with a lot of work to do, however they are only three points behind Freiburg in fourth, so there’s lots to play for. Stuttgart have the fourth best attacking figure in the Bundesliga this season but when you look at their under-lining numbers the difference between their home and away performances is massive – at home their average xG created is 1.85 and their average xG conceded is only 1.1, but away from home they are conceding more than they are creating. This will be a reasonably tough test for Bayern – I know Bayern are much better than the rest of the Bundesliga in general, but the 1.7 doesn’t jump off the page here. This fixture has a very good history of goals, and I feel Stuttgart have created enough this season to score at some stage here – Both Teams To Score looks a very nice option at 1.6 in what should be an entertaining game.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.6 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/StuByn
REAL VALLADOLID V LAS PALMAS
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Friday night football as Real Valladolid host Las Palmas. This one will have a big impact on the relegation race, but only from a Las Palmas point of view because the writing is on the wall for Real Valladolid – they are nailed to the bottom of the table and have been cut adrift now. Las Palmas come into the matchday sitting just outside the relegation zone – level on points with Valencia who are sitting in 18th so they are under immense pressure. From a Las Palmas point of view, this is a must win game – they won’t get many easier fixtures than this, even away from home. Real Valladolid have lost their last six La Liga games, and you could make the argument that there has been signs they’ve given up too. Morale must be at an all-time low this season; they’ve lost games 5-1, 4-0 and 7-1 in their last four games. The only positive thing to say from a Real Valladolid point of view is that from the seven results they have managed this season, six of them came with home advantage. That still puts them at the bottom of the home form table however!
As you would expect, Las Palmas come into the game as the favourites but we have an open betting heat. Las Palmas are trading 2.5 with Real Valladolid 3.25 and the draw is 3.35 at the time of writing. Las Palmas have been playing the better football this season – it wouldn’t be difficult to top Real Valladolid’s level after all – but the reality is we have two poor sides here. Real Valladolid have the second worst attacking figure with an average xG created of 0.96 but Las Palmas aren’t too far ahead of them at 1.23, and they haven’t been converting those chances either. Both sides have been very poor at the back; they are both in the bottom four on defensive figures with Real Valladolid having the worst record in La Liga. In terms of goal conceded, we have the two worst sides here – it’s hard not to see plenty of mistakes at the back – whether or not they are good enough going forward to take advantage is the question so I’m going to keep stakes low, but Both Teams To Score is worth backing at 1.99.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Both Teams To Score at 1.99 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/RvaLas
