FRIDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews UDINESE v AC MILAN and VALENCIA v SEVILLA both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
UDINESE V AC MILAN
7.45pm We have a wonderful Friday night from Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! We have two cracking fixtures from Serie A and La Liga to enjoy, and we kick off the evening in Serie A with Udinese hosting AC Milan. If you look at the under-lining figures from both sides, you wouldn’t think that they are so close together in the table with AC Milan 9th and Udinese 11th. AC Milan have the third best attacking figure in the league this season but they just haven’t got over the line in enough games this season – they dropped more points at the weekend with a hard fought 2-2 draw against Fiorentina. Their chances of European football from a league finish look very slim now, so all their focus has to be on the Coppa Italia. They are in the Semi-Final heading into a second leg against Inter Milan with the tie sitting at 1-1. We have an interesting market here. AC Milan are the favourites but there’s plenty of willing layers. AC Milan are trading 2.02 with Udinese 4.1 and the draw is 3.65 at the time of writing. On paper, this is a game that AC Milan should win but you could have said that a lot of times this season.
Udinese are conceding more than they are creating this season – their attacking figure in mid-table level, and so is their defensive figure. You could call them your classic mid-table Serie A side. They are really struggling to score goals this season – their average xG created is only 1.31 but they aren’t even converting those chances. On pure figures, you’d be confident on an AC Milan win here but as I mentioned, they just haven’t been getting the job done this season. It’s not like they have been sloppy at the back either or massively under-performing. They aren’t converting all their chances, but they aren’t far off and they’ve been solid at the back. This is definitely a game for small stakes in my opinion; based on their performances I would have AC Milan marginally odds on here but you have to be concerned about how many points they have dropped this season. I feel 2.02 is a little big to ignore though, and I’m happy with a small investment. Udinese are there for the taking, if AC Milan can deliver.
The Ultra Says:
One point win AC Milan to beat Udinese at 2.02 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/UdnAcm
VALENCIA V SEVILLA
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Friday night as Valencia host Sevilla. This is another intriguing game – Valencia stole all the headlines in La Liga at the weekend with a win away to Real Madrid. It’s been quite a turnaround for them in recent weeks after getting heavily involved in the relegation battle. For a club with their history, it would have been a massive shame if they went down but there’s no chance of that now. After a shocking start, they’ve only lost three times in 15 La Liga games, and those games came against Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atletico Madrid. Not a bad record that! They’ve won three of their last four La Liga games too, and they must be full of confidence coming into this game. They are only two points behind Sevilla now who have lost their last three games. It feels like this fixture is coming at a good time for Valencia. We have an open market here – Valencia come into the game as favourites at 2.4 with Sevilla 3.6 and the draw is 3.1 at the time of writing. Sevilla have obviously been through a lot over the last few seasons.
They were sitting rock bottom of La Liga while the World Cup was on, and although it felt like that season was just a bump in the road after they won the Europa League, their poor form has continued for three seasons now. They have no chance of getting into Europe, and I’d expect their quality of player to go down too; it doesn’t seem like they are going to get back into that top four any time soon. They had been on a very similar run to Valencia before that three game run of losses. They went 14 games with just three losses, and those losses came against Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid and Barcelona just like Valencia. It’s clear to see that Valencia are in great form coming into this game, but there’s very little between these sides on paper. Sevilla have been struggling in front of goal this season; they haven’t been converting all their chances so it’s easy to see why Valencia are the favourites. Once again, I feel this is a game for small stakes and I’m happy with a small position on the draw at 3.1.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Draw at 3.1 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ValSev
