MONDAY IN EUROPE: Our European football tipster The Ultra previews Monday’s matches between HOFFENHEIM v AUGSBURG and EIBAR v VALENCIA both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
HOFFENHEIM V AUGSBURG
7.30pm It’s the norm now to have one fixture from the Bundesliga and one from La Liga on a Monday and Friday night and I am here for it! We have some interesting games tonight towards the mid to lower half of both leagues and we start with Hoffenheim against Augsburg. Hoffenheim had to settle for a 1-1 draw last weekend against Mainz which was disappointing and that followed on from a draw with Stuttgart and a loss against Wolfsburg. They are lower than Augsburg now in the table, it’s hard to believe they actually beat Bayern Munich 4-1 earlier in the season.
I’m a bit weary of backing Hoffenheim at odds on here, but Augsburg have some very poor xG figures. Their last six games read; 0.49, 0.82, 0.29, 1.63, 0.26 and 0.70. Those are pretty poor figures and although the Hoffenheim results haven’t been great lately – they have definitely been creating more. I would to be against Augsburg here, but I fully take on board Hoffenheim aren’t exactly in great form so I will just adjust stakes lower. The 1.9 is still worth a small investment looking at the Augsburg figures.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Hoffenheim to beat Augsburg at 1.9 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQHofAug
EIBAR V VALENCIA
8pm We move to La Liga for our second game for another mid to lower table affair as Eibar host Valencia. Apart from a very surprise 4-1 win against Real Madrid that came before the International break, Valencia have been pretty poor. They made a lot of changes in the summer, which is always hard when you don’t have unlimited money to rebuild straight away. It’s always a tough choice to stay with what you have or perhaps gamble and possibly get worse before you get better. Looking at the Valencia xG figures, I think they will get worse this season and hopefully (for them) get better afterwards.
This might be a low quality affair, but Eibar can come out on top for me and they are worth backing at 2.54 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. It’s only worth a small investment because they aren’t a very impressive side themselves, and it’s only because I feel Valencia are so poor that the 2.54 offers some value and is worth a small investment. I also wouldn’t put anyone off a small bet on 0-0 in the Correct Score market depending on the price closer to the off.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Eibar to beat Valencia at 2.54 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQEibVal
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