LA LIGA MONDAY: Our new European football tipster The Ultra is showing an ROI of 21% with 8 winners from 9 bets this week and a 13.15 point profit! He now previews Monday’s La Liga matches between VILLARREAL v SEVILLA and LEGANES v GRANADA both with recommended BETDAQ bets.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
VILLARREAL V SEVILLA
6.30pm We have two La Liga games to enjoy on Monday and we kick off with Villarreal hosting Sevilla. I expected a high quality game here between two very good sides. Villarreal have been under-performing this season and their xG places them only two spots behind Sevilla in the table. Sevilla have yet to kick into gear since returning from lockdown, although they did win their first game and managed to draw with Barcelona they are playing good football. The last two games seen them only created an xG of 0.83 and 1.0, but again that includes Barcelona.
Villarreal have returned from lockdown with three wins from three wins. Although they have been lucky to win the last two. They gave up an xG of over 2 against Mallorca but managed to keep a clean sheet as Mallorca wasted their chances and only created an xG of 0.69 when winning at Granada 1-0. The draw price makes appeal at 3.5 as I see a very close game, however I can’t get away from under 2.5 goals at 1.93. These two are the perfect match-up to cancel each other out in a very cagey game. Neither side are running up huge xG’s in their recent games and I’m surprise unders isn’t closer to 1.7.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQVilSev
LEGANES V GRANADA
9pm Leganes are one of the most “unlucky” sides in Europe this season. They are sitting in 20th, but xG puts them in 11th. At the end of the day, you have to convert your chances and they just haven’t done that. Perhaps this is a fixture where most casual football fans look at Granada in midtable and are shocked to see Leganes at 2.36 to beat them; however on xG there isn’t much between the sides and the shrewd money in the market reflects that.
Since returning from lockdown Leganes have created a better xG against Mallorca and Real Valladolid but only came away with one point from both games. They performed reasonably well against Barcelona but can’t realistically be expected to win – the game finished 1.66 to 1.0 in favour of Barcelona. The market is saying we see very little goals here but I disagree. Granada have been creating decent chances in their three games since returning. I’m surprise to see over 1.5 goals as big as 1.69 on BETDAQ Exchange. I felt over 2.5 goals should be around 2.0, and I’m very happy to take 1.69 on over 1.5.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Over 1.5 goals at 1.69 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQLegGra
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
