LA LIGA MONDAY: Our new European football tipster The Ultra previews Monday’s La Liga matches between LEVANTE V REAL SOCIEDAD and SEVILLA V EIBAR both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
LEVANTE V REAL SOCIEDAD
6.30pm We have two La Liga games to enjoy on Monday evening and we start with Levante hosting Real Sociedad. The away side finally managed to get a win when beating Espanyol comfortably 2-1. They conceded a goal, but the Espanyol xG was only 0.14 at the end of the game – that’s superb defence. The problem for Real Sociedad is that they haven’t been creating enough chances of their own, and that’s why they lost the four games previous. They returned with xG’s of 0.98, 0.85, 0.51 and 0.71 – they had to play Real Madrid but the other three games were winnable on paper.
Levante have only lost once in their last six and that came against Atletico Madrid who have been playing some nice football since returning from lockdown. They have had some boring games and some wild games – the 4-2 win against Real Betis being the most entertaining. On paper, under 2.5 goals is tempting at 2.04 given the lack of chances Sociedad have been creating but I just don’t see why Sociedad should be 2.32 here on their current form and I’m happy to lay them at the odds. Levante have been tough to beat and that can continue here.
The Ultra Says:
Two points lay (liability) Real Sociedad at 2.32 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQLevRea
SEVILLA V EIBAR
9pm Sevilla have been very tough to beat lately, but when considering to back a 1.51 shot you don’t like to hear the words “tough to beat” and see four draws from six games. They may have won their last game 3-0, but their xG was only 1.06 and they aren’t exactly creating a host of chances. They should have beaten Real Valladolid but other than that their results have been very fair. Eibar are quite similar – they haven’t created an xG of over 2 in a game in their last six and they don’t give many chances away either.
I can easily see Sevilla running out 1-0 or 2-0 winners here, but I like under 2.5 goals at 1.95 with BETDAQ Exchange. Sevilla aren’t firing on all cylinders as you can see with four draws in six games and it has been their lack of chances created that’s caused this. Eibar are pretty solid and reliable, I can’t see an open game here. These games behind closed doors have tended to have slow starts and without a spark this one won’t pick up until the 60th minute mark. Unders looks the play.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQSevEib
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