MONDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews MONZA v UDINESE and GETAFE v ESPANYOL both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MONZA V UDINESE
7.45pm A new week begins in Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE with Serie A and La Liga action on Monday night. This is the start of another big week from Europe with the Champions League and Europa League back. Our Monday night fixture list is a little less glamorous compared to what’s to come of course, but we do have two interesting betting heats. We kick off the evening in Serie A as Monza host Udinese, and we have an exceptionally open betting heat here. Monza are the favourites at 2.84 with Udinese 3.0 and the draw is 3.1 at the time of writing. Monza come into the game pressure sitting in the relegation zone at the moment – they have plenty of sides within four points of them so there’s no need to be hitting the panic button yet, but obviously it’s a poor situation. Udinese are sitting in mid-table, and they have been playing better football than Monza this season so I was surprised to see Monza as the favourites when I clicked into the market – granted it’s a very open betting heat.
While Monza do have a lot of sides within touching distance, they do have red flags in their performance figures. Their average xG created is the second worst in Serie A this season sitting under 1.0 which is always alarming. They have been solid at the back, and that’s why they’ve ended up with their ten points. Seven draws from 14 games isn’t a bad return; they are hard to beat but they just need to create more. Udinese have the same average xG conceded as Monza, but they have been leaking more goals – they have been sloppy at the back in general, but I would still have them as marginal favourites for this game given the Monza struggles up front. I’m sure the draw will be a popular choice here at 3.1 in what should be a very tight game, but I’m happy to have the Udinese win on our side too and I’m happy with the Monza lay at the odds.
The Ultra Says:
Two points lay (liability) Monza to beat Udinese at 2.84 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MonUdi
GETAFE V ESPANYOL
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Monday night football as Getafe host Espanyol. While this might not be the highest quality game, it’s absolutely massive in the relegation battle. Both sides come into the game sitting on the same amount of points; Getafe sit just outside the bottom three with Espanyol in the relegation zone on goal difference. Espanyol have conceded a lot of goals this season – only Real Valladolid have conceded more and they sit bottom of the table coming into this matchday. The under-lining numbers make for some very grim reading for Espanyol – they have the second worst average xG created and their attacking figure is under 1.0. They also have the worst defensive figure in La Liga with an average xG conceded of 1.65. Real Valladolid have conceded more goals, but Espanyol have conceded more chances than them! Apart from Real Valladolid who look short of La Liga quality, if you were picking another side to go down it would be Espanyol at the moment looking at the performance levels. From that point of view, it’s not a surprise that Getafe come into the game as the odds on favourites with home advantage.
Getafe are trading 1.86 with Espanyol 6.0 and the draw is 3.25 at the time of writing. While Espanyol have really struggled at the back, Getafe have been very impressive. They have the best defensive figure in La Liga with an average xG conceded of just 0.95. The only club in La Liga with an average xG conceded under 1.0. While that’s clearly very impressive, it has come at a cost in their attacking figures. Their average xG created of 1.15 is very average – pretty poor to be honest, and they aren’t even converting those chances. The question here is how chances will Espanyol gift to Getafe – but the reality is Getafe do struggle to score and I wouldn’t be rushing to take the 1.86 on them here despite being the better side. Getafe will have to grind out a win because they just can’t blow sides away with their attacking figures – Under 2.5 goals is trading 1.45 so the market is expecting a low scoring affair. I’m going to go for a big price here, and I like 0-0 in the Correct Score market at 7.0.
The Ultra Says:
One point win 0-0 Correct Score at 7.0 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/GetEsp
