SATURDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews BAYERN MUNICH v HOLSTEIN and ESPANYOL v REAL MADRID both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BAYERN MUNICH V HOLSTEIN
2.30pm The action from Europe continues on Betdaq Betting Exchange with Bayern Munich and Real Madrid back in action on Saturday! These two sides might be looking at very difficult fixtures in the Champions League after this week – the draw is being made on Friday so they’ll know their faith before kick off here with Manchester City waiting. Bayern stumbled through the Champions League this season, but they haven’t been having many issues in the Bundesliga. They now have a nice six point advantage after Bayer Leverkusen dropped points last weekend – I thought it was going to be very hard for Leverkusen to close a four point gap given the gulf in class between the top sides and the rest in the Bundesliga, never mind a six point gap. Bayern will be fully expected to win here, and they are trading exceptionally short. They are actually one of the shortest prices you will see to win a domestic game around Europe this season. Bayern are trading as short as 1.06 with Holstein 50.0 and the draw is 21.0 at the time of writing. Anything bar a comfortable win for Bayern here would be the biggest shock of the season.
At 1.06, they are hardly worth even including in your weekend Acca! This game is going to be about how many goals Bayern can score rather than will they actually win, and the focus is obviously going to be on the side markets. Holstein have been picking up a few results recently, but they have been playing poor football this season in general – they have the joint-worst attacking figure with Bochum who sit in the relegation zone with them. Holstein have the worst defensive figure – their average xG conceded is 1.74 – that’s a terrible figure to bring to Bayern away. As you would expect, Bayern have the best attacking figure with an average xG created of 2.13 – they also have the best defensive figure. Bayern are as short as 1.21 to cover the 1.5 goal handicap – Bayern are 2.07 -3.5 goals which will be the popular line here to be honest. I know Bayern might play an exceptionally open game here and they could relax four or five goals ahead, but I like Both Teams Not To Score at 1.75 – effectively a Bayern clean sheet on the way to winning.
The Ultra Says:
Two point win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.75 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BayHol
ESPANYOL V REAL MADRID
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Saturday with the Champions Real Madrid in action as they take on Espanyol. Much like the game above in the Bundesliga – it’s top of the table against a side in the relegation zone, and there won’t be many football fans expecting a result for Espanyol here! Real Madrid come into the game as the red-hot favourites at 1.34 with Espanyol 11.0 and the draw is 5.9 at the time of writing. Last weekend was another good weekend for Real Madrid fans; they notched up another win with Atletico Madrid dropping points again, so they have a four point advantage coming into this weekend. Considering they were nine points behind Barcelona at one stage before their wheels fell off. Barcelona actually have marginally better xG figures compared to Real Madrid, but obviously they had that nightmare run in November and December – they were dropping points against sides like Las Palmas and Leganes – both in the relegation battle. Real have put four wins together, as I said above they’ll be fully expected to make this a run of five wins before a huge Derby against Atletico Madrid next weekend. They have home advantage for that clash too.
It’s been hard to fault Real this season. Obviously Mbappe has faced a bit of criticism for having a negative impact on their system for not tracking back a few times. Since he’s started scoring goals, that’s also started to go away. I don’t think Mbappe has done anything unexpected compared to how he usually plays to be honest – after winning La Liga and the Champions League last season, he was always an easy target if things weren’t going well. Espanyol only have an average xG created of 1.01 which is the third worst attacking figure in La Liga, and they also have the second worst defensive figure. I feel this is about how many goals Real can score rather than will they win – I’d happily include them in any weekend Acca! For my recommended bet here however, they are trading 1.93 -1.5 goals which I feel is cracking value. They are basically creating two goals a game, and Espanyol are close to conceding that volume of chances too – Real should cover the handicap on their way to winning.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Real Madrid -1.5 goals to beat Espanyol at 1.93 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EspRma
