SATURDAY EURO HIGHLIGHTS: Our European football tipster The Ultra previews two high profile European games on Saturday ….. DORTMUND V MONCHENGLADBACH in the Bundesliga and in Spain the La Liga clash between CELTA VIGO V VALENCIA – both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
DORTMUND V MONCHENGLADBACH
5.30pm The Bundesliga returned last night with the Champions Bayern Munich hosting Schalke, but this is an absolute cracker for Saturday evening, plus all sports are 0% commission on BETDAQ today so we’ll get some extra value! Gladbach only finished four points behind Dortmund last season. Dortmund massively over-performed last season looking at their under-lining numbers and it will be fascinating to see how they perform this season. They scored a lot of goals last season, but they were scoring from unlikely positions and had a very low xG. For a side who finished second in Bundesliga, to have an xG as low as 1.74 is surprising.
Gladbach had a higher xG and recorded over 2 goals per game. They are excellent going forward, and generally play an open game. We have some interesting markets here because Gladbach games are full of goals, while Dortmund aren’t usually a team that scream goals. Over 2.5 goals looks pretty short at 1.47 and I’m happy to stay away from that. Gladbach impressed me last season, and although Dortmund are a solid side I’m happy to have a small lay on them at 1.69 as that looks a couple of ticks too short.
The Ultra Says:
One point lay Dortmund at 1.69 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQDorGla
CELTA VIGO V VALENCIA
8pm We have a fascinating clash to end the day in La Liga as Celta Vigo and Valencia clash! These two couldn’t have had more different opening weekends! Celta Vigo drew 0-0 with Eibar is a game with little chances, while Valencia had a mad game in which they beat Levanta 4-2. xG says they were lucky to win however, with Levante winning the xG battle 2.63 to 2.29. Valencia changed a lot in the summer, and while they did start with a win, they need to improve the performances.
The goals market are fairly priced at 2.04 for Over 2.5 goals because although Valencia will probably play an open game again, Celta Vigo didn’t give up many chances last weekend – however they didn’t create much either. They look a little short at 2.32, although given all the changes from Valencia during the summer I need to see more from them. I like the draw here at 3.65 as that looks good value with the added bonus of 0% commission, in what should be a fascinating game.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Draw at 3.65 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCelVln
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