SATURDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews WERDER BREMEN v BAYERN MUNICH, JUVENTUS v NAPOLI and REAL MADRID v ESPANYOL all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
WERDER BREMEN V BAYERN MUNICH
2.30pm We have a cracking Saturday from Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE this week! We have action from the Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga to enjoy – undoubtedly the highlight of the day is Juventus v Napoli in Serie A but we have two red-hot favourites with Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in action too. We kick off the day in the Bundesliga with Werder Bremen hosting Bayern Munich – it’s been back to business as usual for Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga this season with three wins from three games. Bayer Leverkusen have already had a loss, and Bayern are the only side with a 100% record after three games. They were involved in a crazy game as the Champions League started back this week – they scored a whopping nine goals on their way to winning against Dinamo Zagreb! It’s not a surprise to see the Bayern win as the shortest price of the day in the Bundesliga. Bayern Munich are trading 1.38 with Werder Bremen 8.4 and the draw is 6.2 at the time of writing. Werder Bremen are unbeaten after three games, and they did manage a 0-0 draw here against Dortmund. There’s no getting away from the gulf in class between the sides here though.
I can’t see past a comfortable win for Bayern here, and I feel it’s a case of how many goals they can score rather than will they win. The only positive thing to say about Werder Bremen is that they did keep Dortmund to a low xG figure when they got that 0-0 draw here – given Bayern finished last season with an average xG created of 1.97 and they are sitting at 1.86 this season, I don’t see Werder getting another 0-0 here. There are some massive red flags in the Werder under-lining figures. Their average xG created is only 1.12 after three games which is the joint-second worst attacking figure. Last season they finished with the third worst attacking figure. There’s no prizes for tipping a 1.38 shot, but I would happily include Bayern in any Acca this weekend! In terms of a good bet here, I really like Bayern to cover the 1.5 goal handicap and that looks great value at just over odds against at 2.01.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Bayern Munich -1.5 goals to beat Werder Bremen at 2.01 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WreBay
JUVENTUS V NAPOLI
5pm Next we move over to Serie A for the highlight of the day as Juventus host Napoli. This fixture would have easily been the highlight of the weekend, but we do have the Milan derby to enjoy on Sunday night! This should be a fascinating game though, and it will give us an idea on what to expect from the two sides moving forward this season. Obviously they both come into this season with plenty of questions – Juventus finished last season very poorly and their under-lining numbers are very average. Napoli finished last season with the best attacking figure in Serie A, but they just couldn’t take their chances and finished down in mid-table. After they lost their first game of the season 3-0 to Verona while also finishing the game with a higher xG figure than they created, you would have been forgiven for expecting another disappointing season! They have bounced back well though, they’ve won their next three games and that’s put them just one point off league leaders Udinese with Inter Milan dropping points. Just behind Napoli in the table are Juventus; they are unbeaten after four games but they have had to settle for two draws. They have been limited going forward, but they do have the best defensive figure so far.
We’re going to have some big opinions on either side of the book here given the performance levels. Juventus are the favourites at 2.34 with Napoli 3.6 and the draw is 3.35 at the time of writing. Very impressively, Juventus are yet to conceded a Serie A goal this season and their average xG conceded is only 0.67 which is very impressive. This has come at a slight cost going forward as their average xG created is mid-table level. Napoli are far better going forward, they have the third best attacking figure but obviously you’d still have to have worries with them taking their chances. I would suggest that the 2.34 is too short on Juventus given what Napoli are creating, but I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market because this game screams a lack of goals in my opinion. Under 2.5 goals is trading 1.73 and that looks cracking value – Juventus create little and with them being so strong at the back, Napoli will have a difficult time breaking them down. I actually wouldn’t be surprised to see a 0-0 here but I can’t get away from Unders here.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/JveNap
REAL MADRID V ESPANYOL
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Saturday in Europe as Real Madrid host Espanyol. Real Madrid come into this game as the red-hot favourites at 1.19 with Espanyol 21.0 and the draw is 8.4 at the time of writing – that 1.19 is one of the shortest prices around Europe this weekend. It’s not a surprise to see Real trading so short here; Espanyol have just come back up into La Liga from the Segunda playoffs and their only goal this season is staying in La Liga. From that point of view, they will be delighted with seven points from their five games, but there are some red flags in their performance levels. They only have an average xG created of 1.04, which is the fourth worst attacking figure in La Liga coming into this weekend – compare that to Real Madrid’s figure at 1.89! Espanyol are also conceding a lot of chances too – they are in the bottom five on defensive figures too. It doesn’t make very positive reading for Espanyol, and anything bar a very comfortable win for Real here would be a shock. I feel this is about how many goals Real score rather than will they win.
With Real trading 1.19, we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value. I wouldn’t put anyone off adding Real to any Acca this weekend, but there’s no prizes for tipping 1.19 shots! Real have been held to a few draws this season, but they have been very comfortable in their home La Liga games. They had to work hard to win in the Champions League midweek, but Mbappe scored his first Champions League goal for Real and they managed to find two goals in the last ten minutes. They did concede a lot of chances, and that might be a slight worry for handicap markets here. Both Teams To Score is trading 2.21 and that doesn’t make much appeal given the Espanyol attacking figures – I feel Over 2.5 goals is a much better position at 1.44 compared to BTTS. Another option is Real Madrid -1.5 goals at 1.53, but I marginally prefer the Overs option. I know Real will have to do most of the work, but they played such an open game midweek I wouldn’t rule out Espanyol scoring at some stage either.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.44 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/RmaEsl
