SATURDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews REAL MADRID v OSASUNA, RB LEIPZIG v GLADBACH and JUVENTUS v TORINO all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
REAL MADRID V OSASUNA
1pm Another fascinating Saturday from Europe awaits on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We have three massive clubs from La Liga, the Bundesliga and Serie A all at home against opposition that they should beat, but you don’t have to look far to find reasons to be worried about the home treble! We kick the day off in La Liga with Real Madrid hosting Osasuna – it’s been a poor few weeks for Real Madrid and they come into this game under pressure. They lost El Clasico, and after not playing because of the floods in Valencia, now Barcelona are nine points clear. Real Madrid have a game in hand, but after losing El Clasico a six point gap is going to be difficult to close. They lost again midweek in the Champions League, this time against AC Milan at home, and they sit all the way down in 18th in the new Champions League table. Thierry Henry did a good piece of analysis during the week on Mbappe, basically highlighting the issue he’s causing and his work rate – or lack thereof! That’s going to cause a little bit of drama, but it was always getting noticed that Mbappe was having a negative impact on the balance of the team.
The big loser, in Henry’s analysis, was Jude Bellingham – the star of the show last season! This is something Real Madrid need to fix, probably another example of signing a star player doesn’t always bring success – Real were superb last season winning La Liga easily and the Champions League; Mbappe seems to have took the team backwards in terms of structure. Despite the issues, Osasuna at home is still a game that Real should be winning and it’s no surprise that they come in as the red-hot favourites. Real Madrid are trading as short as 1.23 with Osasuna 16.0 and the draw is 8.0 at the time of writing. I have to say I wouldn’t exactly be rushing to include Real in any weekend Acca at 1.23! Osasuna have had a very positive start to the season, they are only three points behind Real – they have played a game more however. I feel Real will grind out a win, but Osasuna can keep the score line respectable. Osasuna are trading 1.59 with a +2.5 goal handicap, and that looks worth a small investment.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Osasuna +2.5 goals to beat Real Madrid at 1.59 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ReaOsu
RB LEIPZIG V GLADBACH
5.30pm Next we move over to the Bundesliga as RB Leipzig host Gladbach. RB Leipzig have made a very positive start to the season, but they come into this game after a nightmare week. They were level on points with Bayern Munich at the top of the table heading into last weekend – a loss against Dortmund set them back, but then they lost to Celtic in the Champions League midweek. Celtic is always a tricky away tie, but there is a huge gulf in class between the Scottish league and the Bundesliga – that loss leaves RB Leipzig on zero points after four Champions League games. It looks like they will be exiting Europe early this season! Their next three fixtures in the Champions League are Inter Milan away and then Aston Villa and Sporting Lisbon here – not exactly an easy fixture list to finish strongly! They face a Gladbach side here would have been one of the most entertaining sides to watch in the Bundesliga this season – they are just so open. They are in the top three for chances created and the bottom six defensively. Only Gladbach could have the third best attacking figure and manage to concede more chances than they create!
It is an improvement on last season for Gladbach though when they finished the season with the worst defensive figure in the Bundesliga. It’s hard to see anything other than an open and entertaining game here. RB Leipzig are hardly going to sit back either, although their average xG created figure hasn’t been impressive this season. They’ve been over-performing in front of goal. RB Leipzig come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.58 with Gladbach 5.8 and the draw is 4.9 at the time of writing. I have to say the 1.58 on the home win doesn’t make too much appeal – I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here anyway because this game screams goals in my opinion. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.45 and Both Teams To Score is 1.56 – I have to say I much prefer the Both Teams To Score bet at over ten ticks higher than Over 2.5 goals. As I said above, Gladbach have been creating and conceding a lot this season and RB Leipzig won’t sit back. I feel we’re getting so much value at 1.56 that it’s worth a Five Star NAP!
The Ultra Says:
Five points win Both Teams To Score at 1.56 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/RBlGla
JUVENTUS V TORINO
7.45pm We move over to Serie A to finish a fantastic Saturday as Juventus host Torino. We have another odds on home favourites, as you would expect here. Juventus are trading 1.6 with Torino 7.6 and the draw is 4.0 at the time of writing. Juventus are still unbeaten in Serie A this season, but they come into this weekend four points behind league leaders Napoli. While they are the only side to not lose a game this season, their backers haven’t been getting rich. From their eleven games, they’ve had six draws. They have been extremely difficult to score against – their average xG conceded is 0.84 which is the best defensive figure in Europe. Apart from a crazy 4-4 draw against Inter Milan, they have only conceded three times more from their other ten games! They’ve kept eight clean sheets from eleven games, and they have the xG figures to back it up – it’s not like they are getting lucky. Obviously that is what has them so high in the table, because they have been lacking going forward. Their average xG created is only 1.32, which is a mid-table figure in Serie A.
Juventus struggled to create good quality chances last season too, they were in the title race until February and then finished the season with a terrible run. Quite clearly they are the best side at the back this season, but they are clearly struggling a little up front. The interesting thing about this game is Torino have the worst defensive figure in Serie A, so we know Juventus are going to get plenty of chances here. Torino have also been very limited going forward; their average xG created is only 1.1 which is the fourth worst attacking figure in Serie A. They are there for the taking in my opinion, and while there are clear worries with Juventus this season – I do feel this is the perfect game for them. A side struggling to create a lot up front against a very weak side at the back; I feel the 1.6 is worth taking without going too crazy with the stakes.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Juventus to beat Torino at 1.6 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/JuvTri
