BUNDESLIGA SUNDAY: Our new European football tipster The Ultra is showing a 28% return on all selections since the start. Next up its two matches on Sunday with a recommended BETDAQ bet. MONCHENGLADBACH V UNION BERLIN at 2.30pm and PADERBORN V DORTMUND at 5pm.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
MONCHENGLADBACH V UNION BERLIN
2.30pm We have two big favourites in the two Bundesliga games on Sunday, and I’m betting we start with a home win. Gladbach look very good value at 1.55 to start the day here, their xG stats are very impressive heading into this fixture when you compared them to Union Berlin. Union have been finding it difficult to score away and Gladbach have a very solid record at the back. I take on board that you lose an element of home advantage when the game is behind closed doors, but Gladbach can outclass Union.
Gladbach are scoring more than 2 goals at home and only conceding 1.36. Then look at Union away; they are only scoring 1 per game. Gladbach are having a very solid season and xG puts them in third position in the Bundesliga. They’ve won 9 of their 14 games and with Union conceding 29 away from home – I’m confident on the home win here.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Monchengladbach to beat Union Berlin at 1.55 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQGlaUni
PADERBORN V DORTMUND
5pm Dortmund’s title hopes were dashed on Tuesday night with a loss at home to Bayern and now they need to pick themselves up here against a Paderborn side who are tough to beat. Dortmund are currently 1.36 and that looks on the skinny side. Paderborn have returned with three draws and very little goals. They’ve only scored 1, but they’ve only conceded 1 too! Dortmund kept two clean sheets before losing to Bayern, and perhaps we could see a low scoring game here.
That’s not reflected in the market though, with over 2.5 goals trading 1.46. I’m very surprised to see odds like that considering that both sides are strong at the back. Dortmund are showing nearly 4 goals per away game they’re involved in, but the xG was under 3. While Paderborn are scoring a little over 1 goal per home game. Under 2.5 goals offers some value but under 3.5 goals looks massive at 1.8 on BETDAQ Exchange. Both teams to score is actually the same price, but under 3.5 goals appeals a hell of a lot more.
The Ultra Says:
Four points win Under 3.5 goals at 1.8 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQPadDor
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