SUNDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews RB LEIPZIG v EINTRACHT FRANKFURT and BARCELONA v LEGANES both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
RB LEIPZIG V EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
6.30pm We have another cracking Sunday in Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! We have two cracking games from the Bundesliga and La Liga with two home favourites. We kick off the day with RB Leipzig hosting Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, and this should be a high quality game. Eintracht Frankfurt are having an excellent season so far as they come into this weekend sitting in second – they have a three point advantage over RB Leipzig sitting in fourth, and Champions League football would be a brilliant result for Frankfurt. Despite sitting in second, they aren’t really in the title race with Bayern Munich – I feel that the title race is as good as over in Germany this season, but you never know what might happen! RB Leipzig come into the game as the favourites with home advantage at 2.18, Eintracht Frankfurt are trading 3.35 and the draw is 4.0 at the time of writing. We should have a very entertaining game here, both sides have been playing an exceptionally open game this season – they are both actually conceding more chances than they are creating.
While RB Leipzig come into this matchday sitting in the top four, their under-lining numbers aren’t that good. They have an average xG created of 1.3 which is closer to the bottom of the table than the top. They have been over-performing massively in the Bundesliga this season, and they’ve been exposed in the Champions League with six losses from six games. Their average xG conceded is high at 1.47 but the actual figure of goals conceded is 1.08 so there’s quite a difference there. Frankfurt have been conceding too many chances too – their average xG conceded is very high at 1.65 and they have been getting away with things at the back too. That figure is actually the second worst defensive figure in the Bundesliga this season, but they have been very good going forward. I was surprised to see Over 2.5 goals trading as high as 1.58 – both sides have been conceding so many chances it’s hard not to see goals here. I know sides haven’t been taking their chances against both of them, but I can see them gelling together well here for an open game. The 1.58 is worth a confident bet in my opinion.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/RblFrn
BARCELONA V LEGANES
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Sunday night and it’s fair to say most football fans will be expecting the home favourite to win here! Barcelona host Leganes and they come into the game trading as the red-hot favourites. Barcelona are trading as short as 1.16 with Leganes 22.0 and the draw is 9.6 at the time of writing. That 1.16 is the shortest price in La Liga this weekend – indeed it’s one of the shortest prices on the football this weekend! Leganes were always likely to struggle this season having come up from the Segunda, and they are going to be heavily involved in the relegation battle. They come into the matchday sitting just outside the bottom three, but there are some clear red flags in their performance figures. They have an average xG created of just 0.92 which is the lowest attacking figure in La Liga this season. They are also in the bottom five on defensive figures, and when you put everything together I can see them being in big trouble this season. I feel this is a case of how many goals Barcelona will score rather than will they actually win.
We’ll have to look around the side markets for some value here, and obviously the goal and handicap markets come into focus. Barcelona have been going through a little rough period – they looked to have a very good position but after dropping points in four of their last five games everything is quite open at the top of the table again. Barcelona have been scoring goals despite dropping points though – ten goals in four La Liga games. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.37 but the market is expecting Barcelona to do most of the work with Both Teams Not To Score trading 1.82. I’m going to keep stakes low here, but I like the Both Teams Not To Score bet at 1.82 – I’m keen to keep stakes low given Barcelona have been leaking goals lately, but with Leganes attacking figure I don’t see them causing Barcelona too many problems here.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.82 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BrcLeg
