SUNDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews RAYO VALLECANO v REAL MADRID and INTER MILAN v LAZIO both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
RAYO VALLECANO V REAL MADRID
3.15pm We have a fantastic Sunday from Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! We have action from La Liga and Serie A, and we kick off the day in La Liga with Rayo Vallecano hosting Real Madrid. Most casual football fans will be expecting a win for Real Madrid here, but Rayo Vallecano stopped Barcelona from winning here already this season. After winning El Clasico recently, Real Madrid come into this weekend with a nice five point cushion at the top of the table. Los Blancos come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.51 with Rayo Vallecano 7.0 and the draw is 5.0 at the time of writing. Real suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Liverpool midweek in the Champions League, obviously the opposition is on a different level here and it’s been very hard to fault Real domestically. They have an average xG created of 2.27 and an average xG conceded of 1.07 – they are title winning figures. Somewhat ironically; Barcelona are 0.01 better than them in attack and also at the back, but Real are the ones with the five point cushion! Rayo Vallecano have really struggled in front of goal this season.
Their average xG created at 1.43 is a mid-table figure but they haven’t been converting those chances, only scoring a little over one goal per game on average. I would expect them to put XI men behind the ball here and try to grind out a draw – it will be up to Real Madrid to make all the running here. Under 2.5 goals has collected in seven of Rayo Vallecano’s eleven games in La Liga this season, and it’s also collected in all their home games. That’s trading 2.48 here which I was a little surprised by. I know the market expects goals in most of Real Madrid’s games – their approach has always been “we’ll score more than you” but Alonso does have them very solid at the back. I’m not going to go crazy with the stakes here because Real obviously have an immense amount of attacking talent, but I do expect Rayo Vallecano to make this an awkward afternoon for Real and I’m happy with a small position on Under 2.5 goals. The 2.48 looks very nice value based on how Rayo Vallecano play at home, and they held Barcelona to a 1-1 draw here too.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Under 2.5 goals at 2.48 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE..
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LLRaRe
INTER MILAN V LAZIO
7.45pm Next we move over to Serie A to finish Sunday with a cracker as Inter Milan host Lazio. This is the final domestic game before we head into another International Break, so at least it’s a good game to finish on! We’ve already had plenty of drama in the title race in Italy this season – coming into the weekend, Napoli sit top but then we have Inter Milan, AC Milan and Roma all only one point behind. Inter Milan were on the back foot early in the season with back-to-back losses in their second and third games, but they have been playing some excellent football this season. Granted, they did lose 3-1 away from home against Napoli last month. Inter have the best attacking figure in Serie A this season – the only side with an average xG created over 2.0 and they have the second best defensive figure – they are only 0.01 on xG off top spot there as well. They are title winning figures to be honest, and when we return from the International Break it’ll be interesting to see can they take charge in the title race. We’ve had too many International Breaks so far this season and there’s been no momentum.
Lazio have really struggled this season – they sit in mid-table and while they do come here with an unbeaten run of six Serie A games, including a 1-0 win over Juventus, there are plenty of red flags with their performance levels. Their average xG created is only 1.17 which is a very poor attacking figure, and they are in the bottom three on defensive figures but so far this season sides have only taken less than half of the chances Lazio have conceded. It’s no surprise that Inter come into the game as the red-hot favourites – the home win is trading 1.4 with Lazio 8.6 and the draw is 5.8 at the time of writing. Lazio are there for the taking in my opinion, and I’m happy with a Five Star NAP on Inter at 1.4. I would also happily include them in any weekend Acca, or possibly look for some bigger prices on the handicaps. However, Inter are a confident bet from me to finish the weekend!
The Ultra Says:
Five points win Inter Milan to beat Lazio at 1.4 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE..
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/SAInLa
