BUNDESLIGA TUESDAY: Our new European football tipster The Ultra previews MONCHENGLADBACH v WOLFSBURG and WERDER BREMEN v BAYERN MUNICH on Tuesday with recommended BETDAQ bets.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
MONCHENGLADBACH V WOLFSBURG
5.30pm The Bundesliga games are coming thick and fast! We have another midweek round of fixtures and we have two very interesting games this evening. Gladbach and Wolfsburg are right beside each other in the table in 5th and 6th and both are having good seasons. xG would see both sides move up the table. Gladbach gave Bayern a good game at the weekend, while Wolfsburg threw away a two goal lead at home to Freiburg for a disappointing draw; however xG was more or less bang on so they weren’t unlucky – just didn’t take control of the game with an early advantage.
It’s hard to see anything but a very tight game here. For me Gladbach are too short at 2.22 on BETDAQ Exchange, but I can’t get away from over 2.5 goals at 1.66. Wolfsburg have been very impressive away from home and won their last three away games. They deserved a draw at the weekend, but their two most recent losses have been unlucky. Gladbach are expected to score close to 2.5 goals at home, while that’s not far away from 2 for Wolfsburg away. Two attacking teams should make this a cracker and I expected over 2.5 goals to be closer to 1.5 than 1.66.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQGlaWol
WERDER BREMEN V BAYERN MUNICH
7.30pm Bayern pulled it out of the fire at the weekend in the final minutes away to Gladbach, and to be fair they look unbeatable at the moment. xG had them ahead but not by a massive amount – they just do what winners do, find a way. Werder Bremen haven’t been enjoying a good season and it’s hard to see them getting anything from this fixture, although they did win 5-1 at the weekend which would have been a confident boost but xG said they were flattered to score that many and concede only once. They have conceded 34 goals at home this season and only scored 9. Under performing against xG; as most sides would with those stats, but you can see why they are 17th in the Bundesliga.
Werder Bremen home stats are abysmal but even accounting for their xG which is better than their actual stats, they are still only scoring a little over 1 goal per game. They’ve only actually scored in 40% of home games, and Bayern actually have a higher percentage of clean sheets away from home. A worry is that Bayern could ease off when they’re so far ahead, but I like BTTS No at 2.04 which feels too big. Bremen will struggle to score against the Champions and this is a definite value bet at the odds.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score – No at 2.04 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQWerByn
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