TUESDAY CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: The Ultra previews MONACO v ASTON VILLA and LIVERPOOL v LILLE both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MONACO V ASTON VILLA
5.45pm The Champions League returns on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE, and we have some huge fixtures this week. It’s crunch time over the next two weeks as sides battle for a top eight spot, and then of course there are some big names currently outside the top 24. Manchester City are sitting in 22nd, with PSG in 25th for example! We kick off the week with Monaco hosting Aston Villa, and it’s been a case of so far so good for both these sides. Aston Villa have had a fantastic campaign so far; the win over Bayern Munich being the highlight, but their away win against RB Leipzig before Christmas really kept their top eight hopes alive. Six of the top eight currently have 13 points, so we could easily see a lot of movement and Villa still need a strong finish. Monaco sit in 16th with ten points, and they head into the final two games with a chance of slipping out of the top 24. Dinamo Zagreb currently sit in 24th with eight points, and with Monaco away to Inter Milan on the final matchday – surely they need something from this game to ease nerves. Villa are at home to Celtic next week, a much easier fixture on paper.
So, the pressure is on Monaco here given the situation but we should have a very interesting game ahead. A draw wouldn’t be the worst result for either side to be honest, and you wouldn’t be surprised to see a cagey game. We have an open market here; Monaco come into the game as favourites at 2.44 with Aston Villa 3.05 and the draw is 3.55 at the time of writing. After an excellent start when beating Barcelona 2-1 here and then winning three of their first four games, a loss here to Benfica and then a hammering by Arsenal leaves the jury out on Monaco. They do have the second best attacking figure behind PSG in Ligue 1; granted it’s a very weak league. Villa have struggled to create good quality chances in the Premier League this season – their average xG created is only 1.32, the sixth worst attacking figure. They did manage to come from 2-0 down to draw with Arsenal at the weekend though! When I look at this game, it screams a very close game – Under 2.5 goals is definitely an angle but I really like the draw at 3.55. Both sides are pretty evenly matched in my opinion and it could be quite cagey.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Draw at 3.55 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MonAst
LIVERPOOL V LILLE
8pm We finish Tuesday night in the Champions League with a top eight clash as Liverpool host Lille. Although you wouldn’t know it’s a top eight clash just looking at the market – Liverpool come into the game as the red-hot favourites at 1.32 with Lille 9.8 and the draw is 6.4 at the time of writing. Lille have done remarkably well this season to get 13 points from their first six games – they have beaten Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, along with getting a draw against Juventus. You wouldn’t be surprised if they lost here and fell out of the top eight, but you can’t knock them this season. They deserve to go through to the next round. Of course, despite all those impressive results from Lille – the reality is they have rode their luck quite a bit. They are conceding more than they are creating, and it’s no surprise to see Liverpool as the short favourites given the gulf in class between the sides. Liverpool have had a perfect Champions League too; the only side to win all six games so far and given they meet Lille here and then PSV next week, it would be a surprise now if Arne Slot’s men didn’t top the new Group stage.
It’s very difficult to see past a Liverpool win here; there’s no prizes for tipping 1.32 shots but I would happily include Liverpool in any midweek Acca. We’ll have to look around the side markets for some value, and this is going to be about how many goals Liverpool will score for me. Not only have Liverpool been superb in attack this season, Arne Slot has them exceptionally solid at the back – something Jurgen Klopp was unable to do a lot of the time. Liverpool have only conceded once so far in this Champions League; that was away to AC Milan too. While Lille have had some great result, their away under-lining numbers are quite poor. Their average xG created away is only 1.15 and their conceded figure is 1.74. They come up against the best side in Europe here, and you don’t want to bring those type of figures to Anfield! Liverpool are trading 1.77 -1.5 goals and that looks cracking value to cover the handicap on their way to winning.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat Lille at 1.77 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LivLil
