CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WEDNESDAY: Our European football tipster The Ultra previews the Champions League action between FK KRASNODAR v CHELSEA, JUVENTUS v BARCELONA and MANCHESTER UNITED v RB LEIPZIG with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
FK KRASNODAR V CHELSEA
5.55pm We have a cracking night of Champions League action ahead! We have some huge fixtures kicking off at 8pm but we start with Chelsea traveling to take on FK Krasnodar at 5-55pm. Chelsea haven’t managed to score in their last two fixtures, and they have had three straight draws now but they should get back to winning ways here. Clearly there’s a huge gulf in class between the sides here, but Krasnodar looked pretty poor last week when drawing 1-1 against Rennes, losing the game 2.64 to 1.29 on xG.
Chelsea have had a rollercoaster season to be fair. In their last six games they’ve had two crazy 3-3 draws with West Brom and Southampton, a 4-0 win over Crystal Palace, lost on penalties to Spurs and drew 0-0 with Sevilla and Man United. Talk about up and down! For all the money they have spent, I think they haven’t changed. All that said, they should easily beat this Krasnodar side and the 1.47 looks ten ticks too big for me. Krasnodar look very poor, and Chelsea will outclass them.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Chelsea to FK beat Krasnodar at 1.47 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQKraChe
JUVENTUS V BARCELONA
8pm All eyes with be on Juventus v Barcelona this evening on the BETDAQ Betting Exchange but there will be no Cristiano Ronaldo who had a further Covid-19 test but failed to produce a negative result. It’s fair to say that neither Juventus or Barcelona, and indeed Messi, have been at their best recently. We all know about the drama between Messi and Barcelona. While Juventus lifted the Serie A title last season, the xG signs have been that they haven’t been performing, while there are clear issues at Barcelona.
With home advantage, Real Madrid battered Barcelona on Saturday. That came on the back of losing to Getafe and drawing with Sevilla – they find themselves already off the pace in La Liga. They started their Champions League campaign with a win, but to be honest it would have been a huge shock to see anything else. While this is a massive fixture on paper, we could actually get a pretty low quality affair. I agree with the market here, and can’t split them – I think the draw is worth a small investment at 3.55. I wouldn’t rule out a 0-0.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Draw at 3.55 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQJuvFcb
MANCHESTER UNITED V RB LEIPZIG
8pm This is a fascinating fixture. Manchester United are still without a home win this season, although it’s very early days. RB Leipzig had a good run in the Champions League last season, and they currently sit top of the Bundesliga table after five games. They look like a rock solid side, and it’ll be very interesting to see can United beat them. United played out a very boring 0-0 draw with Chelsea here at the weekend, and they haven’t been creating many chances at the start of the season.
While many football fans might suggest that RB Leipzig have been creating a lot of chances at a lower level than the Premier League, United have been struggling with the likes of Crystal Palace and Brighton who wouldn’t be anything bar mid-table Bundesliga sides. Some of the xG numbers Leipzig have been putting together are very impressive, and with United struggling to create chances I’m happy to back Leipzig at 3.35 here. Of course it’s tempting to lay United at 2.32, but I think the chance is worth taking on an away win at the odds.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win RB Leipzig to beat Manchester United at 3.35 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMunRbl
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