CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PREVIEW: The Ultra previews ARSENAL v BAYERN MUNICH and PSG v TOTTENHAM both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
ARSENAL V BAYERN MUNICH
8pm It’s a massive Wednesday from the Champions League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We have a wonderful night ahead involving the two North London clubs from the Premier League. They met at the weekend with Arsenal running out easy winners, and now Spurs have another very difficult away fixture in Paris. We kick the night off in London though with arguably the highlight of the week as Arsenal host Bayern Munich. Both clubs are running away with their domestic leagues at the moment and it will be fascinating to see who comes out on top here. With Bayer Leverkusen a shell of their former selves this season, Bayern have the title already won in Germany. Obviously we can debate whether or not anyone can catch Arsenal in the Premier League, but they have a six point gap at the moment with their closest rival being Chelsea – I can’t see anyone catching them. Manchester City had the wind taken out of their sails at the weekend too. Both sides are obviously playing some very good football this season, and we should have a high quality game here. Harry Kane has been banging in goals for fun; what success can he have against the best defensive side in the Premier League?
Arsenal come into the game as the favourites at 2.3 with Bayern Munich 3.3 and the draw is 3.65 at the time of writing. Both sides have the best attacking figures and defensive figures in the Premier League and the Bundesliga. Obviously we know Bayern are exceptionally good going forward, but their average xG conceded of 0.91 is very impressive too. That’s actually not the most impressive defensive figure in Europe though – that is Arsenal at just 0.81 – in a more competitive league, that is seriously good defending by Arsenal. Obviously Bayern have created more, but their opposition is a lower standard compared to Arsenal. It’s hard to argue with Arsenal being the favourites here, especially with home advantage however I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here. Both sides come into this one sitting top of the table with four wins from four games, and the market is expecting goals with Over 2.5 goals odds on at 1.78. I actually feel this one will be tighter than the market expects – they’ve both been exceptional at the back and a draw isn’t a bad result for Bayern here. I feel the value play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.24. Obviously there’s a lot of attacking talent on the pitch, but the 2.24 looks nice value to start the night.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.24 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ArsByn
PSG V TOTTENHAM
8pm We move over to Paris to finish Wednesday night as PSG host Spurs. On another night, this would easily be the most interesting fixture but obviously Arsenal v Bayern Munich takes that title! Spurs need something good to happen here; they were totally outclassed in the North London Derby at the weekend. On the face of things, they have had a reasonably positive start to the season but they have been exceptionally lucky to collect the amount of points they have. There’s some massive red flags in their under-lining numbers, and they were quite easily exposed at the weekend too. They face another very difficult task here against the defending Champions. After the weekend, Spurs had an average xG created of only 1.15 in the Premier League – that’s the fourth worst attacking figure this season – only Wolves, Sunderland and Burnley have created less. I know Sunderland have over-performed this season too – but the other two sides are in the bottom two, and Sunderland did start the season odds on for relegation. That’s the kind of level Spurs have been playing too – it’s not like they have been solid at the back as well; they are sitting in mid-table on defensive figures; again over-performing on results.
Arsenal pulled them apart at the weekend, and PSG could do the same here. It’s no surprise to see PSG come into the game as the odds on favourites given they have home advantage and how average Spurs have been this season. PSG are trading 1.41 with Spurs 8.8 and the draw is 5.3 at the time of writing. PSG lost last time out here in the Champions League, but that was against Bayern and they have been on a different level compared to Spurs this season. They are leading the way in Ligue 1 this season, but that’s no surprise given the quality of the opposition. I really want to be against Spurs here looking at their under-lining numbers, and there are plenty of options. I’d have PSG much shorter than 1.41, and I leave that price offers a lot of value. Another option is PSG to cover the handicap – they are trading 2.09 to cover a 1.5 goal handicap which is very appealing. The last option for me is Both Teams Not To Score at 2.2 which is effectively a PSG clean sheet given how little Spurs have been creating this season. I like all three bets, but I do feel PSG at 1.41 is Five Star NAP material.
The Ultra Says:
Five points win PSG to beat Tottenham at 1.41 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PsgTtm
