WEDNESDAY CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: The Ultra previews the second leg quarter finals between BAYERN MUNICH v ARSENAL and MANCHESTER CITY v REAL MADRID both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BAYERN MUNICH V ARSENAL
8pm We have a massive night of Champions League action on Wednesday night on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! These two Quarter-Finals had very dramatic first legs, and we’re surely going to get two crackers – it’s just a shame they kick off at the same time! We start the evening with Bayern Munich hosting Arsenal – it was an upsetting weekend for both sides as Bayern Munich’s title reign in the Bundesliga officially came to an end at the weekend, although the writing has been on the wall for a long time. While Arsenal suffered a huge setback when losing at home to Aston Villa – this is always a challenging time of the season when clubs are trying to battle for major trophies on each front. Any game sandwiched in between Champions League Quarter-Finals was already going to have a few red flags with it, and unfortunately Arsenal came up short. They’ll have to pull up their socks and get on with it here though because they have a very tough evening ahead. Arsenal went into the first leg odds on to win over 90 minutes and Bayern would have been very happy with a 2-2 draw now they have home advantage for the second leg. We have a fascinating night ahead!
I have to say I was surprised to see such an open market here. Bayern Munich are the favourites at 2.46 with Arsenal 2.98 and the draw is 3.8 at the time of writing. I know Bayern are having a tough time this season, but let faces it – the Bundesliga title has been gone for a while now. I wouldn’t read too much into their recent domestic performances; all their focus would have switched to the Champions League when they went through that week in February losing to Bayer Leverkusen and Bochum. The first leg was pretty close too; Arsenal had more of the ball but there actually wasn’t much between the sides on xG. An xG of 1.38 for Arsenal at home wasn’t exactly a compelling performance suggesting that they can win here. Bayern might have got brushed aside in the Bundesliga this season but that has been down to Bayer Leverkusen’s brilliance. Bayern still have an average xG created of 2.24 which is exceptionally high. Arsenal have been more solid at the back; their average xG conceded in the Premier League is the best defensive figure. However, as I felt heading into the first leg – there isn’t much between the sides here and the market is underestimating Bayern again. They should be shorter than 2.46 with home advantage – we landed the Arsenal lay in the first leg, now I’m happy with a Bayern back.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Bayern Munich to beat Arsenal at 2.46 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BayArs
MANCHESTER CITY V REAL MADRID
8pm We finish the Quarter-Finals with the game everyone will be talking about as Manchester City host Real Madrid. This tie lived up to every single expectation in the first leg with a 3-3 draw, and I’m sure we’ll see more fireworks here. These two don’t know any other way only to go toe-to-toe! Manchester City wouldn’t have been unhappy with a draw away from home in the first leg – we had a reasonably open market and as we have seen in previous Champions League nights City tend to put the tie to bed when they have home advantage. It’s already been a superb week for City as they went back to the top of the Premier League at the weekend with Arsenal and Liverpool both losing on Sunday. It’s not a surprise to see City come into the game as the odds on favourites; they are trading 1.69 with Real Madrid 5.3 and the draw is 4.5 at the time of writing. Both sides won without too much drama at the weekend, and we should have another very entertaining game here. I fully accept City would have been happy with a draw away from home, but I still feel the first leg will give Real Madrid a little bit of confidence. They now know they can give as good as they get, although why should we expect anything different?
Real are eight points clear at the top of La Liga after all, but City come into most games as favourites these days. City won here last year 4-0 after drawing 1-1 in the first leg, and they won 4-3 in 2022 before getting knocked out in the second leg in Madrid. It’s easy to understand why City are on the odds on favourites here, but I do feel we’ll see a closer game than the odds suggest. Jude Bellingham and Real have been immense this season. We didn’t have to wait long to collect with our Over 2.5 goals bet in the first leg, and although I feel City are a couple of ticks too short I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market again. Over 2.5 goals jumps off the page at 1.61 and I wouldn’t put anyone off a small bet on Over 3.5 goals either at 2.5 or bigger. However, Both Teams To Score is the best value option at five ticks bigger than Over 2.5 goals at 1.66. Real Madrid have an average xG created of 1.98 in La Liga this season – I’m not sure why the market expects City to do most of work covering Over 2.5 goals here! I expect another very open end-to-end game with plenty of drama and chances, Both Teams To Score is a five out of five bet in my opinion.
The Ultra Says:
Five points win Both Teams To Score at 1.66 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MncRma
