WEDNESDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews REAL MADRID v LAS PALMAS and NAPOLI v UDINESE both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
REAL MADRID V LAS PALMAS
6pm We have another excellent day ahead around Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE with more action from La Liga and Serie A on Wednesday night. We start the evening in La Liga with Real Madrid hosting new boys Las Palmas. On paper, this is an easy home fixture for Real and they are heavy odds on favourites to win. The home win is trading as short as 1.24 at the time of writing, and if you fancy a shock Las Palmas are 14.0 with the draw at 7.8. Real suffered their first loss of the season at the weekend away to Atletico Madrid, they wouldn’t have been too unhappy with the performance but they conceded two early goals and the game was as good as done after 20 minutes. They still finished with an xG of 1.92, and they have been exceptional going forward this season. Their average xG created is a very impressive 2.24, and they have been pretty good at the back too; their average conceded is just 1.29. Las Palmas were always going to struggle coming up from the Segunda, and they have started on the backfoot too.
They were without a win for their first five games, but managed to beat Granada with home advantage at the weekend. That meant they started the midweek round of fixtures outside the bottom three, and their main aim this season just has to be to grind out as many results as possible to stay up. Their under-lining numbers are poor though, and that will prove to be a difficult task. They grinded out a 1-0 win at the weekend, but their average xG created is only 0.83 which is the joint-lowest figure in La Liga at the weekend. With the win coming against Granada too and their figures very similar, it’s hardly a noteworthy win. I feel this is a case of how many goals will Real score rather than will they win, and while I’m going to look around the sides markets for some value, I would recommend the 1.24 on Real for any Acca this week! Las Palmas will aim to put XI men behind the ball here, and they haven’t given away a very high average xG this season. I feel Both Teams Not To Score is a very nice bet here at 1.87 because it takes away the question of how many Real score. Las Palmas are clearly limited going forward, and Real will control this game.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.87 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/RmaLas
NAPOLI V UDINESE
7.45pm Next we move over to Italy as the Serie A Champions are in action with Napoli hosting Udinese. This should be an interesting game, and you could only describe both sides as lacklustre so far this season. Napoli have only managed two wins from their five games, and they are already seven points behind Inter Milan after the weekend games. Udinese have had an even worse start, just three points from their five games means they start this game in the relegation zone! Udinese aren’t even close to being bad enough to go down, but bad starts are always hard to overcome and morale can go downhill fast. This might not be the fixture they get it, but they need a win soon to kick start their season. Their a mid-table side and shouldn’t have to worry about a relegation battle! I said at the start of the season that is was always going to be interesting how Napoli performed after winning the title after waiting for so long. The celebrations went on very long, and you have to start wondering has the fire gone out of the belly. They lost here to Lazio, then draws with Genoa and Bologna are definitely worrying signs. Their xG figures are still pretty good, but they have to start taking their chances. They built an early lead in the title race last season and carried that through – already seven points behind seems like a mountain to climb, especially with the performance level of Inter.
Udinese will also say that they have been unlucky to have the results they have had this season. They have been playing decent football – their average xG is 1.57 while they are conceding an average of 1.08. Those are pretty good stats, and you can see them shooting up the table. Napoli come into this game as the heavy odds on favourites however; the home win is 1.39 at the time of writing with Udinese 9.6 and the draw is 5.5. Both sides are playing better football than the bare results, and this should be a good game. I feel the 1.39 on Napoli is a little short – I do expect a closer game than those odds suggest. With both sides conceding an average xG of very close to 1.0 though, Under 2.5 goals looks a very nice bet at 2.28. I can’t see too many chances here, and I expected to see Unders trading a lot closer to 2.0 before clicking into the market. It’s worth a confident bet at 2.28.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.28 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/NapUdn
