Washington Redskins (1-4, 2-3 ATS) @ Arizona Cardinals (3-1, 2-2 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Arizona -4 (45)
Significant Injuries
Washington: S Ryan Clark (questionable– ankle), LB Perry Riley (questionable, knee), LB Brian Orakpo (questionable– ankle), TE Jordan Reed (questionable– hamstring), OT Trent Williams (questionable– knee), CB Tracy Porter (out– hamstring), QB Robert Griffin III (out– ankle)
Arizona: QB Carson Palmer (questionable– shoulder), QB Drew Stanton (questionable– concussion), DE Calais Campbell (out– knee), TE Troy Niklas (out– ankle)
Recent Trends
Washington is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games
Washington is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games vs. NFC opponents
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. NFC opponents
Arizona is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record
Arizona is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss of more than 14 points
The OVER is 5-2 in Washington’s last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record
The UNDER is 6-1 in Arizona’s last 7 games vs. NFC opponents
The UNDER is 5-1 in Arizona’s last 6 ages following a loss
The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Washington
1. The Redskins are a better team than their record would indicate, especially on offense, where they rank in the top-7 in both pass yards and total yards per game. The ‘Skins aren’t too bad on the other side of the ball either, ranking in the top-half of the league in total defense, rushing defense, and passing defense.
2. Arizona has an overrated defense that has really struggled against the pass this season, surrendering more yards per game through the air (302.5) than all but one team leaguewide. The Kirk Cousins-led Washington passing attack is averaging nearly 290 yards per game, ranking 5th in the league, so this is a tough matchup for the Cardinals.
3. The Cardinals may be forced to start 3rd-string quarterback Logan Thomas on Sunday due to injuries to the top 2 quarterbacks on the depth chart. Thomas is a rookie 4th-round pick who was wildly inaccurate in college and picked up right where he left off when he entered last week’s game for an injured Drew Stanton, completing just 1 of 8 passes in a 21-point loss.
Three reasons to back Arizona
1. The Cardinals have been one of the NFC’s best teams this season, losing only once– and that game was in Denver. The Redskins, on the other hand, have won just one game, and that win came against Jacksonville, the league’s worst team.
2. Arizona has a stout defense that is especially good against the run, surrendering just 76.8 rushing yards per game. That means they’ll be able to make the Washington offense one-dimensional, forcing Kirk Cousins to beat them with his arm. That hasn’t worked out so well for the Redskins lately, as Cousins has thrown 5 interceptions in his last three starts (all losses).
3. The Redskins surrender a staggering 27.2 points per game and have covered just twice in their last 8 road games. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are 6-1 against the number in their last 7 games against NFC opponents and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against a team with a losing record. All signs point to an Arizona play here.
Prediction
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