PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY PREVIEW: What an opener to a fantastic Premier League weekend. It’s Man U v Man City at 12.30pm on Saturday. High noon between Mourinho and Guardiola at Old Trafford. We preview all Saturday’s games with recommended BETDAQ bets.
Man U v Man C
12.30pm After the International break, what a way to get back into Premier League football with Manchester United v Manchester City! Much will be made about the Mourinho v Guardiola angle, but you have to factor in the difference between Real Madrid and Barcelona and these two teams – we don’t think you can read too much into the fact that Mourinho has won just three of the 16 meetings between the pair – all of which Guardiola managed the brilliant Barcelona.
In terms of recent meetings between the sides, United are now unbeaten in the last three after losing all four before that – Mourinho seems to have brought a decent balance to this United side, albeit only after three league games to judge them on, and you can expect a huge battle in midfield. Fellaini recovering from a back muscle complaint will be a huge boost for United (who would have thought we’d be saying that when he played under Moyes!) and with Guardiola’s style of play, Fernandinho will have to win the battle with Fellaini to allow the likes to Silva to shine.
Obviously losing Sergio Aguero will be a huge loss to City, he has scored or assisted 131 goals from 153 Premier League games for City, while you have to go back to March 2014 to find another City player to score against United – that was Yaya Toure. Both Teams To Score – No is currently odds against at around 2.12 if you fancy a dull affair, while 0-0 is trading around 11.0.
Mourinho seems to have the ability to set this team up to stop the other team in big games, and with Aguero out for City, we could be looking at a stalemate here – the draw is currently priced at 3.35 with United at 2.4 and City at 3.45. The draw definitely seems value at 3.35, we feel if there is to be a winner it will be United – home advantage will surely play a part and Aguero out is a huge positive, while Fellaini and Pogba can win the midfield battle – the question is whether Mourinho “goes for it” or not. So early in the season, both teams might be happy with a draw, and at 3.35 we’re happy to back it.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.35.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMciMun
Arsenal v Southampton
3pm The Gunners got back to winning ways just before the International break with a smooth 3-1 win away to Watford, and should be able to notch up another win here against a Southampton side who, based on the opening three games anyway, seem to be finally showing the signs of a team who can’t keep on performing well while selling on all their top players. Their draw at home to Sunderland before the International break was disappointing, however they have become somewhat of a bogey team for Arsenal – with Arsenal winning just one of the last six meetings in all competitions, back in December 2014. While the opening three games is not enough to base 100% opinions, we do feel that Southampton’s level has dropped from previous seasons, and we see Arsenal winning comfortably here – they’re currently priced at 2.1 -1 goal on the Asian Handicap and that will be our best bet.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal -1 (Asian Handicap) to beat Southampton at 2.1.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQArsSou
Bournemouth v West Brom
3pm Both sides will see this game as a good chance to notch up a win and the current prices in the 90 minutes market read: Bournemouth 2.14, West Brom 4.2 and the draw 3.35. We feel that 2.14 on Bournemouth is a shade short here – they performed well against Crystal Palace prior to the International break, but Palace have been poor for the whole of 2016 bar the FA Cup. You’d expect Pulis to set West Brom up very solidly as he usually does, and while scoring goals is a slight concern – they do have a good record scoring against Bournemouth, finding the net in 11 of the last 12 league meetings. We’re happy to lay Bournemouth at 2.14 as we think that price is just too short and see this being a very tight affair.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Bournemouth at 2.14.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBourWes
Burnley v Hull
3pm Both these sides have been relegated the last time they were in the Premier League and hopefully it’s not a bad sign for them that thus far they the top two for conceded shots at goal in the opening three games. Games between the sides have usually been very close, with only one of the last seven league meetings having more than one goal. We feel the value here is with Hull at 3.25 more so than Burnley at 2.6 – they have started the season better than Burnley, with wins against Leicester and Swansea, and were so close to drawing with Man United – whereas if you took away the shock win for Burnley against Liverpool they would be sitting last – easy to say “if you take away this” but for example they had the least amount of possession in that game for any winning team in the Premier League for ten years, so it was somewhat of a fluke win in that sense. Laying Burnley is good option, but we’re going to take a chance on the Hull win at 3.25.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Hull to beat Burnley at 3.25.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBurHul
Middlesbrough v Crystal Palace
3pm Crystal Palace poor 2016 continued with a home draw against West Brom before the International break and there’s certainly value in opposing them again here with a Middlesbrough side who have performed well in their opening three games. Palace have now won just two of their 22 Premier League games in 2016 and you can lay them at around 3.65 – the markets also fancy a low scorer here with under 2.5 goals trading around the 1.6 mark – but we prefer the Middlesbrough win price at around 2.34 for our best bet. 0-0 is worthy of an interest too at around 9.0.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Middlesbrough to beat Crystal Palace at 2.34.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMidCry
Stoke v Tottenham
3pm It’s surprising to see Tottenham as big as 1.9 here and it’s hard to get away from backing that price. They bounced back well against Liverpool after going 1-0 down and a draw was probably a fair result in the end, they grinded well to win 1-0 before that against Crystal Palace and we expect that they can grind out another win here against an average Stoke side who have just one point of their opening three games – Spurs have the best visiting record in the Premier League with five wins here and at 1.9 we feel they are value to secure another.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Tottenham to beat Stoke at 1.9.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQSkeTot
West Ham v Watford
3pm West Ham suffered a shock defeat to FC Astra in the Europa League before going on to lose to Man City the weekend after, however they should be able to get back to winning ways here at home to Watford. Priced at around the 1.91 mark, they look to be an attractive betting proposition at that price. Watford have performed reasonably well thus far though and it wont be an easy task for West Ham – Chelsea needed two late goals to beat Watford and it could take a while for the Hammers to break them down here, we just feel that at as big as 1.92, we are very happy to back West Ham.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
West Ham to beat Watford at 1.92.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWesWat
Liverpool v Leicester
5.30pm We started the day with an excellent clash between Man United and Man City and we finish the day with an excellent game to look forward to here. You have to wonder are the markets underestimating Leicester again pricing them at 5.7 and Liverpool at 1.69? Are Liverpool that much better than Leicester? Leicester finished 21 points ahead of them last season, ok you can say that was a freak season for Leicester, but they have kept most of their team, should Liverpool really be 1.69?
It’s hard not to lay Liverpool at that price. They appear to be very unsteady at the back this season too, Spurs could have easily scored another towards the end of their 1-1 and Burnley found the net twice with a record low possession for a winning side in the Premier League, Arsenal put three past them too. While Leicester might not be able to pull off the win, we certainly think that 1.69 is far too short on Liverpool, and thus laying that will be our best bet here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Liverpool at 1.69.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLfcLei
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