GOLD BANKER BET AT NEWMARKET: The big match today of Lady Aurelia versus Queen Kindly in the Cheveley Park Stakes reveals a new kid on the training block. It means that the rider on one of these magic fillies is carrying more than a jockey’s responsibility. So Daqman makes him a gold banker.
PLUS BIG RACE POT-OF-GOLD: Aware that the big handicaps are running out fast this season, Daqman elevates his four for the Cambridgeshire to pot-of-gold status to win up to 134 points at 15.5, 26.0 (twice) and 68.0 on BETDAQ this morning.
IT’S A BIG ODDS CHALLENGE: Pricewise also has four in the Cambridgshire plus bets in the 2.20 there and in the 3.10 at Market Rasen. The scores are Daqman 78, Pricewise 32 as Daqman challenges him with more huge odds: 9.2 at Newmarket and 16.0 at Market Rasen.
FRANKIE FLYING LEAP INTO TRAINING
Winner trained Frankie Dettori. We can expect that in the not too distant future, but it should at least get a mention in the returns tag today if Lady Aurelia wins the Cheveley Park Stakes.
It’s little known outside Newmarket that Queen Mary runaway Lady Aurelia has stayed on at the National Stud since her Prix Morny success over Europe’s top two-year-olds.
And Frankie has been overseeing the filly’s preparation for today’s race, sending back videos to her nominated trainer, Wesley Ward, in America.
So the low-flying-filly-over-Newmarket idea of the Racing Post story today is a little late. It happened on August 21 when she flew into Frankie’s care from Deauville.
Since then the flying leap himself has been supervising her training spins and beaming them home to Ward on video. Verdict from both handlers: she’s phenomenal. See my own verdict below.
ARCADA A FIRM FANCY AT BETDAQ 9.2
2.20 Newmarket (Royal Lodge Stakes) The defeat of Fair Eva yesterday was a reminder that precocious two-year-olds don’t always last very long at the top.
They are overhauled by hidden potential. The snag for the punter is that you have to choose between known knowns and known unknowns, to quote an American politician who, like me yesterday, tied himself up in knots.
As with Frankel, who won the Royal Lodge in 2010, success here almost always follows between two and four races. Not more.
So it would be a bad year if Montataire made all, as he has done in four consecutive wins (he didn’t lead when beaten at Goodwood).
And something will certainly have to give, with Arcada also a front-runner thus far, including against top-line Ballydoyle types in Capri (Arcada won) and Churchill (Arcada lost).
Their trainer has Douglas Macarthur, presumably with The Anvil as pacemaker, representing Ballydoyle today and our own top yard of the future, Hugo Palmer’s, sends out Best of Days, narrowly beaten in the Acomb.
But, in 9.2 BETDAQ offer Arcada, the new kids on the block, Joseph and Donnnacha O’Brien – they’ve already won the Moyglare – have the form horse here to my reckoning, and it’s really a matter of which of these colts will act best on the firm ground.
2.55 Newmarket (Cheveley Park Stakes) and 3.30 (Middle Park Stakes) Frankie Dettori, who is a few days away from the 20th celebration of his magnificent seven at Ascot, will be remembering what Lady Aurelia did at Royal Ascot, knowing that recent training and today’s steering are both down to him.
I thank Richard Fahey’s publicity machine – ‘Queen Kindly is my best ever’ – for making Lady Aurelia a price for me to land a gold banker.
Similarly, Blue Point makes Peace Envoy a huge 10.0 in the Middle Park Stakes (3.30). Peace Envoy, who would be boosted by a Lady Aurelia win (he was third in the Morny), is better odds for a place than Blue Point to win.
Peace Envoy shouldn’t win it as the exposed horse but word from all connected with him say he is still improving.
TALENTED ARTIST BIG-RACE ONE-TWO
4.10 Newmarket (Cambridgeshire) There hasn’t been a winner over the age of six since Jeremy Glover’s Rambo’s Hall (1992), and only three have carried more than 9st 3lb in 30 years.
In fact, the trend is to lightweights, with five of the last six set 8st 9lb or less (and yesterday’s consolation race going to one off 8st 3lb).
Seven horses drawn from 3 to 12 have finished first or second (five winners) in the last seven years, so we’ll look at them first.
Last year’s winner, Third Time Lucky (drawn 13 today), won it from stall 7. The short-head second from the one stall, Master The World, is in 1 again, a pound better off.
The third, Examiner, 2lb better, also has a similar stall (18 as opposed to 17 a year ago). Gm Hopkins (sixth) is better off with them all but, whereas he came out of gate 5, he’s now on the extreme outside in 31.
Bronze Angel won it in 2012 and 2014 off 95 and 99. He’s now rated 107. Educate, the 2013 scorer, has 8lb more today.
Examiner (gave 9lb) was pipped half a length by Knight Owl on this course in the Spring, and is better off here until you take into account Knight Owl’s potentiallyv superior draw today (he’s in 9) and his rider’s 5lb claim.
Master The World’s stable also has summer hat-trick winner Bastille Day carrying 7st 10lb, if we include David Egan’s 7lb claim. Compare that with the 9st 1lb and 9st 13lb of his last two starts. Stall 4.
American Artist (stall 12) was third in the Silver Cambridgeshire a year ago and, gelded now, ran well at Sandown recently over a trip too short on his first run back since May.
Jockey Harry ‘Limato’ Bentley has had a good season (and, incidentally, one of Limato’s work companions, Spring Fling, is a good place bet at Haydock, 5.05)
Very Talented (in 8) takes a keen hold but has had only five races in his life and was talked about for the Classics in the Spring before the stable form dipped with a virus. It’s doing well again now.
Zhui Feng (2) has won only a four-horse race from nine attempts since a sprint scorer at this meeting a year ago.
Yesterday’s Silver Cambridgeshire was won down the middle and the low-number stranglehold was at last relaxed, with the winner drawn 18.
And it’s not beyond the bounds of possibility that the Stands’ side can win today, since the field is bigger than yesterday’s and could split into three, with the ground for the high numbers virgin six horses deep.
Interconnection on the wide outside has the magic of Josephine Gordon from the saddle and looks well trained for this. She’s 2-6 on this course; the horse is 1-1.
Banksea has had a long season but this is his trip. Bravo Zolo has been laid out for the race (here’s Frankie again!). Treasury Notes may yet be progressing.
Order in and pricing up: 1 American Artist (26.0 on BETDAQ early mouse but priced up by me at 15-1), 2 Very Talented (15.5 is about right), 3 Master The World (26.0 but 20-1 with me), 4 Bastille Day (68.0 but 25-1 in my book).
I shall bet win 50 but at my prices so that I get the value in pot of gold bets: American Artist is staked 3.3 to win 82 points; Master The World 2.5 to win 62.50 and Bastille Day 2pts to win 134.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 30 points, except the first race and the pot-of-gold bets)
1.50 Newmarket
BET (win 20) 10pts win NESHMEYA
2.20 Newmarket
BET 3.6pts win and place ARCADA
2.55 Newmarket
GOLD BANKER: BET 30pts win (nap) LADY AURELIA
3.10 Market Rasen
BET 4.2pts win FATHER EDWARD, and 2pts win and place SEEFOOD
3.30 Newmarket
BET 3pts win and place PEACE ENVOY, and 5pts win (stakes saver) BLUE POINT
4.10 Newmarket
POT-OF-GOLD BETS: 3.3pts win and place on each AMERICAN ARTIST and VERY TALENTED, 2.5pts win and place MASTER THE WORLD, and 2pts win and place BASTILLE DAY
5.05 Haydock
BET 5pts win and place SPRING FLING (5.05 Haydock)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 2 x 5pts win trebles Neshmeya (1.50 Newmarket) and Lady Aurelia (2.55 Newmarket) with Peace Envoy and Blue Point (3.30 Newmarket)
£25 IN FREE BETS
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