SECRETS OF WINNER FINDING AND THE EARLY CLASSIC RACES: Daqman today completes his look at lays with further revelations about the 1,000 Guineas, which links nicely with next week. After listing his ‘lays log’ tomorrow, Daqman will race the colts and fillies of the first Classics of 2020, currently shelved, and then prepare you for an unusual start to your Flat-season betting: racing in Germany and France from Monday May 4.
NEXT WEEK: Pick the 2020 Guineas winners, starting with the history makers.
LAYER’S PARADISE OF THE 1,000 FLOPS
Winter had a glorious summer. But she alone paid to follow of the 1,000 Guineas winners in the last decade, taking the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot and the Nassau at Goodwood after landing the Guineas double in England and Ireland.
Winter (2017) was the exception that proved the rule in a layer’s paradise, with nine out of 10 one-mile Classic winning fillies flopping at short prices in their immediate future.
Some bounced back to form later on but clearly the early exertion on the wide-open spaces of Newmarket knocks the stuffing out of even the best of fillies.
🏇 Billesdon Brook (2018) Looked a Classic bum until returning to form 13 months after her shock 66-1 Newmarket 1,000 win in 2018.
But Richard Hannon persisted until she scored on AW in June 2019 after form figures of 44030, and capped her career with victory in the Sun Chariot on Champions Day.
🏇 Blue Bunting (2011) was an expensive flop (9-4 favourite in the Epsom Oaks) after her Guineas but redeemed herself in the Irish and Yorkshire Oaks. Did you stay with her?
🏇 Hermosa (2019) Three times losing favourite (form 2020) after 1,000 Guineas double at Newmarket and the Curragh.
🏇 Homecoming Queen (2012) Punters couldn’t resist her after a nine-lengths 1,000 romp at Newmarket but she crashed at 11-8 and 9-4, out of the frame as favourite for the Curragh 1,000 and then the Coronation Stakes before calling it a day.
🏇 Legatissimo (2015) Beaten favourite twice (5-2 and 6-4) in the Epsom Oaks and the Pretty Polly at the Curragh before getting back into the winner’s enclosure in the Nassau.
🏇 Minding (2016) The Newmarket Guineas winner was beaten at 4-11 in the Irish version when the ground changed to soft.
🏇 Miss France (2014) Andre Fabre’s Newmarket 1,000 winner cost her fans a packet. Her form sequence afterwards was 022220, including defeats at 5-4 and 7-10 favourite.
🏇 Sky Lantern (2013) In and out after her Newmarket Guineas success, with her form of 12010000 including defeats at 4-7 and 7-4. Far too much racing to give the backer a percentage return, and must languish in the layer’s locker.
🏇 Special Duty (2010) English and French 1,000 Guineas double but never reached the frame again (000), including when 11-10 favourite and reckoned ‘a cert’ at Hollywood Park. She hadn’t read the script.
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