25-1 MELBOURNE CUP WIN: SON BEATS FATHER FOR THE SECOND TIME: Joseph O’Brien won the Melbourne Cup this morning for the second time in three years, again beating his father, Aidan, into second place. See below: £4.5m Cup Payment A Record. Result: 1 Twilight Payment 25-1, Tiger Moth 11-2, Prince Of Arran 17-2, The Chosen One 40-1.
KINGMAKER RACE AT EXETER: Daqman reports on the Melbourne Cup and recommends two bets in the kingmaker race at Exeter this afternoon, the Haldon Cup, at around 3-1 and 15-1. His nap runs later on the card.
£4.5m CUP PAYMENT A RECORD
The word is rekindling. That was the name of Joseph O’Brien’s 2017 winner of the Melbourne Cup but how he rekindled a seven-year-old to win the same race by leading all the way this morning is the stuff of legend.
Twilight Payment’s victory only two years after his stablemate creates a new world record return to one stable of £4,579,504 prizemoney won from two runners in the same race in three years.
Son beat father yet again. Rekindling pipped Aidan O’Brien’s Johannes Vermeer and Aidan was runner-up again this morning, Tiger Moth chasing home Twilight Payment.
I said yesterday that the seven-year-old seemed to be getting better with age and was one of the few genuine stayers in the field.
But, after Twilight Payment faded last year when in the lead, it was hard to imagine such improvement in the particular race.
Joseph has broken all the rules for training the Cup winner. The wrong age of horse with a long absence and no prep to acclimatise him to the Aussie racing scene.
The only other bit of my prognostication that turned out right is how difficult it is to win from the lowest draw.
Prince Of Arran ran third for the third consecutive year: ‘not clear run, stayed on strongly, nearest finish,’ beaten threequarters of a length from stall one.
Few punters fancied Twilight Payment at 25-1. Fewer still wanted the fourth horse home, the Chosen One (40-1).
But there is no doubt who is the chosen one for the next 40 years. Joseph O’Brien is only 27 and the Derby-winning rider of Camelot is now a Merlin in the history of racehorse training.
GREANE FOR GOING TO THE TOP
⭕ 2.25 Exeter (Haldon Gold Cup) This race has a history of producing future champions: Best Mate, Edredon Bleu, Monkerhostin, Cue Card, Gods Own.. to name but a few, as they say!
Paul Nicholls, who has trained six winners, among them such as Flagship Uberalles, Viking Flagship, Politologue and Azertyuiop, saddles the favourite, Greaneteen.
Favourites do well: only two winners in the decade have SPs larger than 9-2, and only two have been older than seven, of which one of them was doing a repeat later in life.
You have to jump fences at Exeter, and Greaneteen would have no worries as the sharp two-miler who set up a hat-trick on his way to Cheltenham in March.
But things went wrong there for the first time in his life, not getting a clear run and then blundering two out as he tried to make up ground in a Graded handicap.
Exeter is a mini-Cheltenham, with its stamina-sapping Haldon hill, which is why so many young horses go on to glory from there, so it’s a big test for Greaneteen but even bigger for the modest opposition.
Global Citizen has not been fluent at Cheltenham, though the opposition was very tough indeed – Champion Hurdle and Arkle (fourth) – and, at eight years old now, I could fancy him for a place but not to win.
Apart from Greaneteen, Esprit Du Large and Vision Des Flos are course winners at Exeter, Esprit Du Large taking the beginners’ chase at the next meeting here last November.
Vision des Flos has a modest record over fences, and usually needs a couple of runs before he fires. Glen Forsa was seen just once last season, third in a class-2 Ladbrokes chase a year or so back.
Not That Fuisse usually races over further. He was duffed up by a Nicholls stayer at Cheltenham 10 days ago. Cheekpieces first time are unlikely to help enough.
Bun Doran has a fine record of three wins, nine places – so 12 in the frame altogether out of 17 – including victory in the Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase at Kempton and these 2m form figures over fences at Cheltenham: 21223.
Huge offers this morning in the Sportsbook at 15.5 on the BETDAQ Betting Exchange
PRESSING THE RESET BUTTON
⭕ 4.25 Exeter A great midweek afternoon of jumping concludes with this handicap hurdle and looks destined to go to local trainer David Pipe with Lady Reset.
The 100 rated mare was a dual scorer on the flat and went closest yet to a first success over timber when headed on the line at Stratford last time out.
That looked to be an improved effort and with the trainer now in a good patch of form (5 winners from his last 23 runners) she should prove hard to beat against a field of, in the main, out of form rivals.
Of the ones that are prominent in the BETDAQ market Jobesgreen Lad and Lucky’s Dream are both back after lengthy absences whilst Frankincense finished behind Lady Reset in the Stratford race.
TORPEDO TO STRIKE
⭕ 7.15 Newcastle Deolati is up 5lb for his course and distance win last time out where he narrowly beat Peachey Carnehan (beaten twice subsequently) and with his trainer not in great form it seems sensible to look elsewhere.
With the blinkers on for the first time The Mackem Torpedo is of interest for small stakes.
Brian Ellison’s runner remains a maiden but has gone close and if the blinkers can eek out that extra bit of improvement he looks fair value.
He’s still relatively lightly raced and the handicapper has dropped him 2lb after two recent course efforts – both of which were solid.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.25 Exeter (win 15)
BET 6pts win GREANETEEN
BET 1pt win BUN DORAN
4.25 Exeter (win 10)
BET 5.1pts win (nap) LADY RESET
7.15 Newcastle (win 10 on both win and place bets)
BET 1.6pts win and 5.9pts place TORPEDO MACKEM
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