PREMIER LEAGUE TUESDAY: The Striker previews Tuesday’s Premier League games between BRIGHTON v NOTTINGHAM FOREST and CRYSTAL PALACE v WOLVES both with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats via FACTMAN.
BRIGHTON V NOTTINGHAM FOREST
7.30pm The Premier League fixture just keep coming on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! After a very busy weekend we have a full fixture list, minus Arsenal because of the Europa League, to get through midweek. We have two very interesting markets to study on Tuesday night, and we kick the evening off with Brighton hosting Nottingham Forest. We have some hugely competitive midweek fixtures this week, and Brighton are actually one of the shortest favourites are 1.44. It helps that Manchester City aren’t in action of course, but they wouldn’t have been that short against Arsenal. At the time of writing Brighton are trading 1.44, which is actually the shortest price of any midweek game by one tick! Nottingham Forest slipped to another defeat at the weekend with a 1-0 loss away to Wolves – they didn’t play too badly but that loss just puts them under immense pressure in the relegation battle. At the moment, they are the only side heading in the wrong direction and they have moved into heavy odds on favourites to go back down now. After signing so many players in the transfer window, they could be in big trouble too should they end up with their wage bill in the Championship.
Brighton also suffered another defeat at the weekend when losing 2-0 to Brentford. It was a very open game, and we were very unlucky to lose our Over 2.5 goals bet, but Brighton were also unlucky to lose. They finished the game with an xG of 2.03 – higher than Brentford – but it was another case of Brighton not taking their chances. That’s two games in a row now that they have created a bigger xG than their opposition and lost. They will be hoping that changes here! Although Nottingham Forest have been playing very average football this season, they did play well at the weekend. They might have lost to Wolves, but they finished the game with a higher xG figure than they conceded and that was a little bit of progress. It’s still fair to say that Forest have been very poor though, and if you look at the underlining numbers here then there is only one winner. Brighton might not have got the results they wanted lately, but you can’t knock their performances and if they play to a similar level here they should win. The 1.44 is worth backing.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Brighton to beat Nottingham Forest at 1.44 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BriNot
⚠️ CHECK FACTMAN STATS ON THIS MATCH ⚠️
CRYSTAL PALACE V WOLVES
8.15pm We have an interesting market next as Crystal Palace host Wolves. Both sides were involved in big results in the relegation battle at the weekend with Crystal Palace drawing against Leicester and Wolves winning against Nottingham Forest. As I said above, that loss for Nottingham Forest leaves them in a very difficult position but from a Wolves point of view their performance was still very average. They conceded a higher xG figure than they created, but at the end of the day it was still a massive three points. That leaves them sitting in 17th, just outside the relegation zone, with nine points from ten games. There’s no question that Wolves are in the relegation mix, and Bournemouth extending their unbeaten run at the weekend will start to put pressure on the likes of Aston Villa, Wolves, Southampton and Leicester now too. The problem for Wolves has mainly been at the back – they have conceded an average xG of 1.4 this season and they are creating less than that. Their actual goal scored figure works out at 0.4 per game at the moment which clearly isn’t good enough. The thing about Wolves is they always grinded out results, but now they are sloppy at the back and that just brings issues. I wouldn’t say that Crystal Palace have impressed this season, but they have been playing football at a much higher level than Wolves and they should win here. Palace are trading 2.26 at the time of writing and that stands out as the value bet.
Palace had a difficult start to the season having had to play Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City within their opening four games. They did well to draw at Anfield, and since then they have collected plenty of points. To be honest though they have been very lucky at times – for example they picked up a 0-0 draw at Newcastle but conceded an xG of 4.17. That was one of the most lucky results in the Premier League this season! They played OK at the weekend against Leicester in a very dull 0-0 – we didn’t see that many chances and I would suggest Palace are a better side at home when looking at their xG figures. Wolves really don’t create much, and I would expect them to set up quite negatively here so Under 2.5 goals is definitely an option at 1.7. It’s actually a tough decision between the Palace win and Under 2.5 goals – to be honest I couldn’t put anyone off either bet. I fancy Palace to grind out a win, but this game screams a low scoring dull affair without many chances so I’m happy to opt for Under 2.5 goals at 1.7.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.7 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CryWol
⚠️ CHECK FACTMAN STATS ON THIS MATCH ⚠️
