DAQMAN BAGS 12-1 EBOR WINNER AT BETDAQ 16.0: Big-race king Daqman, the wizard of odds, was price-wiser than the rest yet again yesterday when he landed the Ebor with 16.0 BETDAQ morning offers about Willing Foe (WON 12-1).
69 POINTS PROFIT IN TWO DAYS: It capped another successful major meeting for Daqman, who also won on the Knavesmire yesterday with Gordon Lord Byron (WON 5-1) for a total profit in the last two days at York of 69 points.
11-1 PLUS THE NUNTHORPE HEROINE: On Friday, he hit a one-two in the opener with Kirthill (WON 11-1) and Martin Chuzzlewit (2nd 10-1), and named Nunthorpe heroine, Ortensia (WON 7-2). Both Kirthill and Willing Foe were high-stakes jackpot bets.
Let’s go for a 10-minute treble! Don’t they still amaze you, those non-racing people who ask you: what do you do between races?
They should all be made to sit in front of a BETDAQ screen to watch the markets during a hectic 10-minute spell of big races in three countries this afternoon.
IRELAND: 3.10 The Curragh (Flying Five): The first tip for the BETDAQ punter poised with his mouse is that Ireland will get their 3.10 runners away before the French, who used to time their races for jockeys to mount, and are still notoriously tardy, tied as they are to queues at the PMU windows. None of that old-fashioned stuff for us!
Only three Irish yards put up any defence for a race they haven’t won for 11 years, and have kept at home just twice in 17 runnings since 1994, never having scored in the nine years since it was switched to The Curragh.
But younger horses, under six years of age, dominate with 10 wins out of 12 this century, and three of the five in that group today are Irish, including a real favourite of mine, Fire Lily.
Her Phoenix Sprint success at this level was given a terrific Saturday fillip at York by the runner-up, Gordon Lord Byron, who strode clear of a decent Listed field.
On the down side, this is 5f, the Phoenix was six; this is heavy, the Phoenix was on soft; but she is a dual Group-3 winner against Listed horses.
Inxile, who has taken over as favourite as I write, did win a Group-3 once upon a time but has been confined to Listed class ever since and the seven-year-old has to give three years to Fire Lily.
He would prefer better ground and had to fight on the heavy at Tipperary. If it had been Fire Lily coming at him and not the handicapper Nocturnal Affair, I doubt he would have won.
FRANCE: 3.10: Grand Prix De Deauville: Twice only this century has an English trainer (Mark Johnston and the late Michael Jarvis) made the breakthrough by beating the home contingent in this Group 2.
And it’s 34 years since victory went to an older horse like Michael Bell’s Allied Powers, who however has had all his Group wins – his only three successes since 2009 – on the top French tracks of Longchamp, Deauville and Chantilly, including another Grand Prix at their Derby venue.
But all three were in the Spring when some of his rivals were warming up for their season; in fact, going back in his CV, only one of his eight victories has come after the first week in June.
John Gosden would seem to have a better chance with Gatewood but so far he has only placed once in a Group 3, which stopped his run of wins at the hat-trick stage.
He’s been favourite on five of his last six starts, in which he’s rocketed 19lb in the ratings, and is reportedly heading for the Melbourne Cup.
The ground has come right for Masterstroke, odds-on favourite on all four starts this season but just run out of it twice, including by Top Trip in May.
Masterstroke is now weighted to reverse the form with Top Trip and, though Spring form can be misleading at this stage of the season, their trainers are at the opposite end of the wheel of fortune right now.
Francois Doumen (Top Trip) is struggling with his recent runners all starting – and losing – at big prices, whereas Andre Fabre (Masterstroke) has just had three out of six start favourite, in which time he’s had three winners.
Usuelo is consistent and has a break at the weights, while the Godolphin runner, Tenenbaum, could improve from Listed level, though one of those he beat into a place at Deauville last time, Hammerfest, did nothing for the form in yesterday’s Ebor.
ENGLAND: 3.20 Goodwood (Prestige Stakes): Young horses (aged three and four) have won five out six and, though favourites have had a lean time (one win in nine seasons), the SP has been returned between 2-1 and 7-1 for seven years now.
Richard Hannon’s record since 2007 is run two, won two. Producer will relish the drying ground but all four wins have come going left-handed round Epsom and it remains to be seen whether his lead leg will allow right-hand railing at Goodwood, though he ran well enough at Ascot.
Boom And Bust, impressive at Ascot, and already a Goodwood winner over a mile, drops down to 7f for this step up to Group 3. I’m So Glad makes the same leap of faith, after four wins from five starts.
The Cheka is battle-hardened at the highest level and may improve for this return to 7f after being placed in Group 1 sprints but he’s six now and has managed only springtime successes since 2009.
Zumbi dropped out of the pattern but failed at handicap level last time, when hampered. In fact, there have been excuses the last twice but I note that his races have been eight months then four months apart.
Regal Realm’s races have also been well spaced out but this is a hat-trick bid at Goodwood and she won at this meeting when favourite last year in a desperate finish of short-head, head and a head; it was the same race won by Ollie Olga on Saturday.
But Producer’s solid Jersey Stakes run suggests he’s overpriced at 7.8 on BETDAQ this morning, with the lean and hungry Richard Hughes on board and the ground drying out for him.
Hughes, one ahead of Ryan Moore as play begins this morning, could have hit another big run, if he can coax home first-time-hooded Titan Triumph (trading at 8.0 for the 2.10).
This beast has won this race before – years ago in the days when you could trust banks – and, though he is eight now, lines up here a stunning 12lb below his last AW winning mark and after a long break, which ploy once produced a 16-1 success for him.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 2.8pts win TITAN TRIUMPH (2.10 Goodwood)
BET 8.3pts win (nap) FIRE LILY (3.10 The Curragh)
BET 3pts win PRODUCER (3.20 Goodwood)
BET 8pts win SEA FEVER (4.50 Yarmouth)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 1pt win doubles and 1pt win treble: Fire Lily (3.10 Goodwood) with Masterstroke (3.10 Deauville) and Producer (3.20 Goodwood).
* Daqman’s selections are backed to win 20 points (unless otherwise stated in jackpot bets) so, if you divide 20 by his stake, you know the Betdaq offer taken at the time of writing.
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