DAQMAN LANDS ANOTHER SUPERNAP: Daqman’s 1,000 Guineas stalls split had Mawj (WON 9-1) on one side and Caernarfon (4th 25-1) on the other side of the track. He landed his supernap, Adayar, in the Gordon Richards Stakes. That was nap number 39 this year and he’s 14-7 up in his value challenge to Pricewise.
Sunday
WON 5-6 ADAYAR (supernap) BETDAQ 2.06 taken
Saturday
WON 7-2 CHALDEAN (2,000 Guineas) BETDAQ 7.5
Friday
WON 7-1 CASTLE WAY
WON 3-1 SHOULDVEBEENARING
Thursday
WON 10-11 SMILE AND PAY (nap)
WON 11-5 YOU SAW BRIGADOON
TOMORROW Guineas wrap and Fortune Cookies
WEDNESDAY Weekend preview
WAS IT THE GOING OR MOWING?
‘The man on the motor mower done it!’ That’s what a Newmarket stable contact told me was the talk of one HQ pub last night, as I rang round trying to account for the huge draw bias at the Guineas meeting.
I reprised the three-day meeting on computer, using the Racing Post race replay, with one ear to my mobile and yer man pointed out the lighter-green strip of extra-deep mowing of the grass a few yards off the stands’-side rail.
Horses racing on it were largely disadvantaged and generally all 24 races avoided the ground nearer the rail altogether.
The same lighter looking strip of seemingly heavier mowing was visible along the far rail (except yesterday), which was virtually unused the entire meeting.
Racing was either central, with results suggesting the two flanks winning, or in two groups with the outer of each group taking the race, following the pace in those sections.
Friday Results by stall 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 8, 7, 1, with races six and seven 8 of 8 and 7 of 8, so the extreme draw won every single race.
Saturday Results by stall 1, 3, 22, 3, 15, 3, 11, 9 , where race three was 22 of 21, race five 15 of 15, and races seven and eight 11 of 8 and 9 of 8. Extreme low and high won every race.
Sunday Results by stall 6 of 5; 10 with 17 of 15 beaten a neck; 1; 3; 17 of 20 by half a length from 15; 3; 2; 2. Only one race was off sync with the weird and wonderful draw ‘bias’ and that by a neck.
I picked Caernarfon (stall 3) of the far group, 4th 25-1, and had Mawj (won 9-1), drawn 17 in my high-stalls pair but had to reject her because I’d had an ante-post bet on the filly who nearly caught her at Meydan, Dream of Love.
Very few fillies seemed to act on the ground and the first two were nearly eight lengths clear from a passage just beyond the nearside strip of light-green grass.
They actually came away, deliberately, from that strip between the Bushes and the Dip, and went across a few yards into dark-green-grass territory.
The race was won when this trajectory took them into the far-side strip, which on this day was not along the far rail but several lengths off the rail.
TOMORROW: Newmarket results wrap and Fortune Cookies.
BUCEPHALUS GETS GROUND AGAIN
⭕ 6.45 Windsor Bucephalus is surely worth another chance now he gets his soft ground again.
He goes well for Rose Dawes and the pair won well at Doncaster last month on soft ground. That came in a class 3 so he is dropped in class tonight and his more recent run at Newmarket over a shorter trip is best ignored as that looked too sharp.
Another positive is the stable form of Neil Mulholland – currently running at an impressive 5 winners from his last 14 runners.
Noble Masquerade has two wins to his name at Windsor including this race last year but both his victories have come on good to firm ground.
TAMARAMA TO SPOIL THE PARTY
⭕ 7.50 Windsor It might well prove foolhardy to oppose the 1,000 Guineas winning combo of Saeed bin Suroor and Oisin Murphy but I’m struggling to muster much enthusiasm for their Dubai Souq – a likely odds-on favourite on Betdaq Betting Exchange.
The biggest positive factor is that the ground has come in his favour – both his previous turf wins have come on soft but the downside is that he has been off the track for 317 days and hasn’t wintered in Dubai like his now illustrious stablemate Mawj.
He also seemed to lose his way a little last year and failed to show much sparkle in three starts beaten an aggregate of 26 lengths.
He gets a much needed boost from the handicapper but even so at the prices Tamarama is preferred. The filly makes her first start for Ralph Beckett having changed hands for 115,000 guineas.
This is her first start on the turf since a promising third (denied a clear run) in a class 3 at Newmarket and she should find this easier. She has been a winner on the artificial surface at Chelmsford since.
Unlike Dubai Souq her ability on the soft ground is harder to be confident about, although a course and distance third to After The Rain (appropriately named!) on good to soft ground here last April suggests she should be fine.
THE NAME’S BOND, JEMS BOND
⭕ 8.45 Newcastle Without doubt the most competitive looking race of the whole day so I’ve saved the toughest until last!
Jems Bond is a multiple course winner who should again run his race. I’ll go for WIN 10 on both win and place markets and fingers crossed he doesn’t finish 007th.
DAQMAN’S BETS
6.45 Windsor (win 10, nap)
BET 5.0pts win BUCEPHALUS
7.50 Windsor (win 10)
BET 4.3pts win TAMARAMA
8.45 Newcastle (win 10 from both win and place bets)
BET 2pts win and 6.25pts place JEMS BOND
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