LOCAL HORSES GOODWOOD VALUE AT 10.5: Daqman follows local trainers John Dunlop and Amanda Perrett, who both have 10.5 value offers on BETDAQ available about their runners in handicaps at Goodwood today.
2.35 Goodwood: Roger Charlton’s yard is in fabulous form with five-day figures of 110101, three of those in their second season, as are the runners in this tough handicap.
Two of his winners were first time out; two of them ridden by James Doyle; and Silver Lime should be able to land a race this year, with every chance that today’s the day.
Ryan Moore is 100% riding for Attenborough’s owner and, perhaps more significantly, Goodwood Atlantis belongs to the Goodwood Racehorse Owners’ Group and has missed several engagements to wait for this.
Three-year-old handicaps are a lottery for punters at this time of year but, apart from the stable edge, the draw usually has a big say on this turning track.
In the low numbers, Masters Blazing looks well exposed; we can’t trust California English on grass; and Titus Star is in the ‘coffin box’ (stall 1).
That leaves two from stables doing well: Eurystheus, whose sister Sweepstake has run well at Group level, and Mr Churchill, already with experience of this track, third in an October maiden.
William Jarvis hasn’t had a winner from 37 runners this year but his Beaufort Twelve (stall 6) is a big price this morning, offered at 13.0, if the trainer’s opinion of him is only half right: he was considered worth a crack at the Craven, down the field behind subsequent Guineas fourth Trumpet Major. Should be fit enough now.
Of course, Trumpet Major is with Richard Hannon: so it is that, from these few tenuous leads, I took Eurystheus and Beaufort Twelve for small stakes at 8.2 and 13.0 BETDAQ offers this morning.
3.10 Goodwood: This field is much more exposed but the tight turn into the straight still creates a useful advantage to the low drawn, and stalls 1 and 2 were both in the first three last year.
Sure to be in at the finish on form is Bonnie Brae, but there are worries: the ground (he was second in the Victoria Cup on soft) and the track (he is a come-from-behind horse).
A big help to him could be Bronze Prince, a keen-going sort who has won over a mile, so Jim Crowley will probably make plenty of use of him today. Should get the rail from stall 6.
Kakatosi probably didn’t act on the surface behind Bonnie Brae at Ascot, but that wasn’t the only reason for failure; fitting visors today, and his being three times a bridesmaid in five outings last term, suggest there are problems with his attitude.
Yair Hill, won first time out last season and so may not need an awful lot of work; could be the one, if Dunlop is to get off the mark at his local meeting: the only four-year-old in the race, so open to most improvement and already joint-top rated by the Racing Post. The 10.5 offers on BETDAQ this morning were tempting.
A danger to all must be Primaeval, five wins and two places out of nine on right-handed tracks, and 8lb lower than his last win on AW. A whole bunch of today’s field finished behind him last backend and he’s continued where he left off.
3.45 Goodwood (Height Of Fashion Stakes): Looking for Classic-trial winners is a bit like picking a bet for the Premier League: you need to look for a team with depth.
We know, for instance, that John Gosden already has a real star in The Fugue, so Gathering commands a deal of respect, though I’m put off by her lack of quality entries and the application of cheekpieces.
Hughie Morrison also knows the score, and Coquet has a lot going for her: she holds a verdict over Nell Gwyn winner, Esentepe, in a Newmarket race that has thrown up Group-1 winners in the last two years.
Last week Morrison had one (Shirocco Star) in front of the 1,000 Guineas runner-up, Starscope, albeit beaten into second a week or so ago by the surprise – not to me, boast, boast – Newbury trial scorer, Momentary, 33-1.
Estrela and Zimira were third and fifth in the Lingfield Oaks Trial, with Estrela looking well suited to today’s track, dropping back two furlongs after a front-running effort.
Where Minidress fits in is anybody’s guess, since she was hampered in the Nell Gwyn. A punter-friendly 106% ‘book’ of BETDAQ offers but only 3.2 points separate six runners. You takes your pick. I’ll watch.
4.20 Goodwood: Golan Way will probably try to make all, almost a stone in hand on hurdles form with Pascha Bere, but local horse Saborido (10.5 on BETDAQ) has the stamina and is fit from bad-ground runs; a potent force today if it doesn’t rain.
We really don’t know if, and how, Rasheed and Al Khawaneej will translate AW form to turf. But Golan Way has too many threats to be as short as 5-2. Lay.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
BET 2.7pts win EURYSTHEUS and 1.6pts win BEAUFORT TWELVE (2.35 Goodwood)
BET 4.4pts win BONNIE BRAE, 2.1pts win YAIR HILL and 2pts win (stakes saver) PRIMAEVAL (3.10 Goodwood)
LAY to win 10pts GOLAN WAY and BET 2.1pts win (nap) SABORIDO (4.20 Goodwood).
* Daqman’s selections are backed to win 20 points (unless otherwise stated) so, if you divide 20 by his stake, you know the Betdaq offer taken at the time of writing.
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