PROFIT AGAIN FROM BETDAQ RACING AT KEMPTON: Daqman finds an appropriate name for a winning start to four Betdaq-sponsored races at Kempton Park this evening.
4.00 Kempton (Free Entry For Betdaq Members Median Auction Maiden Stakes) Paul Cole, Andrew Balding and Marco Botti have their first runners of the new year; Ralph Beckett (form figures 312) and Kevin Ryan (041201) are already off the mark, continuing to score freely on AW this winter.
Botti’s his last winner was here in a two-year-old maiden on December 21 but those juveniles, such as Like The Night, are now three.
So here are Like The Night and expensive-to-follow By Invitation, twice beaten favourite but Jim Crowley’s only ride today, still trying to trouble the judge.
This pair bring experience to the race, but clearly not much quality form, though Beckett is the track’s leading trainer on percentages and is three out of four in this type of race on this track.
Prince Gabrial and Saint Boniface – sole mount for Steve Drowne – could improve for the one run, but Gabrial’s was back in June, suggesting something went wrong, and Boniface needs further on pedigree. Both are already gelded.
Paul Cole’s animals are brought to race-winning condition at home, but the filly, Gem Of Wizdom, is ‘any price’, trading 17.5 as I write. So I shall go along with Profit Again (5.7): though Balding debutants usually need the run, he wouldn’t have to be much to win this.
4.30 Kempton (Back or Lay At betdaq.com Handicap) This time not much trainer form to go on as just the one gelding – first time in a handicap – takes on a field of fillies, and I note that Zoe Davison (Marie’s Fantasy) and Michael Blanshard (Lady Heartbeat) are on the Racing Post’s ‘cold’ list.
That handicap debutant, Oratorian, has shown promise in his maidens but gives up to a stone away, since he’s been beaten only a total of about three lengths in his last two runs at Kempton.
Both were over a mile and today’s drop back in trip may suit this free-going sort. Lana is also first time in a handicap, but with less to show in her maidens, and easy to back at 17.5 at the time of writing.
Dressed In Lace is the only winner in the field: that was on soft ground but she suggested in her fourth over the minimum here in the summer that the 6f of her Chepstow victory is needed at Kempton, too.
Marie’s Fantasy, with Gay Kelleway until November, also finished two sprints here just before Christmas as though the extra furlong would suit. She’s started big odds (25-1, 22-1 and 16-1) in her last three starts, so any market move could be inspired.
The same applies to Frankie Macdonald’s only ride of the day, Lady Heartbeat; she’s been racing over further, with not much support in the betting. Not much today either (18.5).
Leenavesta is a bridesmaid, five times placed without winning but this time a look at the markets for her races suggests that she wasn’t fancied in the autumn until support last time out in a class higher handicap (in fact, a Wolverhampton nursery, as she was still two then).
Despite her shortcomings, she may be good enough, though Kieran O’Neill will be mindful that she cost him a whips ban when failing to get up by a neck in that Wolver event.
5.00 Kempton (Betdaq Multiples Handicap) You need some edges to whittle down this big field: I’d start by being wary of Cantor and Now, with their stables on the ‘cold’ list, and I’d probably strike out Laconicos (one win in 77 career starts, none on the Flat, and now 10 years old).
Warrior Nation (sometimes front-runs), Raghdaan (also led on penultimate start) and Spartan King (regularly slowly away) are maidens, sometimes promising without so far delivering.
Valdan holds El Libertador and Lucas Pitt on CD form a month ago but is badly off with El Libertador on earlier form here when Valdan won a length.
Venir Rouge has had problems with an irregular heartbeat, and the same may happen to you if you trust your mortgage to this eight–year-old.
Eddie Ahern is an interesting booking for Sumani (25.0 outsider), a strong front-runner for this grade. He has been dropped by the handicapper to close on his winning mark of old. Back and lay.
Rodrigo De Freitas’ one win was also a long way back but he seemingly holds Missionaire and Rose Aurora, and was beaten only a neck at Lingfield last month; however, that was under Ahern not today’s claimer.
Rose Aurora (8.0 as I write) was carrying 10lb extra for a CD win here in November when behind Rodrigo at Lingfield last month. First-time blinkers could bridge that gap with Hayley Turner (30% for trainer Tregoning) brought in.
5.30 Kempton (Betdaq Mobile Apps Conditions Stakes) We are up two grades and in conditions company here, with the ratings tipping The Rectifier to win.
Micky Fenton’s only ride of the day was third in a Group-3 at Salisbury and has won a Listed at Windsor.
His absence since the autumn is not a problem, as he goes well when fresh and has won before after a long holiday. The question is whether he’ll get the run of the race, which is a must.
Both The Rectifier and Treadwell, who was well backed on today’s course last time out, are entires. Treadwell, Kakatosi and Amitola have all won in class-2, two levels higher than this.
The market mover early doors was Clockmaker, Tim Easterby’s winner here in June 2010 from just two runners in the last four years.
Clearly, Easterby is not a man to waste petrol but, though the six-year-old covered expenses when third at Lingfield last month, he was costly for punters, beaten favourite at 7-2 (Kakatosi fifth). I’ll take him to recoup the losses, returned to Kempton
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 4.2pts win PROFIT AGAIN (4.00 Kempton)
BET 2.8pts win ROSE AURORA, and 0.8pts win and place SUMANI (5.00 Kempton) (5.00 Kempton)
BET 5.2pts win (nap) CLOCKMAKER and 1.8pts win (stakes saver) THE RECTIFIER (5.30 Kempton).
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
