DAQMAN HITS THE WIRE WITH 10-1 BULL’S-EYE NAP: His bull’s-eye nap emerged from a long break yesterday when fearless Daqman named Rock The Kasbah (2ND 10-1 sht hd) to win 50 points and take the special bet over the 300-points profit marker but, in a battle royal at Cheltenham, he was beaten on the nod by Cogry. Going into today, bull’s-eye naps are 249 points in profit and Daqman is 282 points clear of Pricewise.
ACCOUNTS UPDATE
Daqman 13, Pricewise 4 (+142.30 to -140.00)
Bull’s-eye bets 41% (+96.20 from 5-12)
Bulls-eye naps 47% (+249pts from 8-17)
All Daily Naps 44% (+45.01 from 14-32)
Supernaps 60% (+64.68 from 6-10)
OUTSIDERS MAKE CHELTENHAM HEADLINES AGAIN: Daqman opposes some of the big guns on the day of the International Hurdle and winter Gold Cup, and tries two more bull’s-eye bets. His nap is at Doncaster.
🔹 STAGE ALL SET AT BETDAQ 11.0
🔹 BRELAN PICK OF NICHOLLS DUO
🔹 PUTTING SOME SPIN ON SAM
🔹 TAKE ELIXIR AS A 12.0 TONIC
🔹 GO FOR GLORY AT A TASTY 8.0
STAGE ALL SET AT BETDAQ 11.0
12.10 Cheltenham (Triumph Trial) This race in 2016 was the third of seven successive wins for Defi Du Seuil; yes, including the Triumph Hurdle.
The same stable today saddles Group Stage, fortunate to win on the debut but with a subsequent winner and a Listed second in the frame behind. Forget his Flat form; he got jarred up on firm ground.
Langer Dan has been beating nothing well, but Botox Has was runner-up in an earlier Triumph Trial here last month, seven lengths in front of the third, Repetitio, a winner of a handicap here yesterday.
Group Stage was big, exchanging at up to 11.5 early mouse, but 9.8 was taken on BETDAQ as I write, leaving 9.2 the option, before 11.0 became available. That mouse is nibbling powerfully.
Clearly at home on a soft and softer surface – showers forecast – his place offers the same as Botox Has for the win.
BRELAN PICK OF NICHOLLS DUO
1.55 Cheltenham (Gold Cup) With Frodon winning this twice in the last three seasons, Paul Nicholls is 5-10 in the decade, and stablemate Secret Investor has been first or second in 13 of 15 starts.
Won the Future Champions Chase at the Ayr National meeting but has no experience of Cheltenham, whereas Cepage was runner-up to Frodon in this race last year.
Brelan D’As is my Nicholls preferred at around 6.0 on BETDAQ. He just missed out by a neck in the Autumn Gold Cup on the Old Course here, the race in which Frodon was also second last year before coming on to win this.
It’s hard to see the third horse home, Warthog, turning around the placings, and it seems a long time to have waited to up Clondaw Castle in trip after 13 races at around the minimum.
But fourth in the Arkle, so acts on the course, and my man in the long grass says that, of three entries at the Cheltenham Festival, Clondaw’s connections are keen to aim at one over 2m 4f.
The Willie Mullins raider, Robin Des Foret, has been consistent kept to novice events for 18 months now, and the stats say that he’s too long in the tooth at nine.
Brelan d’As and Sam Spinner (below) are representing the prospective Fortune Cookies horses-to-follow team for 2020.
PUTTING SOME SPIN ON SAM..
2.10 Doncaster I’ve stuck my neck out twice this week and declared Sam Spinner a likely lad for the NH Chase at Cheltenham, with the super spin-off of a career as a Grand National horse.
He’s been classy over hurdles and his relatives on the dam’s side include top stayers The Tsarevitch and Gungadu.
Sam Spinner (BETDAQ 2.54 taken) needs a fast pace and I thought to myself there couldn’t be a better rival today than Windsor Avenue, who is likely to attack the fences up front.
But Windsor Avenue is stepping up in trip here to see if 3m chases can be opened up to him, so not sure to run his usual race. They will be looking at each other, you think! Aye right..
TAKE ELIXIR AS A 12.0 TONIC
3.05 Cheltenham (International Hurdle) Nigel Twiston-Davies used to dominate this race with The New One (three wins) but now it’s Nicky Henderson’s turn for the hat-trick, after My Tent Or Yours and Brain Power.
Nicky’s Pentland Hills has already completed his treble over hurdles, the last two Grade 1, starting with the Triumph Hurdle here over the CD at Cheltenham.
The one he beat a neck in the equivalent race at Aintree, Fakir d’Oudairies, has become a ‘monster’ in his own right, successfully switched to chasing.
Henderson has won this race before with a four-year-old, Grandouet (2011), who never won another race, and Paul Nicholls did the same with Old Guard (2015), who subsequently flopped at Cheltenham.
Pentland Hills gives 3lb to his older stable companion, Call Me Lord, who is rejected by Nico De Boinville and prefers a right-hand track. Yet the pair were 3.55 each on BETDAQ at the time of writing.
I don’t feel good omens today or in the future for Pentland Hills, but don’t let me put you off. What I will do is put you on to the value in the BETDAQ 10.0 Elixir De Nutz.
Colin Tizzard makes no bones about it: the Tolworth Hurdle winner a stronger individual now and he’s campaigning for the Champion Hurdle. If you fancy a tilt at your fellow layers, you can get 27.0 ante-post on BETDAQ (3.8pts would win you around 100).
A fast and fluent hurdler, he won four in a row last season including a Grade 1. He might not be in the big league but 12.0 says he’s a decent shot in the dark here here.
GO FOR GLORY AT A TASTY 8.0
3.40 Cheltenham Nicky Henderson, who had a double on the opening day, runs Dame De Compagnie back at her winning trip on this new course, after a good late effort on her reappearance in the Greatwood (2m).
Fergal O’Brien yesterday had his third winner out of six, still standing, in the last four days and Carrolls Milan hasn’t been out of the first three for more than a year, including a hat-trick, yet has 28.0 offers on BETDAQ.
Queens Cove was well backed overnight after her eased-down win at Exeter on the last day but she beat nothing well.
Indefatigable, fifth in the Mares’ Novice Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in March, has been solid since and is a CD winner on this new course, when she beat The Cull Bank 10 lengths in the Spring. The 8.8 looks tasty.
Vision Du Puy, just behind Indefatigable at Wetherby, eased overnight. So did powerful Wincanton scorer Misty Bloom, who left Midnightreferendum for dead at Wincanton. Both around 20.0.
River Arrow was second in this race in 2017, and there is some evidence that Dame De Compagnie’s stablemate, Lust For Glory, can improve for the extra distance. Mega Yeats is bred to do well and is back at her winning trip.
A very open race, in which Lust For Glory, always craving this step up in trip, is well in and offered at a tasty 8.0
DAQMAN’S BETS
12.10 Cheltenham (win 20, place win 10)
BET 2pts win and 6pts place GROUP STAGE
1.55 Cheltenham (bull’s-eye bet to win 50)
BET 10pts win BRELAN D’AS
2.10 Doncaster (win 20)
BET 12pts win (nap) SAM SPINNER
3.05 Cheltenham (bull’s-eye bet to win 50, 10 a place)
BET 5pts win and place ELIXIR DE NUTZ
3.40 Cheltenham (win 30)
BET 4.25pts win LUST FOR GLORY
DAQ MULTIPLES
4 x 2pt win doubles
Botox Has and Group Stage
(12.10 Cheltenham)
Pentland Hills and Elixir De Nutz
(3.05 Cheltenham)
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
