BETDAQ ‘KING’ OF VALUE IN THE NATIONAL: Daqman proved his point yet again about BETDAQ ante-post value when horses he backed at 39.0 (Balthazar King 2nd 14-1) and 56.0 (Rocky Creek 5th 16-1) played a huge hand in the final stages of the Grand National. This from the man who had the 2012 favourite Seabass (3rd 8-1) at 60.0.
DAQMAN PLOT PUTS HIM 9-0 UP: His return from Balthazar King plus judicious place lays on Burton Port (unseated rider second fence) and Monbeg Dude (7th) put Daqman 9-0 up in his challenge to Pricewise since the start of the Flat (48 returns to 12 overall).
FIVE AINTREE LAYS IN A ROW: But perhaps Daqman’s most daring bet of the day was to lay – for place as well as for win – the Paul Nicholls hot-pot Katgary (unplaced 5-2 favourite), bringing his total to five for the Aintree meeting. His naps over the three days finished 112 and he had 11 winning bets.
THE AINTREE LESSON: YOUR DAQ IS 50% BETTER
VALUE: Whatever we learned yesterday about how to get the National winner, where to back it on the day is not in question. Morning BETDAQ offers at Aintree on the five races I covered were as low as 101% which means that punters are getting paid out virtually what they put in (consider it as total odds of 100-101).
Is there really any choice left between BETDAQ and having accounts with a plethora of bookies to try to find some value? Or would you rather wait for the ‘off’ and bet at yesterday’s Grand National Total SP of 151%. That means, in effect, that half your money is lost before it runs (now you are betting 100-151). In 2010 it was 155%.
SMASHING: What a smashing performance from the Mr Nice Guy of the jumps game, Philip Hobbs, to produce Balthazar King to be second and Chance Du Roy to be sixth. And jockey Paul Moloney.. in the first four six years running! That must be some kind of record.
FALSE: How much longer can this silly spectacle of false starts continue? The BHA can expect only derision from the public if the Stewards blame the jockeys. Racing’s authority is still remembered for its sorry handling of the whips controversy.
A starting mechanism is already known. Two tapes 40 yards apart. All horses must pass through the first marker at a walk. If any (like Battle Group) are refusing to line-up, a red light stops the faster approach to the front tape. If all pass through the back tape at a walk, the second one is raised as they move forward at a faster pace. Much better than charging at one tape! It works psychologically.
WISDOM: The course itself was magnificent. Harvey Smith put his finger on it when he said: ‘It’s good. And better this than losing the race altogether by continuing fatalities on the old course.’
NEXT YEAR? Yes, Rocky Creek. But this will have done his handicap mark no good, and I expect to see him trained for the Gold Cup. Balthazar King is surely now an even better banks champion than Spothedifference or Guarde Champetre.
Double Seven ran a cracker. Monbeg Dude’s jumping improved; he will be bang there another year. Alvarado was a stone better horse over the Aintree course.
Keep an eye on Kruzhlinin. He’s with a National-winning stable and still only seven.
‘IRISH’ IS A DOUBLE BONUS BET AT FAIRYHOUSE
2.10 Fairyhouse Arvika Liegeonniere likes to do it clockwise: he’s not much good going left-handed. Now back on the right track (literally), and has his ground, too.
2.40 Fairyhouse The ground may have gone against Nearest The Pin, who was the ‘moral’ in the BETDAQ Silver Bowl at Kempton Park three weeks ago, narrowly beaten when giving weight to the winner.
The mud will suit The Way We Were, reunited with Tony McCoy, who was back to his forceful best at Aintree.
But Treat Yourself had The Way We Were well held at Leopardstown in January under Davy Russell and is a tasty 7.6 on BETDAQ as I write.
3.15 Fairyhouse (Mares Novice Hurdle Championship Final) Adriana Des Mottes, brought down in he Triumph Hurdle, has most to fear from Layla Joan, who was on a five-timer when she stumbled out of a race at Doncaster on the last day.
3.50 Fairyhouse Fast ground and the Cheltenham hill found out Lieutenant Colonel in the Neptune and he has the same chance here as Renneti on lines to Vautour.
Yet he’s 7.0 to Renneti’s 3.4 on BETDAQ this morning, split by Apache Stronghold who is behind them both, if the Azorian form can be believed. Le Vent d’Antan is a worry.
4.20 Fairyhouse The ground is a concern for the Supreme Novice Hurdle sixth, Wicklow Brave, odds on this morning, so I’m having a dabble win and place on an outsider, Double Irish, who trotted up at Leopardstown before trying 3m at Clonmel: 16.0 is big in a nine-runner race. I think he should be 9.0 and shall back him win and place accordingly.
4.25 Market Rasen Regal D’Estruval will try to make all the running for Dr Richard Newland and Leighton Aspell. Now where have I heard of those two before?
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points except 2.10 and 4.20 Fairyhouse)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (NAP) ARVIKA LIGEONNIERE (2.10 Fairyhouse)
BET 2pts win and place ALLIED ANSWER (2.15 Market Rasen)
BET 3pts win TREAT YOURSELF (2.40 Fairyhouse)
BET 10pts win on each ADRIANA DES MOTTES and LAYLA JOAN (3.15 Fairyhouse)
BET 5pts win and place LEIUTENANT COLONEL and 4pts win (stakes saver) RENNETI (3.50 Fairyhouse)
BET (BETDAQ Double-Value Bonus): 2.5pts win and place at 16.0 DOUBLE IRISH (4.20 Fairyhouse)
BET 3.3pts win on each REGAL D’ESTRUVAL and BOOK’EM DANNO (4.25 Market Rasen)
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