EIGHT NAPS UP: 81 POINTS PROFIT: Brewing’s success at 85-40 yesterday means that Daqman’s nap has won 81 points to recommended stakes in a sequence of eight winners out of 12 since January 20. His current score is five out of six, containing back-to-back strikes three times since Friday!
★ WON 85-40 BREWING (Wednesday nap)
★ WON 10-11 EL HIBRI (Tuesday nap)
★ WON 8-13 EMBASSY GARDENS (Sunday supernap)
★ WON 4-1 GINNYS DESTINY (Saturday nap)
★ WON 8-13 HE’S AN ANGEL (Friday supernap)
★ WON 1-1 DESTINADO (Wednesday nap)
★ WON 9-4 KING VIKTOR (Tuesday nap)
★ WON 11-8 OH SO GRAND (Saturday nap, January 20)
+ Daqman had two winners from three races yesterday. Tuesday and Wednesday were both profitable on the Betdaq Betting Exchange staking plan.
TODAY: Five for the big handicap at the Dublin festival
TOMORROW: More Dublin Festival form and facts
FIVE FOR THE BIG HANDICAP
⭕ 3.20 Leopardstown, Sunday (Leopardstown Chase) Once upon a time, this race produced Arkle (1964, 65, 66) and Fort Leney (67, 68) to win Gold Cup after Gold Cup.
In the last decade, Daqman found that where there’s muck there’s brass when he dug out 8-1 strike Empire Of Dirt (2016) and followed up at Cheltenham with Colm Murphy’s nine-year-old a 16-1 shot in winning the Brown Advisory.
TRAINERS: All winners in the decade have been 10-1 or 12-1 SP at best, with one exception. Willie Mullins hasn’t had a winner; not a one; no exceptions. Gordon Elliott has had two.
AGE: Eight of the last nine winners have been between six and eight. WEIGHT: Seven of the last eight have carried less than 11st
BUSSELTON (Joseph O’Brien) has the reputation of being ‘as tough as old nails,’ but they are comparatively new nails in this distance-winner’s hooves; he’s only seven.
Prominent, not weaken until approaching the last, when Meetingofthewaters took over to win the big end-of-the-year chase (3m) at Leopardstown, getting 11lb from Busselton (James Du Berlais 4th). There’s now just a pound between them over the shorter distance.
MEETINGOFTHEWATERS (Willie Mullins) not the biggest but had them talking about the Grand National when he won that Christmas chase here at Leopardstown. The NH Chase at Cheltenham would be the next step if they are serious about that.
INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN (Gavin Cromwell) has twice finished late, never looking likely to catch Gaelic Warrior in top-class novice tests, including the Faugheen. Up in trip now.
PERCY WARNER (Henry De Bromhead) I’d like to see Rachael Blackmore on this outsider. There’s been early support at big odds for the Cork distance-winner, who has scored three times fresh after a break and is back from another one.
HEART WOOD (Henry De Bromhead) But Rachael may want to be on Heart Wood, also thrown in for the same stable off 10st 1lb, as De Bromhead clearly tries to improve on his placings in this with Trainwreck beaten a head in 2020 and Minella Times half-a-length second in 2021.
Minella Times went on to win the 2021 Grand National the very next race after his near miss in this Leopardstown Chase. You have been warned.
SHEEHAN BACK ON REGARDE
⭕ 3.00 Ffos Las Regarde ran an erratic race the last day but is reunited with Gavin Sheehan, on whom he scored back to back at Huntingdon in the autumn.
Punters nervous of the heavy ground – it was good both times at Huntingdon – should note that he was an Irish point winner on ‘yielding’, which translates to ‘soft’ in England. BETDAQ value: 7.0.
TIME NICHOLLS WON AGAIN
⭕ 3.45 Wincanton Paul Nicholls hasn’t won this since Worthy Farm (2020), named after the site of the Glastonbury Festival.
Third in 2021 and pulled up the last twice, his runners have been missing a beat in this race but Take Your Time can make a show of it today.
Quick Draw and Manothepeople are both racing with higher ratings and therefore bigger weights, Quick Draw 13lb higher than for his last chase success and Manothepeople with two stone more than when he began his hurdles and chases four-timer just under two years ago.
Amateur Tom Broughton’s claim will help but so will that of Freddie Gingell for Copperhead, to be saddled by another local trainer, Joe Tizzard.
Take Your Time has won, hurdles and chases, on all types of ground, including a CD success on his home track.
It’s more than three years since Copperhead scored over the CD as first leg of a hat-trick which shot his rating up 30lb. He’s slid back 36lb and his stable is having a great season.
GOOSE IS CHASING LALOR
⭕ 4.15 Wincanton It’s almost de rigeur for the locals to win this hunters chase. Six out of seven winners have gone to stables just a stone’s throw away – all bar one as favourite – since 2016: Rose Loxton (2), Paul Nicholls (2), Colin Tizzard and Jack Barber.
But today it’s left to Nicholls, with Lalor (BETDAQ 4.8), to hold the fort from a Lambourn raiding party (well-backed Goose Man for in-form Jamie Snowden) and a Gloucester tilt at the Somerset-Dorset mob by another hitting the headlines, Ben Pauling (Wick Green).
With Charlie Sprake allowed 7lb, Lalor looks the proverbial good thing, as a 142 carrying less than 12st, with 128 Goose Man just a pound behind him and 122 Wick Green 2lb in front!
DAQMAN’S BETS
3.00 Ffos Las (win 12)
BET 2pts win REGARDE
3.45 Wincanton (win 12, nap)
BET 7pts win TAKE YOUR TIME
4.15 Wincanton (win 12)
BET 3pts win LALOR
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
