LUCKY BETDAQ PUNTING! Daqman goes round the six meetings today hoping for a LUCKY day. See what we mean (below) or save your wallet until Sandown, where there is more quality and two top punts. Wherever you bet, low BETDAQ overrounds mean punter-friendly markets.
MARK YOUR (28) CARDS: In fact, there are 28 cards (yes, TWENTY-EIGHT) between now and Saturday, so spread your wings (and your wallet). All to play for as BETDAQ Tips marks your card (to the power of 28) at the start of the holiday season.
LINGFIELD FANFAIR FOR HANNON
Initially it seems good. First letters of five of the cards today spell LUCKY. If you do get lucky, there is more for your wallet to play at Sandown tonight .
Snag is there are only two races all day above class-4 level, so my Plays And Lays – where I try to spot every winner and start out with a value bet from among the short list – would normally be restricted to those events. But they have poor fields.
So, if the shape of racing today is not to play individual races, and not to find big-odds value in big fields, what do we do?
Well, in small fields, we would hope to find favourites to oppose, therefore something at better odds to oppose them with.
L is for Lingfield Three-year-olds are 100% in the 1m2f handicap (2.50) but, with only three from the Classic generation, Richard Hannon spoils the show for punters– but probably steals it for his stable – by saddling two.
Fanfair (5.1 on BETDAQ early mouse) won at Bath for the step up to this trip but his rating is virtually static throughout his career. About Glory’s last-day hit was in first-time blinkers. Much of a muchness, then, but I would fancy Fanfare rather than rely on About Glory’s blinds to work a second time. They may or may not.
Another three-year-old is Ulysses (GER) in the 2m handicap (4.00). Ulysses (IRE), the Eclipse winner, is 50lb better than this Ulysses (GER), which illustrates the gulf between today’s fare midweek and weekend.
Ulysses (GER) was well behind Oxford Blu when that one was stepped up to 1m 6f in blinkers. Today’s 2m in cheekpieces might be what this 10-furlong nursery winner in 2016 needs to get back into the winner’s enclosure. The dam was a 2m AW scorer.
U for Uttoxeter Maybe Supreme Steel (3.35 race), who has had just one run for Dr Richard Newland, is a false favourite on the grounds that his good form is really only on soft–heavy ground.
And another just switched stables, Badgerfort, might have better than the outside chance (13.0 on BETDAQ) that the betting suggests.
My basis for a small punt is that his trainer, Jonjo O’Neill, puts on cheekpieces first time (on the horse, that is) and the stable has farmed the race with form figures since 2011 of 101143
C for Catterick Three Duchesses (3.15) appears to have a lot of weight for a three-year-old but, in fact, on her runaway win at Yarmouth she is better class than this. Could even be grade 3, and Michael Bell is 9-19 with his raiders to this venue.
GET ON THE BEACH AT KILLARNEY
K for Killarney Though Aidan O’Brien has landed seven winners from 12 runners in this race, Abyssinian is too easy to back this morning at 8.0 but, if I were doing a Plays and Lays list for the race, I would have to include this Galileo colt as hidden potential.
Alaykha is all the rage this morning but I thought her twice-hampered third (promoted to second) in a slow-run race at Limerick suggested more experience is required. She made some of her own bad luck.
For me, she is a favourite to oppose, making a price for Airlie Beach, a front-runner over hurdles at the highest level who is clearly out for an exercise canter. But that’s probably all he needs to run this lot into the ground.
Y for Yarmouth Here’s a class 2 (at 6.45). A seemingly open race with two points separating four horses in the BETDAQ orange which, despite only eight runners, is just 107% overround, so punter friendly.
Punter friendly here, too, is trainer David Simcock, with a 36% strike rate (38% teamed up with Jamie Spencer) but, more to the point, a massive £102 level-stakes profit, according to Racing Post five-year figures.
I reckon his Good Omen much better than the bare figures, not disgraced in a big handicap at Royal Ascot, and a fair-enough offer at 5.0 to determine whether he can score on the firm when his record speaks more of an easy surface.
MAKE SANDOWN YOUR SELECTION
Save it for Sandown? Classier hoses here, so more likely to run honest. Selection (7.40) is with William Haggas who has a 36% strike rate for first time in a handicap.
Eynhallow (8.10) has been performing well at Goodwood and this similar righthand track with a bend to an uphill finish, should suit just as well. They don’t want anything else this morning in the BETDAQ orange (6.2 offers bar one).
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20)
BET 5pts win FANFAIR and 1pt win (stakes saver) ABOUT GLORY (2.50 Lingfield)
BET 12pts win (nap) THREE DUCHESSES (3.15 Catterick)
BET 1.5pts win and place BADGERFORT (3.35 Uttoxeter)
BET 6pts win OXFORD BLU (4.00 Lingfield)
BET 10pts win AIRLIE BEACH (6.25 Killarney)
BET 5pts win GOOD OMEN and 1.25pts win (stakes saver) ANOTHER ECLIPSE (6.45 Yarmouth)
BET 10pts win SELECTION (7.40 Sandown)
BET 12pts win EYNHALLOW (8.10 Sandown)
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