BETDAQ 16.5 ABOUT 7-1 STRIKE: Daqman yesterday pledged the best short shots and long shots for Goodwood and he won with both on the opening day, a champion supernap and a 16.5 outsider which spelled out his prophecy: Take Heart, take BETDAQ morning offers!
Day 1 at Goodwood: 39.30 points profit
WON 7-1 TAKE HEART (16.5 taken on BETDAQ) Tony Montana 3rd 17-2
WON 8-13 KYPRIOS (supernap)
KYPRIOS IN COURSE-RECORD CUP: Those who think they saw Kyprios break into a sprint in the final stages of the two-mile Goodwood Cup yesterday can cancel their eye-test! It really happened as part of a power performance which broke the track record THREE SECONDS to make him one of the top stayers of all time.
IS ATILLA DRAW A HONEY TRAP
THE DRAW can be a big help at Goodwood. Low numbers usually have an advantage; however their pace can set it up for a high-stall roller, as has happened before in the first two races today.
Handicap and Group results by stall yesterday: 5f handicap 3 beat 5; 6f handicap 8 beat 2; two Group 7f 1 beat 7 and 5 beat 6; 1m handicap 3 beat 5. In the 1m 2f handicap, the first two raced wide and won from 18 and 13.
⭕ 1.50 Goodwood (1m 4f handicap) A low draw has been essential, with one exception: stalls 4, 2, 2, 5, 4, 1, 5, 10, 2, 5 scored in the decade.
Of the pair on a hat-trick mission out of stalls 2 and 3, I prefer Subsequent – whose armour includes stamina – over Lord Of Love, not quite so upwardly mobile.
French Duke (7) is a hard ride. Some of the keenness should have been raced out of him in two runs this year, but he’s hooded first time and his Royal Ascot handicap hasn’t worked out.
Similarly, blinkers should help Goodwood Odyssey (5), hanging and wandered final furlong when third on the July Course, but now 4lb better off for a length and a half with the winner Lord Of Love.
The high-draw roller could be Atilla The Honey (12), a powerful traveller who went clear over a furlong or so further at Newbury. Backed overnight, though runner-up in the Brown Jack only five days ago.
LOOK OUT FOR CAVALRY CHARGE
⭕ 2.25 Goodwood (7f handicap) A similar situation where just one winner – last year’s – waited in the rear and came from a high stall to catch the front runners, the only blot on domination by low numbers.
That’s why the last nine results by stall appear like this: 5, 1, 6, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2, 14, with Magical Sunset that rear runner from stall 14.
It could happen again today when that master trainer of fillies, Ralph Beckett, saddles Stop The Cavalry (gate 11), who has already pulled off such a trick, coming from behind on another turning track with low-draw domination, Chester.
Stop The Cavalry should improve, stepped up a furlong here. Out of a Group-3 winner, she is daughter of French Derby hero Lope De Vega, whose progeny is in the limelight via Look De Vega who also won the French Derby in June and is favourite for the Arc. BETDAQ 13.0 this morning.
The one for the money early doors was Kathmandu (2), tongue-tie first time; early pace and classy; head runner-up in the French 1,000 Guineas, though the ground was soft.
CELANDINE FLOWERS ON FIRM
⭕ 3.00 Goodwood (Molecomb Stakes) Single-figure stalls have prevailed seven times in the decade, which takes the edge off Aesterius (10), Soldier’s Heart (13) and Vingegaard (16).
In any case, they have to beat a tough Kingman filly, Celandine (pictured below), out of the one stall and 7.0 on BETDAQ at the time of writing.
Sole defeat since the debut was when encountering soft ground in the Robert Papin, yet still went down only a length. She won back to back on firm in June.
BEWARE THE FRENCH CHEVAL
⭕ 3.35 Goodwood (Sussex Stakes) A more modest renewal of this Group 1 after the drama of recent years with Baaeed (128) and Paddington (125), and in the absence of Rosallion.
The top-two rated are Notable Speech (122) and Henry Longfellow (121) but, after the exploits of Calandagan and Goliath this year, and Ace Impact, last year’s champion, we can’t ignore the French.
Facteur Cheval (120) was runner-up to Paddington on soft for this race last year and took the Dubai Turf at Meydan (good) in March.
His earnings – twenty quid short of £3m – put Henry Longfellow and Notable Speech in the shade, neither having yet landed half-a-million in prizemoney.
All three leading protagonists lost last time out: Henry Longfellow by a neck to Rosallion in the St James’s Palace Stakes, with Notable Speech beaten favourite, seventh.
Charlie Appleby (speechless?) is putting a line through that but you can do the same for Facteur Cheval, who took a wide course in the Queen Anne and suffered the old race-watchers shorthand, NSWAC (not seen with a chance).
STOUTE’S DATE WITH DESTINY
⭕ 4.10 Goodwood Lightly raced for a four-year-old, Imperial Quarter has dropped out of the Pattern to carry top-weight in her first handicap. But three-year-olds are 5-8 and she has to give them a stone and more.
Among them is Power Of Destiny, with Oisin Murphy for Sir Michael Stoute, a rare reminder of the days he could plot up a handicap like this. Maybe the knack is back.
Al Anoud’s Ralph Beckett yard also has the knack of prepping them for this race: has won it twice in the last four seasons with a 4yo favourite and a 22-1 3yo outsider.
But interesting that Rossa Ryan, who rides more for Beckett than Hector Crouch, is booked for Harry Charlton on Roaring’ Success, another 4yo who was one-two with Elladonna at Salisbury in July. They are weighted to dead-heat now.
ENERGY ON A PLATE AT 25.0
⭕ 7.10 Galway Plate Chemical Energy has won five races out of six on good ground for the Gordon Elliott stable, which has won this four times in eight years, including with a 33-1 outsider. Chemical Energy is 25.0 in morning offers on BETDAQ.
The English raider In Excelsis Deo (Betdaq Betting Exchange 8.4) won the Silver Plate at Cheltenham on top of the ground and goes well fresh.
Lets Go Champ, a strong traveller, was steered to victory at the Punchestown Festival in the Spring by Rachael Blackmore. BETDAQ 11.0
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Goodwood (win 20)
BET 4pts win SUBSEQUENT
BET 2pts win ATTILA THE HONEY
2.25 Goodwood (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 4pts win STOP THE CAVALRY
BET 3pts to win 10 KATHMANDU
3.00 Goodwood (win 30, nap)
BET 5pts win CELANDINE
3.35 Goodwood (win 13)
BET 2pts win FACTEUR CHEVAL
4.10 Goodwood (win 15)
BET 4pts win POWER OF DESTINY
7.10 Galway (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 5pts win LET’S GO CHAMP
BET 2pts win CHEMICAL ENERGY
BET 3pts to win 22 IN EXCELSIS DEO
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