ARC COUNTDOWN: FOCUS ON THE JOCKEYS FOR SUNDAY’S BIG RACE: Today Daqman checks out past Arc de Triomphe results and finds that the race consistently demands the best of riders; nothing less will do for Sunday’s big day. Today’s headlines:
🔹 ARC IS THE PRESERVE OF CHAMPIONS
🔹 KITTEN COULD BE AMONG THE CREAM
🔹 A BELATED DOUBLE AT BETDAQ 21.0?
🔹 WARRIOR SHOULD EARN HIS SPURS
OUTSIDERS TO PROVIDE SHOCKS ON THE NOTTINGHAM FLAT CARD: Daqman tracks down some outsiders at Nottingham today at 21.0, 13.0 and 8.9, and naps an unexposed Godolphin runner in the stayers’ race, last on the card.
ARC IS THE PRESERVE OF CHAMPIONS
The jockey can’t come without the horse. The Arc turns that racing adage upside down: however good the horse, you need no less than a champion jockey on it, if you are to win the Arc.
I can find only one exception to that rule in the last 26 years. That was when a forgotten animal called Bago won it, ridden by Thierry Gillet, who had a short but brilliant career, retiring early with weight problems.
The measure of champions reduces Sunday’s field at Longchamp to just five runners. Here are the title winners riding on Sunday, plus those champions who have won previous Arcs going back to 1994 and beyond.
Pierre-Charles Boudot (PERSIAN KING) won the Arc on Waldgeist 2019. French champion jockey 2015(jt) and 2016; runner-up 2017-19.
Frankie Dettori (ENABLE) won the Arc on Lammtarra 1995, Sakhee 2001, Marienbard 2002, Golden Horn 2015, Enable 2017-18. Three times champion jockey 1994-5, 2004.
Ryan Moore (LOVE) won the Arc on Workforce 2010, Found 2016. English jockeys championship 2006, 2008-9
Olivier Peslier (STRADIVARIUS) won the Arc on Helissio, Peintre Celebre and Sagamix 1996-8. French champion jockey 1996-7, 1999-2000; runner-up 1994-5, 2001.
Christophe Soumillon (SOTTSASS) won the Arc on Dalakhani 2003 and Zarkava 2008). French champion jockey 2003, 2005-06, 2011-14, 2015 (jt), 2017-18)
OTHER ARC WINNERS
Kieren Fallon won the Arc on Hurricane Run 2005 and Dylan Thomas 2007 (English champion jockey six times 1997-99, 2001-03)
Mick Kinane won the Arc on Carroll House 1989, Montjeu 1999 and Sea The Stars 2009 (Irish champion jockey 13 times)
Thierry Jarnet won the Arc four times, including twice on Treve 2013-14 (French champion jockey 1992-95; runner-up 1996 and 2000).
Johnny Murtagh won the Arc on Sinndar 2000 (Irish champion jockey five times).
Stephane Pasquier won the Arc on Rail Link 2006 (French champion jockey 2007, runner-up 2005, 2009)
Andrasch Starke won the Arc on Danedream 2011 (German champion six times).
HOOFNOTE: to be fair to the 2004 winner, Bago (trained Jonathan Pease), he was European champion three-year-old colt that year, winning the Ganay and Jean Prat as well as the Grand Prix de Paris and the Arc.
I felt a bit guilty about calling him a forgotten horse: I could hear a whinny Bago in my ear!
KITTEN COULD BE AMONG THE CREAM
⭕ 1.45 Nottingham It’s Saeed Bin Suroor’s season of the year and he knows the time of day in this particular race (he’s 2-3), so Late Morning could be high noon for the layers.
The two winners were both first time on a racecourse. Late Morning (BETDAQ 13.0) has not been so knowing and the two runs she’s had were good education.
There’s hidden value in John Gosden’s debutante Little Kitten (8.9 BETDAQ). Could she take after her dam, Michita, win first time out for Gosden, and land herself a Ribblesdale scorer after only five starts?
Little Kitten would complete a hat-trick for Gosden after one runner one winner each day, Sunday and Monday. It would also get him off the 13 mark, another baker’s dozen for the Newmarket stable inside a fortnight.
A BELATED DOUBLE AT BETDAQ 21.0?
⭕ 2.55 Nottingham Belated Breath won this in 2018 and, despite scoring twice since – well backed favourite for all three strikes – he’s been dropped 8-10lb since his good form of last summer.
One of his jockeys then was James Doyle and it seems significant that Hughie Morrison has booked him for this.
A field day for Doyle is on the card. He is also at Colwick Park for Charlie Appleby, Simon and Ed Crisford, George Scott and Roger Charlton, all with between 25 and 35% strike-rate this year when he has been in the plate.
The forecast showers could help Bimble, who ran a fine race in the ‘Lochsong’ at Salisbury (good to soft) and is unexposed after just three races. But they would probably rob Yimou, who is 4-4 on firm ground.
Belated Breath was behind Bimble at Salisbury but is better off at the weights on a track he likes, and emphatically a better price: 21.0 offers to the 3.4 about the saver, Bimble. Both are well drawn.
WARRIOR SHOULD EARN HIS SPURS
⭕ 4.40 Nottingham It was not until the final stages of the race that Arabian Warrior began to gallop down the Kempton straight on only his fourth public appearance the last day.
This unexposed Dubawi out of a Shamardal mare seems to have found where his strength lies and tests it here against lesser stayers in this class 4 on turf. BETDAQ Exchange 2.77 this morning.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.45 Nottingham (win 20)
BET 2.5pts win LITTLE KITTEN
BET 1.5ps win LATE MORNING
2.55 Nottingham (win 10, win 20)
BET 4pts win BIMBLE
BET 1pt win BELATED BREATH
4.40 Nottingham (win 10 nap)
BET 5.5pts win ARABIAN WARRIOR
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