Oakland Raiders (1-10, 6-5 ATS) @ St. Louis Rams (4-7, 5-6 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: St. Louis -7 (42)
Significant Injuries
Oakland: CB Carlos Rogers (questionable– knee), CB Travis Carrie (questionable– ankle), S Jonathan Dowling (questionable– back), RB Latavius Murray (questionable– concussion), WR Rod Streater (out– foot)
St. Louis: CB Marcus Roberson (questionable– ankle), CB Lamarcus Joyner (questionable– groin), DE Chris Long (doubtful– ankle), WR Brian Quick (out– shoulder)
Recent Trends
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
Oakland is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a win
St. Louis is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record
St. Louis is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game
The UNDER is 5-1 in Oakland’s last 6 road games
The OVER is 5-0-1 in Oakland’s last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record
The OVER is 6-1 in St. Louis’ last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record
Three reasons to back Oakland
1. The Raiders are a great situational play here: they’re coming off their first win of the season, they’ve covered in 4 of their past 5 road games, and St. Louis has covered just 3 times in their last 12 home games against teams with losing records. Mix in a healthy 7-point number and you’ve got all the necessary ingredients for an Oakland bet.
2. The Rams have a terrible offense that ranks 27th in total yards per game and 26th in points scored (19 ppg). The Oakland defense, meanwhile, has played very well away from home this season, surrendering 23 points or fewer in 4 of their 5 road games.
3. The Oakland offense finally has reason for hope after watching quarterback Derek Carr play the best games of his young career, and Carr wasn’t the only playmaker wearing silver and black: 2nd-year running back Latavius Murray rushed for 112 yards and 2 touchdowns on just 4 carries. This week Carr, Murray, and Co. will be facing a Rams defense that is allowing nearly 26 points per game.
Three reasons to back St. Louis
1. Over the last 6 weeks the Rams have notched wins over the Seahawks, 49ers, and Broncos, and they nearly picked up a road win in San Diego last week. Well, this week they must prepare for a different type of team– the bumbling Oakland Raiders, who at 1-10 are the laughingstock of the league once again. The Raiders have covered just once in their last 7 games following a win, and they did miraculously pick up a win last week, so we’ll see of they can handle prosperity this time around (friendly advice: don’t hold your breath).
2. The Raiders rank 32nd (a.k.a. dead last) in total offense and 31st in points scored (16 ppg), so a dominant performance from the St. Louis defense in expected. In their last home game the Rams held the mighty Denver Broncos to just 7 points.
3. The Rams average over 100 rushing yards per game and their passing attack has improved significantly since veteran quarterback Shaun Hill was re-inserted into the lineup a couple of weeks ago. They shouldn’t have any trouble moving the ball against an Oakland defense that is surrendering nearly 26 points per game.
Prediction
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